WNBA · resolved market
Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 157.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf91230916c638f4c4175b34f051dd0b9f84dc7e6e895446e15ede9628ecf93ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,594
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,005
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,594 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under | 42c | 14,306$5,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,333.66 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 58c | 11,034$6,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,399.6 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3f6abacked Under | 45c | 4,006$1,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,203.09 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Over | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.99 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 41c | 2,342$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.72 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 59c | 2,186$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.9 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 59c | 1,586$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.83 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Over | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 45c | 684.49$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.47 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 41c | 546$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.14 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0310…4745backed Over | 59c | 510$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 41c | 364.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.34 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Over | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 229 | 67.7%155 W · 74 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed Under | 43c | 267.44$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.44 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 55cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Under | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 58c | 237.46$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.74 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 67c | 205$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.35 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 37c | 204$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.52 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 61c | 200.67$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.41 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -13.5wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over | 59c | 195.94$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.36 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Over | 59c | 192.27$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.44 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed Over | 59c | 189.83$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2b…e5e7backed Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 55c | 159.12$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.77 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 39c | 137.29$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.75 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Under | 29c | 134.95$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.14 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Over | 59c | 123.85$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.91 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 61c | 111.66$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.11 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 43c | 99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.43 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 59c | 85.82$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.63 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 63c | 84.74$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.39 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -11.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Over | 77c | 84.52$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.08 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -11.1wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 59c | 84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…a4e7backed Under | 42c | 78.38$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.46 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 59c | 77$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.16 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Over | 56c | 74.39$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.59 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -13.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 59c | 70.75$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.74 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf610…741cbacked Over | 61c | 64.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.54 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Over | 59c | 63$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1026…e794backed Over | 61c | 56.33$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.36 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…8407backed Over | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Under | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…9945backed Over | 59c | 38.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.25per pick | 43cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 58c | 30.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x499c…2f8ebacked Over | 70c | 28.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -7.1wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Under | 43c | 25.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 184 | 41.8%77 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 61c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a9…3a77backed Over | 58c | 18.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 157.5this page
- Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota LynxMinnesota Lynx won
- Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 158.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 159.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 160.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 161.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 162.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-12.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-13.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-14.5)Minnesota Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.