Token Launches · resolved market
Canton FDV above $6B one day after launch?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa335f7d6f83e3f47d13b1cfb8307b97a765753036f8950b519c6d3d504428a8e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $179,803
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $170,513
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,803 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xab51…2473backed Yes | 1c | 124,917$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.17 | 134 | 22.4%30 W · 104 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | +175.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 5,267$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.77 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fc…85a7backed No | 58c | 3,342$1,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.48 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +374.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76a3…5249backed Yes | 44c | 3,200$1,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,402.42 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 6c | 2,643$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.33 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +166%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb52d…95ffbacked No | 56c | 2,500$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8331…965abacked No | 68c | 1,872$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.46 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -24%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,144$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.73 | 237 | 7.2%17 W · 220 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6917…84d2backed No | 73c | 935.57$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e27…c659backed Yes | 33c | 912.74$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 61 | 14.8%9 W · 52 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0213…f7e3backed Yes | 35c | 846.19$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.96 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…d4c5backed No | 62c | 731.51$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.37 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +13.8wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0c…6b78backed Yes | 31c | 709.82$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.86 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c9…0f2bbacked No | 57c | 676$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.1 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +13.4wins | +0.24per pick | 31cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc3be…1a55backed Yes | 38c | 532.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f7…129abacked No | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.20per pick | 27cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee2…bea6backed Yes | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd3…4191backed No | 64c | 499.99$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e4…03a5backed Yes | 23c | 492.59$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.14 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 10c | 440.94$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.09 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00da…2fe4backed No | 67c | 409.13$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.01 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0a…4618backed Yes | 37c | 400$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f22…16d3backed Yes | 12c | 374.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad4…3d8cbacked No | 62c | 353.09$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.3 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +44%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9eaf…bf56backed Yes | 38c | 342.11$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x270f…01efbacked Yes | 33c | 341.8$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d5…5753backed No | 62c | 326.7$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.85 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e2…06fbbacked Yes | 34c | 323.4$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f9…e350backed Yes | 38c | 315$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +217.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb205…26c8backed Yes | 41c | 313.26$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4470…43e7backed Yes | 34c | 310$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0426…d8d8backed Yes | 33c | 306.8$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ef…dfb8backed Yes | 37c | 290$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbe…d65dbacked Yes | 35c | 283.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc91b…f983backed No | 67c | 260$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…853bbacked No | 67c | 255$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ce…65edbacked No | 67c | 255$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90fa…1322backed No | 67c | 255$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fa…e386backed Yes | 33c | 252$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 10c | 243.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 169 | 27.8%47 W · 122 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 31c | 242.5$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.14 | 193 | 36.3%70 W · 123 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc534…b734backed No | 61c | 231.63$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.09 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a1…6e11backed Yes | 43c | 231$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…c1aabacked No | 59c | 224.63$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.76 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b6…3817backed No | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x459b…cb0bbacked Yes | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…68b8backed Yes | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ff…997fbacked No | 57c | 175.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.53 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd62b…86d0backed No | 67c | 149.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf804…311fbacked Yes | 42c | 144.38$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 11c | 142.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 254 | 22%56 W · 198 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa207…bcdcbacked Yes | 32c | 141$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc570…5557backed No | 56c | 140.68$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.9 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 28c | 139.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 134 | 24.6%33 W · 101 L | -14.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6305…9d0bbacked No | 73c | 137.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.14per pick | 25cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb203…1f24backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3557…f7dcbacked Yes | 36c | 126.9$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98b7…4947backed Yes | 27c | 117.57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc29e…0995backed Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0d…dc21backed Yes | 47c | 107.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4d…b3f4backed No | 62c | 105$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.45 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +10.3wins | +0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…9da6backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.26 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…d122backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9582…9891backed No | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 23cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1e…4107backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6c…5711backed Yes | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa712…bcddbacked No | 63c | 94.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed Yes | 39c | 89$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.71 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 25c | 60.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 204 | 22.1%45 W · 159 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7f06backed Yes | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa772…b445backed No | 53c | 57.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cec…a753backed Yes | 38c | 56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed Yes | 21c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 156 | 37.2%58 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8f…2770backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4058…8b1cbacked No | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…f16abacked No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e06…c8c6backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 78c | 46.7$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 333 | 29.7%99 W · 234 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Yes | 43c | 46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 68c | 40.48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 212 | 40.6%86 W · 126 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x007a…0536backed Yes | 37c | 33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…8a3fbacked No | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5f…e612backed No | 58c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canton FDV above $6B one day after launch?this page
- Canton FDV above $10B one day after launch?No won
- Canton FDV above $14B one day after launch?No won
- Canton FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes won
- Canton FDV above $3B one day after launch?Yes won
- Canton FDV above $5B one day after launch?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.