WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-12.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71f2ef2c732f427d23a7bbca721bdba3ddc9b90f2b6e66bd294b61feafb85400
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota Lynxof Minnesota Lynx, Seattle Storm
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,095
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,967
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,095 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Minnesota Lynx | 57c | 5,304$3,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,280.76 | 230 | 49.6%114 W · 116 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Seattle Storm | 45c | 5,049$2,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,272.05 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Seattle Storm | 43c | 3,146$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352.71 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Storm | 43c | 2,568$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.79 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…d0a8backed Minnesota Lynx | 58c | 2,364$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.33 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Minnesota Lynx | 58c | 1,725$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.83 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Minnesota Lynx | 41c | 1,605$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.37 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Storm | 58c | 625.77$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.97 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Seattle Storm | 53c | 566.03$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -13.5wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Minnesota Lynx | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 229 | 67.7%155 W · 74 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Seattle Storm | 42c | 402.92$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.86 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Seattle Storm | 42c | 327.88$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.71 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Seattle Storm | 45c | 222.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ca…9de7backed Minnesota Lynx | 57c | 219.3$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.3 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Seattle Storm | 43c | 203$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.29 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2b…e5e7backed Minnesota Lynx | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2f…9765backed Minnesota Lynx | 34c | 160$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.68 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Seattle Storm | 66c | 152$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Seattle Storm | 50c | 105.4$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.7 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Minnesota Lynx | 55c | 100.25$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.08 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Seattle Storm | 52c | 92.79$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95fa…bf35backed Seattle Storm | 45c | 78.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Seattle Storm | 51c | 78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Seattle Storm | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 137 | 45.3%62 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Minnesota Lynx | 56c | 37.54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…cefbbacked Seattle Storm | 75c | 36.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…5d6ebacked Minnesota Lynx | 42c | 35.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Seattle Storm | 52c | 35.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Seattle Storm | 45c | 35.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Seattle Storm | 43c | 33.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e80…416dbacked Seattle Storm | 67c | 31.39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Seattle Storm | 64c | 31.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Seattle Storm | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Seattle Storm | 45c | 26.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -13.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Seattle Storm | 66c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-12.5)this page
- Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota LynxMinnesota Lynx won
- Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 157.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 158.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 159.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 160.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 161.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 162.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-13.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-14.5)Minnesota Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.