WNBA · resolved market
Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 162.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f1dbe56958b32fd497f5405a083d18a550d350e9f376811bc6809a51ef1d9e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,951
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,659
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,951 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 48c | 13,493$6,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,987.84 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 54c | 7,780$4,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,164.76 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 60c | 3,129$1,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,875.79 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 2,759$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,613.83 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3f6abacked Over | 51c | 2,570$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.72 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 46c | 1,737$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.26 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 51c | 1,432$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.81 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…5443backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 43c | 888.67$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.26 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -13.5wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 61c | 680.98$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.48 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 50c | 598.34$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.88 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 44c | 517.92$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.32 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…1cc3backed Over | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 9c | 438.29$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.73 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Under | 51c | 392.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.37 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Over | 69c | 302.76$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.52 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -11.1wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Over | 51c | 254.86$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.98 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…0b46backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 60c | 157.94$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.07 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8077…ffefbacked Under | 22c | 145.68$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.63 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +8.0wins | +0.42per pick | 37cpaid | +163.8%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 48c | 144.1$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.74 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe046…9bc6backed Over | 60c | 125.66$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.11 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 53c | 102.11$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.12 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -11.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 36c | 86.11$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.11 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…a4d5backed Over | 60c | 78.55$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.95 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1026…e794backed Over | 60c | 78.55$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.95 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0e…704abacked Over | 60c | 78.55$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.95 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58c6…eeb6backed Under | 54c | 68.59$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.55 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Under | 41c | 67$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.53 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…0adfbacked Over | 58c | 50.74$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Over | 52c | 47.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -13.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…8487backed Over | 57c | 44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Over | 58c | 39.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…1d65backed Over | 60c | 33.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa0…9528backed Over | 79c | 32.65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 71cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 49c | 26.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Under | 47c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4788…6bc3backed Over | 57c | 19.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…8ccfbacked Under | 67c | 19.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 162.5this page
- Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota LynxMinnesota Lynx won
- Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 157.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 158.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 159.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 160.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 161.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-12.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-13.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-14.5)Minnesota Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.