WNBA · resolved market
Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 161.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc51d114a745cf2458dff65944d3ab752bf768974f7a7608dcc40eb9a857af63a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,144
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,420
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,144 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 16,133$7,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,146.98 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 46c | 7,321$3,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,941.44 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3f6abacked Over | 49c | 6,963$3,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,411.83 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1e…bb68backed Over | 65c | 6,762$4,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,365.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 52c | 6,110$3,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,164.58 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed Over | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,180 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72f8…8ea0backed Under | 50c | 3,551$1,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.66 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 50c | 2,992$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.19 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 47c | 1,989$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.17 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 50c | 1,861$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.97 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8077…ffefbacked Under | 11c | 1,818$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,617.91 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +8.0wins | +0.42per pick | 37cpaid | +163.8%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 49c | 1,472$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.83 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 35c | 1,346$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.49 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 50c | 1,127$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.62 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 49c | 1,008$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.89 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Over | 50c | 987.28$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.64 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 55c | 954.45$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.24 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 47c | 733$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0972…9d1ebacked Over | 54c | 671.42$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 55c | 538.6$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.23 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 59c | 536.99$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.58 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 50c | 522.26$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.87 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 49c | 472.26$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.28 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -13.5wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…3340backed Over | 49c | 403.16$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.55 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 42c | 384$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.16 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Under | 47c | 290.88$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.17 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…04d7backed Over | 54c | 229.62$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.99 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Under | 46c | 217.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.75 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Under | 17c | 206.67$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.65 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 58c | 199.9$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.46 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Under | 43c | 162.09$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.09 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Over | 64c | 151.97$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.53 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -11.1wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 44c | 117.14$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.6 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…0adfbacked Over | 53c | 111.9$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.85 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…a4d5backed Over | 53c | 110.66$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.85 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0e…704abacked Over | 53c | 110.66$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.85 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Over | 50c | 110$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 47c | 108.92$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.26 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 53c | 104.05$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.15 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 56c | 96.14$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.84 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -11.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x902e…5f41backed Over | 53c | 89.68$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd764…ae83backed Under | 33c | 89.24$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.11 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Under | 31c | 86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.34 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Under | 31c | 86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.34 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Under | 31c | 86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.34 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca2…088ebacked Under | 31c | 86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.34 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 43c | 83.58$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf610…741cbacked Over | 49c | 80.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.51 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe046…9bc6backed Over | 57c | 80.42$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.84 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d1…6194backed Under | 43c | 76.78$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…6df2backed Over | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Under | 50c | 58.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.21 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Over | 57c | 52.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Over | 50c | 52.14$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -13.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe9af…f4f7backed Over | 48c | 52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1026…e794backed Over | 57c | 50.26$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…9945backed Under | 45c | 50.16$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.59 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.25per pick | 43cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4788…6bc3backed Over | 53c | 44.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Under | 47c | 40.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e80…416dbacked Under | 55c | 36.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…1d65backed Over | 56c | 35.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Under | 44c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa0…9528backed Over | 65c | 33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 71cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26a8…8a98backed Over | 49c | 28.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Over | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 47c | 24.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 64 | 1.6%1 W · 63 L | -26.1wins | -0.41per pick | 42cpaid | -97.6%equal weight | 17-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Over | 49c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 184 | 41.8%77 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e38…b4cbbacked Under | 46c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 51c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1788…aa80backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +5.5wins | +0.26per pick | 55cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4827…080dbacked Under | 79c | 17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 161.5this page
- Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota LynxMinnesota Lynx won
- Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 157.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 158.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 159.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 160.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 162.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-12.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-13.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-14.5)Minnesota Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.