TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Mets vs. Yankees

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Metsof Mets, Yankees
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$385,798
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$431,892

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $385,798 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x18d2…81e0backed Yankees57c158,232$90,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90,073.641540%6 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Mets43c77,189$33,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,997.8635854.5%195 W · 163 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae36…8fb5backed Mets43c34,875$14,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,878.766556.9%37 W · 28 L+7.3wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+25.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Mets38c23,293$8,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,427.721,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x889e…09e0backed Mets46c20,824$9,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,245.1427948.4%135 W · 144 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f2…5495backed Mets58c15,133$8,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,407.239759.8%58 W · 39 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbedb…8687backed Yankees71c13,973$9,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,985.688457.1%48 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-7.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Mets43c8,810$3,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,983.461,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c54…da75backed Yankees56c7,828$4,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,350.352040%8 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-30.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1752…7993backed Mets49c6,849$3,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,493.8513262.9%83 W · 49 L+12.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+93.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Mets49c6,631$3,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,356.6333554%181 W · 154 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa320…8232backed Mets45c6,057$2,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,331.1128447.5%135 W · 149 L-20.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Yankees45c5,868$2,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,655.362,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Mets45c5,051$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,801.789,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf980…6528backed Yankees55c5,000$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,749.9911746.2%54 W · 63 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Yankees55c4,967$2,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,732.6486751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc84…3e67backed Mets44c4,213$1,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,359.086645.5%30 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e3…ce1fbacked Mets45c3,387$1,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,862.685349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe5fb…84b5backed Mets46c3,262$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7626157.4%35 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58d2…46e6backed Mets35c3,000$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,95030928.5%88 W · 221 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d45…b661backed Mets43c2,730$1,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,546.457437.8%28 W · 46 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-22.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Mets47c2,101$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,113.854048.3%261 W · 279 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa41c…fadebacked Mets45c2,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1001070%7 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+34.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfcb0…c865backed Mets45c2,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,10021941.1%90 W · 129 L-19.8wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcb39…ed7abacked Mets46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0803450%17 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa75c…895ebacked Mets44c1,769$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$990.6416352.1%85 W · 78 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Yankees57c1,754$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00021356.3%120 W · 93 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc91a…c6b8backed Yankees55c1,712$942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941.9810746.7%50 W · 57 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Mets50c1,652$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.011,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf092…4ebabacked Mets48c1,647$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.4519852.5%104 W · 94 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x069c…96e4backed Mets45c1,571$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871.433925.6%10 W · 29 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda44…2b09backed Mets40c1,560$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931.557946.8%37 W · 42 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Yankees54c1,499$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.5673352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Yankees43c1,479$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.7879740.4%322 W · 475 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Mets60c1,393$837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.1469249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yankees55c1,224$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.961,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yankees57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5701,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Yankees54c999.97$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.9871751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Mets43c953.39$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.435,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x60a1…a8e1backed Yankees55c890.24$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.0215949.7%79 W · 80 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25cc…3601backed Mets44c743.08$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.1210550.5%53 W · 52 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Yankees56c699.99$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39288549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Yankees46c689.17$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.311,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yankees20c685.9$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.31,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mets44c671.63$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.512,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7709…5852backed Mets45c666.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.672330.4%7 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-34.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0cc…73e6backed Mets62c635.54$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.8114539.3%57 W · 88 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Yankees56c607.31$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.097248.6%35 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Mets45c604$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.250852.6%267 W · 241 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yankees54c600$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32414050.7%71 W · 69 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yankees54c586.83$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.1763942.7%273 W · 366 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe544…3cfcbacked Yankees57c557.56$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.817650%38 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ce…bca1backed Yankees55c545.45$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020150.2%101 W · 100 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58db…ea03backed Yankees61c512.66$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31412347.2%58 W · 65 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Mets45c488.89$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.8939436%142 W · 252 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b21…10c5backed Yankees46c448.91$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2051172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+22.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Yankees54c435.19$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23599951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Yankees27c422.99$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.0497950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Yankees65c418.14$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.7976456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Yankees56c400$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22416151.6%83 W · 78 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Mets44c396$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.7627751.3%142 W · 135 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b02…393ebacked Mets57c373.98$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.815341.5%22 W · 31 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b34…7484backed Yankees54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002356.5%13 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49c8…5644backed Mets44c351.34$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.751650%8 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fae…3488backed Yankees57c325.78$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.1118349.2%90 W · 93 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcdc…2721backed Yankees56c325$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18220%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e42…9003backed Mets42c321.83$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.4443250.7%219 W · 213 L+10.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfaa2…93ccbacked Mets78c321.16$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.7124844%109 W · 139 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83d…3324backed Yankees58c310$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.61250%6 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-25.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Yankees56c300$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16840152.4%210 W · 191 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb84…4a20backed Yankees59c264.63$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.13742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69d4…6775backed Mets58c258.53$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.584544.4%20 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Mets45c248.24$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.5331248.4%151 W · 161 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Mets44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.272,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3def…08b4backed Mets45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.223161.3%19 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88cf…7d31backed Mets45c220$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12119849.5%98 W · 100 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Mets57c218.43$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.431,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f32…1532backed Mets46c217.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.831136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mets46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.392,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee64…3f7ebacked Yankees47c188$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.411741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+28.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yankees55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014753.7%79 W · 68 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Mets67c177.53$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.2268656.4%387 W · 299 L+38.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Yankees57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020645.1%93 W · 113 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Mets43c173.98$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.511,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76b5…c1cebacked Yankees41c169.29$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709157.1%52 W · 39 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7225…36a2backed Mets62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.293056.7%17 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yankees56c160$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.614150.4%71 W · 70 L-12.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-16.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4c54…cc1ebacked Mets35c150$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.51346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid+1,156.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Yankees68c147.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021853.2%116 W · 102 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a90…8218backed Yankees59c132.66$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.8624751%126 W · 121 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Mets78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2180955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Yankees55c126.44$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.5411036.4%40 W · 70 L-7.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-25.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9b6d…5f97backed Mets40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758146.9%38 W · 43 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4caf…6de9backed Yankees22c122.73$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2720%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b2c…284cbacked Yankees55c109.09$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6028453.9%153 W · 131 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Yankees46c105.45$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4917930.2%54 W · 125 L-9.9wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Mets45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5593240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e35…c89abacked Yankees53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535630.4%17 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef63…96cbbacked Mets45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5546753.7%251 W · 216 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1b8…2d83backed Yankees52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.