WNBA · resolved market
Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 159.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1de21cb7c02a9fd4ae8944d5c5e158a228f2d252232fb504a2c6f0f7d835002f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,732
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,087
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,732 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 45c | 11,496$5,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,344.37 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 54c | 8,908$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800.46 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 57c | 2,958$1,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,694.7 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc638…e298backed Under | 46c | 2,810$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,509.86 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 44c | 2,235$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.91 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 47c | 1,562$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Over | 54c | 1,256$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.22 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 57c | 1,231$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.98 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 40c | 1,146$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.36 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Under | 51c | 1,059$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.91 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Over | 60c | 833.88$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.93 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 61c | 790.99$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.5 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 44c | 723.86$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.02 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…3340backed Over | 57c | 688.78$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.78 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 59c | 533.65$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.86 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -13.5wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 60c | 500.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.96 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 51c | 427.49$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.37 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Over | 58c | 415.62$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.97 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -11.1wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 42c | 404.02$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.66 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe046…9bc6backed Over | 57c | 327.4$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.01 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Over | 54c | 288.89$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 63c | 254.36$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.61 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9af…f4f7backed Over | 52c | 208$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.67 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1026…e794backed Over | 57c | 200.04$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.42 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…a4d5backed Over | 58c | 195.32$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.42 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 41c | 195.12$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.12 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 46c | 185.67$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.65 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 229 | 67.7%155 W · 74 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0e…704abacked Over | 65c | 175.79$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.42 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…0adfbacked Over | 68c | 167.4$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.42 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 49c | 155.92$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.52 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 47c | 121.26$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.27 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca2…088ebacked Under | 31c | 120.44$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.76 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 41c | 110.63$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.27 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 57c | 95.87$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.65 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -11.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Under | 31c | 86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.34 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Under | 31c | 85.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.33 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Under | 31c | 85.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.33 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Over | 47c | 84.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69fc…3f73backed Over | 55c | 80.34$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.27 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 50c | 74.1$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.35 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 38c | 70.87$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.83 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 57c | 70.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf610…741cbacked Over | 59c | 67.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.57 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 45c | 65.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.55 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Over | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 54c | 51.95$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.17 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x982c…0d6ebacked Over | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Under | 41c | 49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 44c | 46.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.23 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa0…9528backed Over | 65c | 46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 71cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…e409backed Over | 47c | 42.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Over | 60c | 36.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -13.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 56c | 32.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…1d65backed Over | 58c | 31.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 61c | 30.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 45c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Under | 45c | 28.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 60c | 27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 45c | 26.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Under | 48c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 184 | 41.8%77 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 159.5this page
- Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota LynxMinnesota Lynx won
- Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 157.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 158.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 160.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 161.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 162.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-12.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-13.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-14.5)Minnesota Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.