Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will BNB hit $1500 by December 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb8af0c28d73c486a1bd1080eb4183709cc4cc3eed4420c7551d6298b0adb6f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $380,377
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $412,682
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $380,377 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 282 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf57…77c7backed Yes | 1c | 22,304$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.86 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -78%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc4…6770backed No | 75c | 18,879$14,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,673.33 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a8…586abacked No | 79c | 13,758$10,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,825.25 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…b978backed Yes | 7c | 13,748$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.56 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfef2…1470backed Yes | 20c | 10,600$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ab…bcd9backed Yes | 3c | 10,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 8,132$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.02 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bf…8763backed Yes | 16c | 7,196$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.44 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed No | 73c | 7,126$5,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,911.76 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ec…f568backed Yes | 25c | 5,856$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…0528backed Yes | 1c | 4,636$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0726…369cbacked Yes | 8c | 4,200$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc456…8996backed No | 79c | 4,042$3,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.72 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b8…2c1fbacked No | 69c | 3,989$2,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.87 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc89b…f512backed Yes | 7c | 3,782$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -73%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb4…26d3backed Yes | 35c | 3,467$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e3…93f2backed No | 74c | 3,386$2,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.71 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…3bd0backed Yes | 31c | 3,369$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.81 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd880…9de0backed Yes | 24c | 3,251$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8659backed Yes | 32c | 3,123$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc68…c919backed Yes | 1c | 2,960$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7aa…8ed8backed Yes | 2c | 2,929$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 2,887$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.64 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…a963backed Yes | 32c | 2,394$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4d…1ee4backed Yes | 2c | 2,010$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…675ebacked Yes | 3c | 2,000$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87c7…e71dbacked No | 73c | 2,000$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa172…b716backed Yes | 8c | 1,675$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd6…23f8backed Yes | 39c | 1,581$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.93 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 22cpaid | -85.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cb…d98dbacked Yes | 40c | 1,461$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.44 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc3…73d1backed No | 60c | 1,435$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.12 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94b4…fa4ebacked No | 71c | 1,430$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb04…8b8abacked Yes | 2c | 1,310$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62f7…129abacked No | 78c | 1,300$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0dc…42b7backed No | 71c | 1,200$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca9…ba8abacked Yes | 16c | 1,185$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d1…d312backed Yes | 11c | 1,150$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc3…fce2backed No | 72c | 1,149$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0894…cf93backed No | 76c | 1,143$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.95 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4da1…f3c5backed Yes | 14c | 1,125$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.47 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa32c…c374backed Yes | 8c | 1,051$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.08 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa6…71cabacked Yes | 7c | 1,024$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9390…6d48backed Yes | 16c | 1,023$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf493…f4f6backed Yes | 11c | 1,010$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.27 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -5.0wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3b65…0d1dbacked Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5819…83a3backed Yes | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4e…80efbacked Yes | 30c | 999.98$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6e…b110backed Yes | 14c | 997.4$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe736…990cbacked Yes | 14c | 981.8$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf73…4700backed Yes | 33c | 954.97$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 2c | 950.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 143 | 1.4%2 W · 141 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…9d19backed Yes | 43c | 930.72$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…9249backed Yes | 14c | 920.8$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f3…10ffbacked Yes | 11c | 881$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4b…b054backed Yes | 31c | 865.52$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Yes | 28c | 846.91$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.85 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…52c0backed Yes | 8c | 839.14$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.07 | 64 | 7.8%5 W · 59 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa44d…79c8backed Yes | 8c | 838.97$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.1 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51e1…cd94backed Yes | 15c | 800$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6917…84d2backed No | 77c | 795.08$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7469…8ebbbacked Yes | 5c | 785.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fd…4373backed No | 64c | 785.55$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.8 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 68cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd357…eb57backed Yes | 13c | 778.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccb…5142backed No | 77c | 768$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221c…43d7backed Yes | 32c | 755.56$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f3…80e4backed Yes | 9c | 750$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…7abfbacked Yes | 26c | 734.02$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c1…5c2abacked No | 68c | 730.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd02…6bbdbacked Yes | 27c | 730$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…958fbacked Yes | 9c | 722.05$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2e…5899backed Yes | 26c | 709.43$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc16…af7dbacked Yes | 13c | 698$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5d…0b1abacked Yes | 18c | 687.76$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.8 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d33…5601backed Yes | 23c | 683.9$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes | 3c | 673.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b97…c3e1backed No | 77c | 647.01$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 9c | 644$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.14 | 169 | 3.6%6 W · 163 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc79b…b9eebacked No | 53c | 578.09$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 25c | 570.12$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.03 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x296b…a965backed No | 71c | 558.99$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.71 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +104.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…bb3fbacked No | 70c | 556.89$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 5c | 555.46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.77 | 72 | 19.4%14 W · 58 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ea…002fbacked Yes | 5c | 555.03$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…640bbacked No | 73c | 549.99$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5f…65a3backed No | 75c | 528.79$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8329…5488backed Yes | 25c | 528.79$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x837a…e037backed No | 74c | 515.16$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c1…b8fabacked Yes | 12c | 507.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…17e2backed No | 79c | 505.66$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed No | 72c | 500$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7bf…e441backed Yes | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb526…2b2cbacked Yes | 22c | 462.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…d95cbacked No | 69c | 435.07$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.57 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…a51fbacked No | 71c | 424.09$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a1…2736backed No | 78c | 400$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +6.7wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2948…788abacked Yes | 4c | 400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0e…4419backed Yes | 13c | 389.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…d867backed Yes | 33c | 380.59$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd805…a860backed Yes | 9c | 364.72$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca0a…5c74backed Yes | 26c | 361.19$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.