Lol · resolved market
LoL: Barça eSports vs Los Ratones
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7dc53a71e550ec9a64c06c1e8eb25bb0cb2fffa6159e38f5af8e86cc4d30109f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Barça eSportsof Barça eSports, Los Ratones
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,386
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,977
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,386 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8aa1…99ffbacked Barça eSports | 25c | 7,109$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,309.39 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Los Ratones | 51c | 3,814$1,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,955.5 | 796 | 53.1%423 W · 373 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…4d8bbacked Los Ratones | 76c | 1,999$1,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,516.75 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Los Ratones | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 126 | 44.4%56 W · 70 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Los Ratones | 74c | 780.42$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.51 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Los Ratones | 80c | 500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,180 | 44.5%525 W · 655 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…2b06backed Barça eSports | 23c | 500$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 480 | 35.4%170 W · 310 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Los Ratones | 78c | 426.04$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.67 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Barça eSports | 23c | 378.21$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62f7…129abacked Los Ratones | 67c | 372.69$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked Barça eSports | 25c | 303.07$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.3 | 105 | 35.2%37 W · 68 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcae1…7dddbacked Los Ratones | 79c | 250$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.5 | 108 | 65.7%71 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3f…676cbacked Los Ratones | 76c | 240$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.4 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Barça eSports | 25c | 200$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.6 | 261 | 64.4%168 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad4f…b0bcbacked Los Ratones | 77c | 191.22$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.24 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Los Ratones | 75c | 107.25$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.16 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80f9…3ab9backed Los Ratones | 79c | 101.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 211 | 46%97 W · 114 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4427…9016backed Los Ratones | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Barça eSports | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 596 | 47.7%284 W · 312 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Barça eSports | 22c | 99.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.03 | 318 | 29.2%93 W · 225 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb04…8b8abacked Los Ratones | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 106 | 16%17 W · 89 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…60e7backed Los Ratones | 77c | 82$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.14 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Los Ratones | 78c | 76.92$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 153 | 70.6%108 W · 45 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c96…f165backed Barça eSports | 35c | 62.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.16 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Los Ratones | 76c | 60$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 420 | 55.2%232 W · 188 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…744cbacked Los Ratones | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Barça eSports | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 1,155 | 68.1%786 W · 369 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Barça eSports | 23c | 47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.19 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x140f…5022backed Los Ratones | 77c | 46.75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Barça eSports | 42c | 32.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 183 | 40.4%74 W · 109 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed Los Ratones | 78c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 364 | 65.1%237 W · 127 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…3050backed Los Ratones | 76c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 123 | 61.8%76 W · 47 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked Los Ratones | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 661 | 16.5%109 W · 552 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3560…7f3fbacked Los Ratones | 74c | 16.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44f…4d77backed Los Ratones | 79c | 15.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.