MLB · resolved market
Marlins vs. Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59aee9a8474be4288a68f5d47538cad844a620fffd29e437ed17dcadd422cf10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Padresof Marlins, Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $202,661
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $222,568
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $202,661 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Marlins | 22c | 26,271$5,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,857.95 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf980…6528backed Marlins | 39c | 24,690$9,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,518.65 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf90d…0b4dbacked Marlins | 24c | 12,431$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Padres | 61c | 11,794$7,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,599.76 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…9996backed Marlins | 0c | 8,835$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Padres | 26c | 7,029$1,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,203.63 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Marlins | 28c | 6,876$1,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,893.47 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Padres | 68c | 5,901$3,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,902.4 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Marlins | 26c | 4,813$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.99 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Padres | 62c | 4,000$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2016…b4bebacked Padres | 58c | 3,912$2,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639.46 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…c2f8backed Padres | 67c | 3,822$2,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.14 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Marlins | 13c | 3,820$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.31 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Marlins | 39c | 2,803$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.25 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Padres | 61c | 2,659$1,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.24 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…c29dbacked Marlins | 36c | 2,531$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.66 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Padres | 61c | 2,500$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Marlins | 22c | 2,409$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.77 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9db3…035cbacked Marlins | 19c | 2,354$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Padres | 63c | 2,228$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.44 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Marlins | 40c | 2,200$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Marlins | 10c | 1,737$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.66 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Marlins | 6c | 1,601$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Marlins | 23c | 1,188$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.22 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Padres | 26c | 1,100$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Marlins | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Padres | 62c | 999.97$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.99 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Padres | 54c | 983.65$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.53 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Padres | 26c | 934.43$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.27 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Padres | 62c | 900$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Padres | 62c | 899.99$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Marlins | 34c | 886.97$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.57 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe965…6559backed Marlins | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Marlins | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x385a…08d1backed Marlins | 21c | 799.99$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Marlins | 43c | 756.02$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.7 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Padres | 59c | 726$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.66 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Padres | 76c | 586$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.38 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Padres | 29c | 509.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.38 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Padres | 59c | 504.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.62 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Marlins | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Marlins | 31c | 483.87$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6475…d22fbacked Marlins | 16c | 451.44$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.63 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Marlins | 15c | 338.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Marlins | 18c | 325.17$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.82 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Padres | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Marlins | 11c | 293$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.13 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Padres | 60c | 277.66$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.06 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Marlins | 38c | 273.68$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Padres | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff5c…ccbdbacked Padres | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.38 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Marlins | 23c | 214.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ac…e7edbacked Padres | 64c | 203.38$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.38 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Marlins | 18c | 200$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c011backed Padres | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4d…265cbacked Marlins | 40c | 200$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe10e…cfddbacked Padres | 21c | 200$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Padres | 60c | 186.67$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.67 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0e…5b17backed Padres | 68c | 177.28$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.73 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Padres | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…71bcbacked Marlins | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe26a…8519backed Padres | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Marlins | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Marlins | 36c | 128.83$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.38 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Padres | 59c | 122.96$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.41 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Padres | 60c | 118$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Padres | 62c | 115.87$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.03 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73b9…ecc4backed Marlins | 14c | 110$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…1eedbacked Padres | 50c | 109.74$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.74 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec75…2e8fbacked Padres | 60c | 103$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.2 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Marlins | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Padres | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc811…a5b9backed Marlins | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Marlins | 35c | 97.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.58 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Padres | 44c | 91.04$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.04 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0f…43e2backed Marlins | 28c | 87.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Padres | 72c | 81.16$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.05 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d83…94f3backed Marlins | 22c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69fc…3f73backed Marlins | 63c | 71.47$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.78 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68d6…8b0ebacked Marlins | 67c | 70$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.9 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Marlins | 18c | 68.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 247 | 51%126 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca2…55e4backed Marlins | 31c | 65.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Padres | 44c | 62.19$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.97 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…31f9backed Padres | 59c | 55.05$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.57 | 224 | 45.5%102 W · 122 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Marlins | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…3a83backed Padres | 61c | 49.51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Padres | 59c | 47.68$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1326…522fbacked Marlins | 51c | 44.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Padres | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed Marlins | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Padres | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Padres | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Padres | 61c | 35.71$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…aae4backed Padres | 62c | 34.69$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1726…3986backed Padres | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Padres | 54c | 30.43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 195 | 66.2%129 W · 66 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…01dabacked Padres | 60c | 27.62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Padres | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e1…c293backed Marlins | 75c | 26.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 69.1%47 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Padres | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.