WNBA · resolved market
Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 160.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9bb4dd4baf95572adb5d50afda0af5f9eaf7ed9d6c423372502d1c9631cf1708
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,957
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,044
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,957 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 46c | 8,716$4,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,699.1 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3f6abacked Over | 55c | 4,664$2,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,565.23 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 46c | 4,108$1,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,214.31 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Under | 48c | 3,153$1,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639.52 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 54c | 3,067$1,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,656.18 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 52c | 2,824$1,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.21 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 52c | 2,786$1,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.41 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 45c | 2,234$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.49 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Over | 52c | 1,994$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.68 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Over | 54c | 1,828$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.18 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 46c | 1,300$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 56c | 1,149$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.81 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 1,100$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 56c | 1,041$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.69 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Over | 57c | 875.09$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.9 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 48c | 780$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.89 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Under | 46c | 687.56$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.28 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +7.1wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 56c | 672.4$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.99 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -13.5wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 44c | 647.6$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.03 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 45c | 614.8$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.02 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 56c | 533.36$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.85 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Over | 55c | 421.49$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.97 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…3340backed Over | 56c | 402.86$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.83 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Under | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 46c | 365.89$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.3 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 47c | 298$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.04 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9af…f4f7backed Over | 50c | 296.34$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.46 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed Over | 53c | 250.5$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.76 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 48c | 241.25$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.05 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 59c | 230$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.7 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1184…a836backed Over | 54c | 229.63$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35c9…bc74backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…7fe4backed Over | 56c | 177.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Over | 55c | 161.33$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 55c | 156.98$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.34 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 136.29$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.49 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Under | 46c | 133$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.82 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 46c | 132$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.28 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 49c | 130.71$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.66 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Over | 56c | 130.45$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.96 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -11.1wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 56c | 129.15$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.23 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 46c | 114$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.56 | 211 | 50.2%106 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460d…9d5fbacked Under | 45c | 108.04$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Over | 56c | 106.83$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed Over | 54c | 105$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 56c | 96.91$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.27 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -11.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Under | 49c | 96$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.96 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 48c | 75.73$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf610…741cbacked Over | 56c | 70.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.57 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 44c | 65.91$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.91 | 88 | 60.2%53 W · 35 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0e…704abacked Over | 56c | 65.31$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1026…e794backed Over | 57c | 64.16$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Over | 54c | 54.19$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d1…6194backed Over | 56c | 52.47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Under | 47c | 50.81$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.93 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Under | 45c | 47.19$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.73 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Under | 47c | 44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 56c | 43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Under | 48c | 41.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.49 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed Over | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Over | 59c | 39.24$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 52c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 55c | 36.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 303 | 47.2%143 W · 160 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 53c | 27.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a9…3a77backed Under | 49c | 25.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 56c | 25.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Under | 46c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc51…245abacked Under | 46c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4788…6bc3backed Over | 56c | 23.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Under | 49c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 184 | 41.8%77 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0e…accebacked Over | 54c | 21.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Under | 47c | 21.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…e409backed Over | 59c | 19.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Over | 58c | 19.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…6a58backed Over | 54c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 160.5this page
- Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota LynxMinnesota Lynx won
- Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 157.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 158.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 159.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 161.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 162.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-12.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-13.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-14.5)Minnesota Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.