NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs Knicks: O/U 222.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea6387d25c475dbaf27d184d83c5edac3a9d3c989b2db3eb7fd2d05bf2de2dca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,282
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,470
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,282 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x032f…4679backed Under | 48c | 25,366$12,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,190.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2091…08aabacked Over | 52c | 25,089$13,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,046.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 50c | 3,850$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Under | 48c | 3,309$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,708.92 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Under | 49c | 2,328$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,192.06 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 48c | 1,837$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.16 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Over | 50c | 1,385$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.5 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6102…3af3backed Over | 50c | 1,160$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…940abacked Over | 54c | 1,016$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.42 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…e79fbacked Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Over | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 259 | 45.6%118 W · 141 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Over | 50c | 919.85$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.62 | 181 | 46.4%84 W · 97 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Over | 54c | 900$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Over | 2c | 816$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Under | 63c | 600$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x944a…a9adbacked Over | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x915e…2a71backed Over | 52c | 502$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe45d…f77ebacked Over | 51c | 394.23$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 253 | 36.8%93 W · 160 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Over | 52c | 388.85$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.09 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6f…0142backed Over | 55c | 327.27$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69fc…3f73backed Over | 54c | 310$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.4 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Under | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7703…34b9backed Under | 52c | 300$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.5 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ae…8f1abacked Over | 52c | 277$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed Under | 50c | 273$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.9 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…1ddbbacked Under | 75c | 250$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Under | 48c | 233.93$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.65 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Over | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Under | 47c | 135.15$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.63 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1b2bbacked Over | 53c | 125.98$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.77 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 61cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed Over | 53c | 111$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.83 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Under | 50c | 111$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1726…3986backed Over | 54c | 107.41$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…65fabacked Under | 52c | 105.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.77 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 667 | 32.4%216 W · 451 L | +41.8wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a9…e358backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f36…4e9cbacked Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd6…542abacked Over | 55c | 84.25$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Under | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7284…ce86backed Under | 49c | 82.09$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.09 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Over | 52c | 78.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x387a…927dbacked Over | 51c | 69.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed Under | 47c | 60.75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d2…4dd7backed Over | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d6…36cbbacked Over | 51c | 59.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 245 | 33.9%83 W · 162 L | -19.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked Under | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 101 | 31.7%32 W · 69 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…7b6ebacked Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 48c | 49.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a7…f88dbacked Under | 49c | 40.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca2…55e4backed Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…15b9backed Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Over | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 574 | 44.1%253 W · 321 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 356 | 60.4%215 W · 141 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33b3…9f56backed Under | 47c | 26.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 47c | 26.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2af6…34b5backed Over | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0baa…729dbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1a…ccb1backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -36%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a93…adb8backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Under | 64c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 424 | 34.4%146 W · 278 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9938…c7e8backed Under | 70c | 14.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pacers vs Knicks: O/U 222.5this page
- Pacers vs Knicks: O/U 217.5Under won
- Pacers vs Knicks: O/U 227.5Under won
- Pacers vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Pacers (-1.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.