Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon tweet 330–344 times August 1–August 8?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3fdcc8acb8def23b90c917ec7bf5f0c7eaca5f805171c874a69248fd5a7f8c4d

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Aug 7, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $183,696
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $108,414

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $183,696 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	23c	11,300$2,565 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,564.73	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf224…7532backed Yes	30c	11,000$3,249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,248.77	33	15.2%5 W · 28 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe842…27d6backed Yes	18c	6,764$1,251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,250.97	532	5.3%28 W · 504 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-68.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x765a…efb4backed Yes	3c	6,159$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.03	387	6.5%25 W · 362 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	13c	4,750$639 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$638.59	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb5a…3965backed Yes	28c	4,070$1,136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,135.94	218	10.1%22 W · 196 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-66.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	0c	3,921$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.59	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6d8…7b80backed No	68c	3,650$2,475 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,174.94	120	15%18 W · 102 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6779…0400backed Yes	23c	3,000$690 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$690	94	7.4%7 W · 87 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	-62.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	6c	2,962$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.74	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes	21c	2,790$572 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$572.35	796	6.5%52 W · 744 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes	22c	2,702$607 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$606.64	437	19.7%86 W · 351 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	20c	2,663$533 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$532.66	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e1b…49b5backed Yes	25c	2,569$646 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$646.22	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	-2.1wins	-0.09per pick	25cpaid	-74.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x36b3…13cdbacked Yes	39c	2,507$970 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$970.27	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a54…7663backed Yes	28c	2,279$639 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$639.12	109	23.9%26 W · 83 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1f7…6a03backed Yes	25c	2,168$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550	28	17.9%5 W · 23 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	24cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes	25c	2,167$552 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$551.61	150	7.3%11 W · 139 L	-11.1wins	-0.07per pick	15cpaid	-56.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed No	60c	2,113$1,274 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$838.91	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26b6…3263backed Yes	25c	2,006$496 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$496.5	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	28cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x57f8…330abacked Yes	15c	2,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	56	16.1%9 W · 47 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	29c	1,928$556 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$556.03	788	11.5%91 W · 697 L	-33.7wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf15a…6df2backed Yes	33c	1,772$580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$580.04	90	13.3%12 W · 78 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2a0…ca0cbacked Yes	28c	1,670$473 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$472.91	99	14.1%14 W · 85 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-61%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	19c	1,500$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Yes	19c	1,500$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290	82	11%9 W · 73 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7024…4c4cbacked Yes	5c	1,500$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	192	2.1%4 W · 188 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-83.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x767c…ca6abacked Yes	24c	1,255$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	11cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	75c	1,243$933 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$309.93	518	45.9%238 W · 280 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-15%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ee0…f57bbacked No	76c	1,180$897 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$283.22	820	6.6%54 W · 766 L	+17.9wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e0e…fdb4backed Yes	27c	1,103$296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.31	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	28cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7dd…c5b7backed Yes	41c	1,070$435 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$435.38	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-1.6wins	-0.09per pick	25cpaid	-75.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12f0…6a90backed Yes	2c	1,034$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	18	0%0 W · 18 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36e7…0b6bbacked No	78c	1,000$780 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220.05	248	73%181 W · 67 L	+15.9wins	+0.06per pick	67cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x48ce…b5d6backed Yes	24c	1,000$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	33	18.2%6 W · 27 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-39.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0223…34d1backed Yes	11c	1,000$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	34	29.4%10 W · 24 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd6c…01e0backed Yes	5c	917.43$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.54	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65f6…5e4dbacked Yes	29c	712.33$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.68	64	10.9%7 W · 57 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x430e…ed6dbacked No	76c	699.98$534 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$166	209	73.2%153 W · 56 L	+16.3wins	+0.08per pick	65cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x46c6…a48ebacked Yes	31c	652.47$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe35d…f5d5backed Yes	10c	619.66$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.97	656	23.2%152 W · 504 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd4a5…74d1backed Yes	20c	616.87$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.33	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b55…32c2backed Yes	39c	596.39$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230	61	23%14 W · 47 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e61…a88abacked Yes	18c	567.22$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-58.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07b9…db98backed Yes	38c	545.08$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.05	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+127.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x05dd…4d45backed No	74c	527.01$390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136.98	76	26.3%20 W · 56 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e1a…7690backed Yes	25c	521.25$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.55	124	21.8%27 W · 97 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x243f…5a02backed No	70c	516.65$362 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.49	37	70.3%26 W · 11 L	+4.7wins	+0.13per pick	57cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x002d…2561backed Yes	24c	500$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	25	28%7 W · 18 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5032…d300backed Yes	29c	477.1$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.78	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-1.4wins	-0.10per pick	17cpaid	-68.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x75c0…1484backed Yes	17c	471.74$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-54.