Lol · resolved market
LoL: Vitality.Bee vs Los Ratones (BO5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8948e43b9d7f63d9b52eb48a71329b7a9a1f8a6ef0df703d65653661b8118eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Ratonesof Vitality.Bee, Los Ratones
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,036
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,048
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,036 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Vitality.Bee | 38c | 5,536$2,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,089.95 | 669 | 47.8%320 W · 349 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…d292backed Los Ratones | 61c | 2,452$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.65 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdaa…8420backed Los Ratones | 55c | 2,429$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.25 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 35cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa941…ec2ebacked Los Ratones | 59c | 2,400$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992 | 511 | 60.3%308 W · 203 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…2f2dbacked Vitality.Bee | 45c | 2,042$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…381bbacked Vitality.Bee | 44c | 1,876$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6937…085dbacked Vitality.Bee | 42c | 1,829$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.34 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…2b06backed Vitality.Bee | 39c | 1,615$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.13 | 480 | 35.4%170 W · 310 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Los Ratones | 63c | 1,203$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.36 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6bbdbacked Los Ratones | 56c | 1,113$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.72 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Los Ratones | 56c | 1,100$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.05 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Los Ratones | 58c | 999.99$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.99 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Vitality.Bee | 38c | 944.38$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.59 | 132 | 59.1%78 W · 54 L | +10.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Los Ratones | 59c | 667.04$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.5 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Los Ratones | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Vitality.Bee | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 190 | 41.1%78 W · 112 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Los Ratones | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.55 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Vitality.Bee | 40c | 428.7$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.48 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Los Ratones | 58c | 370.5$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.61 | 924 | 50.9%470 W · 454 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea7a…446bbacked Vitality.Bee | 40c | 355.33$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.13 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Vitality.Bee | 30c | 349.99$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.5 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63bb…da61backed Vitality.Bee | 17c | 302.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f7…129abacked Los Ratones | 60c | 259.43$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.31 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1da7…2e56backed Los Ratones | 61c | 253.29$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.34 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x269e…83debacked Vitality.Bee | 41c | 242.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…3050backed Vitality.Bee | 45c | 234.88$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.7 | 123 | 61.8%76 W · 47 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2e…1724backed Los Ratones | 63c | 230.72$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.94 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4b…75b3backed Vitality.Bee | 39c | 229.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.43 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Los Ratones | 59c | 213.25$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.43 | 487 | 42.3%206 W · 281 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d2…492ebacked Los Ratones | 55c | 200.65$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.88 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Vitality.Bee | 31c | 195.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 808 | 32.9%266 W · 542 L | -43.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Vitality.Bee | 16c | 189$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…03dbbacked Vitality.Bee | 41c | 185.85$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Los Ratones | 59c | 170.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.03 | 153 | 70.6%108 W · 45 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ba…68fabacked Vitality.Bee | 40c | 137$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.8 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa429…792bbacked Los Ratones | 62c | 128.13$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.63 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb34b…e235backed Los Ratones | 69c | 111.84$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Los Ratones | 64c | 110$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 1,155 | 68.1%786 W · 369 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80f9…3ab9backed Los Ratones | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 211 | 46%97 W · 114 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f49…463abacked Los Ratones | 58c | 86.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.83 | 200 | 45%90 W · 110 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15cc…7f61backed Los Ratones | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…564cbacked Vitality.Bee | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d43…98d4backed Los Ratones | 58c | 73.02$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Vitality.Bee | 30c | 71.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 866 | 49.7%430 W · 436 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…66abbacked Vitality.Bee | 40c | 67.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 157 | 56.7%89 W · 68 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ec…1647backed Vitality.Bee | 49c | 66.35$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f5…860ebacked Los Ratones | 60c | 61.53$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.61 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Vitality.Bee | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 504 | 55%277 W · 227 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…60afbacked Los Ratones | 56c | 54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 397 | 47.9%190 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd44f…4d77backed Los Ratones | 62c | 50.36$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6158…81bcbacked Vitality.Bee | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0f…df88backed Vitality.Bee | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Vitality.Bee | 41c | 48.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 923 | 42.7%394 W · 529 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d23…64c0backed Los Ratones | 63c | 47.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd32f…ae42backed Vitality.Bee | 37c | 47.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe25a…7dd5backed Los Ratones | 58c | 40.09$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Vitality.Bee | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff91…0b95backed Los Ratones | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Vitality.Bee | 34c | 39.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb7…0bd3backed Los Ratones | 64c | 38.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 186 | 40.3%75 W · 111 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb237…39e1backed Vitality.Bee | 43c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3d…8669backed Vitality.Bee | 42c | 31.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781a…0f55backed Los Ratones | 58c | 30.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e1…b50bbacked Los Ratones | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9a…2df3backed Los Ratones | 59c | 22.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Los Ratones | 54c | 21.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 142 | 36.6%52 W · 90 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…6e8ebacked Los Ratones | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x295c…a424backed Los Ratones | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.