WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-13.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89a0467754843b26211815b4a26f75c6977cb05209c225797dd74e2ba96b66a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota Lynxof Minnesota Lynx, Seattle Storm
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,548
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,662
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,548 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed Minnesota Lynx | 53c | 16,720$8,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,914.67 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Seattle Storm | 48c | 12,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,699.99 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Minnesota Lynx | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.99 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Storm | 47c | 2,644$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232.5 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Storm | 48c | 2,476$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.31 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Seattle Storm | 48c | 1,702$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.24 | 564 | 55.1%311 W · 253 L | +27.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Seattle Storm | 47c | 1,666$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.81 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Seattle Storm | 49c | 1,571$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.9 | 796 | 48.7%388 W · 408 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Minnesota Lynx | 53c | 1,292$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.24 | 1,012 | 47.9%485 W · 527 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 1,078$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.43 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Seattle Storm | 47c | 995.66$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.63 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 749.99$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.99 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Seattle Storm | 47c | 666.89$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.44 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 617.65$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.65 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Minnesota Lynx | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 234 | 67.5%158 W · 76 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Seattle Storm | 44c | 327.19$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.73 | 612 | 42.3%259 W · 353 L | -31.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Seattle Storm | 49c | 241.17$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.17 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Seattle Storm | 48c | 240.14$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.08 | 932 | 48.8%455 W · 477 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Seattle Storm | 45c | 233$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.85 | 211 | 50.2%106 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Minnesota Lynx | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.77 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Minnesota Lynx | 52c | 218.14$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.71 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Minnesota Lynx | 55c | 210.19$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.59 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 209.98$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.99 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Seattle Storm | 45c | 208$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 253 | 45.8%116 W · 137 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Seattle Storm | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Seattle Storm | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Seattle Storm | 50c | 199.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 657 | 51.4%338 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Seattle Storm | 46c | 180$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.4 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2f…9765backed Minnesota Lynx | 52c | 120$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.8 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3f6abacked Minnesota Lynx | 76c | 117$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Seattle Storm | 64c | 108.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27c7…7c43backed Seattle Storm | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e80…416dbacked Seattle Storm | 60c | 100.52$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Minnesota Lynx | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c9…bc74backed Minnesota Lynx | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Seattle Storm | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 276 | 49.6%137 W · 139 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371b…0925backed Seattle Storm | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Seattle Storm | 47c | 70$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Seattle Storm | 47c | 68$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Seattle Storm | 52c | 64.79$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.69 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Seattle Storm | 57c | 56.4$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.21 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 52.94$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Minnesota Lynx | 53c | 51.43$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Minnesota Lynx | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaec…eaafbacked Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8683…56c7backed Minnesota Lynx | 42c | 48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Seattle Storm | 47c | 47.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 332 | 48.8%162 W · 170 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Minnesota Lynx | 54c | 41.29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -13.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Seattle Storm | 47c | 30.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 427 | 49.4%211 W · 216 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Seattle Storm | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 137 | 45.3%62 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Seattle Storm | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Seattle Storm | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…5bbdbacked Seattle Storm | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-13.5)this page
- Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota LynxMinnesota Lynx won
- Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 157.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 158.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 159.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 160.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 161.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 162.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-12.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-14.5)Minnesota Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.