Champions League · resolved market
Galatasaray SK vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48f38e745e4830b6e45910384b4c854fac5e69af7996be46699be379ef148ca4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,898
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,476
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,898 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Over | 52c | 7,999$4,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,839.52 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +81%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 49c | 5,088$2,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,479.25 | 210 | 37.1%78 W · 132 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 3,382$1,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,629.1 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x967d…ef6abacked Over | 71c | 2,670$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.46 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Under | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.84 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 49c | 1,987$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.18 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Over | 52c | 1,919$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.04 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Under | 51c | 1,784$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.04 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Under | 32c | 1,549$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.29 | 149 | 52.3%78 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…ef38backed Over | 51c | 755$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.95 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +10.6wins | +0.18per pick | 31cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Under | 52c | 654.22$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.19 | 111 | 32.4%36 W · 75 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Under | 47c | 608.49$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.99 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc952…3c89backed Over | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Under | 47c | 426$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.22 | 240 | 47.1%113 W · 127 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8793…b3a1backed Under | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Under | 48c | 299.96$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.98 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a5…2cbdbacked Under | 49c | 285.71$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed Over | 52c | 228.85$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.85 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7826…20b1backed Under | 50c | 200.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 48c | 194$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.12 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfde8…c52fbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21b2…b602backed Over | 52c | 190$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…a062backed Under | 52c | 126$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.52 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…235cbacked Under | 49c | 110$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a4…72adbacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd14…e051backed Over | 65c | 84.49$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.57 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Under | 49c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 52c | 70.2$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed Over | 52c | 65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e2…9710backed Over | 52c | 63.6$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.53 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69fc…3f73backed Under | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeecc…6930backed Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…d4d8backed Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe47f…c246backed Over | 53c | 45.09$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca11…690abacked Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Over | 54c | 40.19$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…49aabacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 175 | 60%105 W · 70 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10e8…ce18backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc71…b999backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0332…416dbacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…c3ddbacked Over | 65c | 28.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d1…4cb7backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Galatasaray SK vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Galatasaray SK (-1.5)Galatasaray SK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.