NBA · resolved market
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36a8a2d4ddb3a6b057e8960934aac616a2be0ecc65ba66e568e620064d863d1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Knicks, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,860
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,596
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,860 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x011f…1122backed Pacers | 50c | 41,921$21,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,115.23 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Knicks | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,200 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…e79fbacked Knicks | 50c | 6,440$3,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,247.84 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Knicks | 48c | 4,200$2,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,186 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d4…ad01backed Knicks | 50c | 4,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,020 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Knicks | 48c | 3,854$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,003.91 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Knicks | 50c | 3,852$1,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,925.97 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Knicks | 48c | 3,440$1,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,797.58 | 181 | 46.4%84 W · 97 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Knicks | 49c | 2,800$1,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…cbeabacked Knicks | 53c | 2,789$1,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.57 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Pacers | 53c | 2,200$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Pacers | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 661 | 53.3%352 W · 309 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Pacers | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Pacers | 52c | 2,000$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030 | 155 | 51%79 W · 76 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…d622backed Pacers | 52c | 1,658$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed Knicks | 75c | 1,562$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.44 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Pacers | 50c | 1,300$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.11 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Knicks | 45c | 1,066$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.22 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Knicks | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c80…a608backed Pacers | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Knicks | 50c | 998.54$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.27 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +6.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +52%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Knicks | 48c | 819.1$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.65 | 575 | 50.3%289 W · 286 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Pacers | 53c | 800$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Pacers | 51c | 698.32$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.14 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Pacers | 50c | 689$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.5 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Knicks | 47c | 605.66$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.67 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee6…6887backed Knicks | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c11…02c8backed Pacers | 52c | 540.81$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.22 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed Pacers | 18c | 419.18$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.73 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…c4ddbacked Knicks | 49c | 310$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Knicks | 49c | 284.14$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.91 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +8.0wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Pacers | 11c | 207$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf17…97d1backed Pacers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Knicks | 48c | 196.15$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x831b…eed5backed Pacers | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Pacers | 54c | 147.11$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 356 | 60.4%215 W · 141 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68f6…7742backed Pacers | 52c | 145.17$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Knicks | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Pacers | 50c | 111$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…65fabacked Knicks | 51c | 107.84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.84 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…1ddbbacked Pacers | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…fb67backed Pacers | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +418.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Knicks | 46c | 99.98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Knicks | 46c | 74.64$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.31 | 430 | 52.3%225 W · 205 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x251b…143cbacked Pacers | 51c | 58.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…5c6abacked Pacers | 51c | 41.24$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36e5…b46ebacked Pacers | 50c | 30.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -77%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Pacers | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33b3…9f56backed Knicks | 47c | 26.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8498…0e94backed Knicks | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Pacers | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 336 | 50.6%170 W · 166 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc11e…eb97backed Pacers | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)this page
- Pacers vs Knicks: O/U 217.5Under won
- Pacers vs Knicks: O/U 222.5Under won
- Pacers vs Knicks: O/U 227.5Under won
- Pacers vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Pacers (-1.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.