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6864…294bbacked Yes	30c	469$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.95	326	15.6%51 W · 275 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1580…a7c9backed Yes	22c	454.06$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4b0d…c1babacked Yes	27c	444.9$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.08	246	18.7%46 W · 200 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d16…9686backed Yes	18c	411.38$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.63	42	14.3%6 W · 36 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-48.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb8f9…55f0backed Yes	34c	402.94$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.68	43	25.6%11 W · 32 L	+2.5wins	+0.06per pick	20cpaid	+142.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x048b…a02bbacked Yes	24c	378.67$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.88	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9ee4…3485backed Yes	13c	375.06$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	37	32.4%12 W · 25 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	+83.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6de2…c71fbacked Yes	32c	324.14$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.39	94	11.7%11 W · 83 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-48.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa6f…7e67backed No	80c	324.14$259 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.2	9	88.9%8 W · 1 L	+1.4wins	+0.15per pick	74cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	20c	290$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.7	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	30c	285.18$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.16	996	19.8%197 W · 799 L	-15.9wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45a1…d54abacked Yes	37c	270$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.9	34	35.3%12 W · 22 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e30…0444backed Yes	15c	265.15$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	32	9.4%3 W · 29 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-50.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc947…0e21backed Yes	20c	262.15$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	27	22.2%6 W · 21 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	28cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19af…dd83backed Yes	28c	247.87$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.46	63	20.6%13 W · 50 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Yes	37c	230$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.1	40	22.5%9 W · 31 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	18cpaid	-28%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5638…5e50backed Yes	24c	212.44$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	41	17.1%7 W · 34 L	-2.0wins	-0.05per pick	22cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbd5…0381backed Yes	24c	209.69$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb481…bb2cbacked Yes	38c	200$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76	33	33.3%11 W · 22 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7dd…6a2cbacked Yes	24c	200$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	131	26.7%35 W · 96 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x69fc…3f73backed Yes	22c	193.04$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.47	38	47.4%18 W · 20 L	+5.5wins	+0.15per pick	33cpaid	+94.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd73b…3834backed Yes	26c	192.18$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.97	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x52b4…5fa9backed Yes	23c	189.46$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.68	172	16.9%29 W · 143 L	-6.3wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-48.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1536…0562backed Yes	17c	180$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.6	49	22.4%11 W · 38 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79ae…b9ffbacked No	80c	175.63$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.63	85	18.8%16 W · 69 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf31c…0bd6backed Yes	17c	162.69$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.95	87	23%20 W · 67 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c80…9564backed Yes	23c	153.46$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.85	179	20.7%37 W · 142 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x881a…8d6dbacked Yes	12c	151.43$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.6	92	29.3%27 W · 65 L	+3.9wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes	11c	150.01$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.91	827	11%91 W · 736 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c2f…66b2backed Yes	12c	150$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	77	24.7%19 W · 58 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e32…f587backed Yes	35c	141.39$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-53.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x392a…6bbabacked Yes	29c	138.75$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	93	24.7%23 W · 70 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa50f…84cdbacked Yes	15c	137.89$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	24cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d4c…3d9fbacked Yes	37c	137.87$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	51	23.5%12 W · 39 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e6a…4f13backed Yes	39c	136.05$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.02	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef3c…8e97backed Yes	41c	134.47$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	62	17.7%11 W · 51 L	-3.8wins	-0.06per pick	24cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f64…8448backed No	78c	131.33$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.89	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.09per pick	25cpaid	+36.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x099e…18debacked Yes	22c	130$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.6	28	28.6%8 W · 20 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0982…92c6backed Yes	14c	127.54$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.86	109	14.7%16 W · 93 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x825e…904fbacked No	70c	126.89$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.7	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	67cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb715…5455backed No	65c	119.2$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.72	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.35per pick	65cpaid	+53.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x727b…2d53backed No	65c	110.42$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.02	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.35per pick	65cpaid	+54.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xadbf…c901backed Yes	38c	105.85$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d82…7d33backed Yes	38c	104.42$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	35	20%7 W · 28 L	-2.9wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-65.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc027…cd1dbacked Yes	39c	101.4$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5930…f3fdbacked Yes	23c	100.87$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c81…0e00backed Yes	38c	100$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd8…3047backed Yes	26c	100$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	31	19.4%6 W · 25 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-58.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x454b…8bacbacked No	72c	100$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28	67	20.9%14 W · 53 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	26cpaid	-55.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Elon tweet 330–344 times August 1–August 8?this page
Will Elon tweet 255–269 times August 1–August 8?No won
Will Elon tweet 270–284 times August 1–August 8?No won
Will Elon tweet 285–299 times August 1–August 8?No won
Will Elon tweet 300–314 times August 1–August 8?No won
Will Elon tweet 315–329 times August 1–August 8?No won
Will Elon tweet 345–359 times August 1–August 8?No won
Will Elon tweet 360–374 times August 1–August 8?Yes won
Will Elon tweet 375–389 times August 1–August 8?No won
Will Elon tweet 390–404 times August 1–August 8?No won
Will Elon tweet 405–419 times August 1–August 8?No won
Will Elon tweet 420–434 times August 1–August 8?No won
Will Elon tweet 435–449 times August 1–August 8?No won
Will Elon tweet 450–464 times August 1–August 8?No won
Will Elon tweet 465–479 times August 1–August 8?No won
Will Elon tweet 480–494 times August 1–August 8?No won
Will Elon tweet 495–509 times August 1–August 8?No won
Will Elon tweet 510 or more times August 1–August 8?No won
Will Elon tweet less than 255 times August 1–August 8?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon tweet 330–344 times August 1–August 8?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event