TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Los Ratones (BO5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Karmine Corp Blueof Karmine Corp Blue, Los Ratones
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$908,654
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,211,340

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $908,654 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 372 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6155…7ebbbacked Karmine Corp Blue49c255,394$124,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130,801.26520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-59%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdaa…8420backed Los Ratones51c176,872$89,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89,336.19812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick35cpaid-77.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa925…e1c8backed Los Ratones27c58,584$16,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,007.55957.6%34 W · 25 L+7.0wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+28.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xda10…eeccbacked Los Ratones0c46,000$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa455…4ebabacked Karmine Corp Blue65c18,985$12,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,735.422100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x357e…2a0cbacked Karmine Corp Blue67c14,241$9,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,699.7612132.2%39 W · 82 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-5.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x52d2…2280backed Karmine Corp Blue62c13,787$8,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,252.231573.3%11 W · 4 L+4.3wins+0.29per pick45cpaid+58%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Karmine Corp Blue71c11,551$8,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,306.734854.2%26 W · 22 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x08b6…b789backed Los Ratones39c11,000$4,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2601020%2 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-43%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f4e…3f68backed Los Ratones52c10,788$5,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,609.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Karmine Corp Blue73c10,760$7,846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,913.697030%21 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid-33.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Karmine Corp Blue70c10,068$7,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,020.271457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa264…e26abacked Los Ratones65c9,097$5,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,913.291216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-42.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc210…f0cabacked Karmine Corp Blue52c7,942$4,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,812.31922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d85…228ebacked Los Ratones53c7,939$4,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,206771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8198…e96ebacked Los Ratones40c6,109$2,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,453.792544%11 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd762…1e56backed Los Ratones50c6,019$3,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,009.34425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-59.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ad4…3c1abacked Los Ratones50c6,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0002445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1b3…0329backed Los Ratones50c5,965$2,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9553141.9%13 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+67.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ffe…cd03backed Karmine Corp Blue48c5,888$2,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,061.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6df6…8458backed Los Ratones22c5,761$1,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,266.0735431.1%110 W · 244 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Los Ratones51c5,000$2,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,540.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe856…7645backed Karmine Corp Blue48c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2ab…f2c3backed Karmine Corp Blue60c4,955$2,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,981.81861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Los Ratones49c4,294$2,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,091.8827346.9%128 W · 145 L-14.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x88b9…0fc9backed Los Ratones44c4,117$1,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,797.2134837.4%130 W · 218 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb4…7a49backed Karmine Corp Blue49c4,028$1,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,054.394163.4%26 W · 15 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6f40…bd86backed Los Ratones51c3,976$2,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,008.130%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Los Ratones65c3,630$2,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,359.129548.4%46 W · 49 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Los Ratones51c3,600$1,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,835.992638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-29.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Karmine Corp Blue61c3,600$2,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,418.9241752.5%219 W · 198 L+14.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed Karmine Corp Blue45c3,465$1,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,906.0123351.1%119 W · 114 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Los Ratones24c3,405$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.963,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Los Ratones15c3,145$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.7757947.3%274 W · 305 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfe4…5c4fbacked Karmine Corp Blue49c3,014$1,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,522.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed Karmine Corp Blue51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,470250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22e6…26efbacked Karmine Corp Blue52c3,000$1,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,454.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+94.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe063…8a04backed Los Ratones64c2,887$1,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,860.0814338.5%55 W · 88 L-0.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-27.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9823…02dbbacked Los Ratones32c2,779$883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882.7321549.3%106 W · 109 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39cb…46e8backed Los Ratones49c2,652$1,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300.51633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-43.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3248…aad4backed Los Ratones5c2,500$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.1412661.9%78 W · 48 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa941…ec2ebacked Los Ratones51c2,500$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,274.9451160.3%308 W · 203 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x197b…818ebacked Karmine Corp Blue51c2,469$1,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,220.29366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba8…ab96backed Los Ratones51c2,386$1,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,220.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1ec…9c6dbacked Los Ratones51c2,354$1,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200.549459.6%56 W · 38 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4d9…4d8bbacked Karmine Corp Blue51c2,353$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,152.978756.3%49 W · 38 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf4e0…d01cbacked Karmine Corp Blue51c2,241$1,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,098.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb55…8db1backed Los Ratones49c2,241$1,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,098.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe480…ee6cbacked Karmine Corp Blue52c2,100$1,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.995850%29 W · 29 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Karmine Corp Blue50c2,041$1,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.0792450.9%470 W · 454 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Los Ratones26c2,000$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.6424240.9%99 W · 143 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Los Ratones50c2,000$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.1682352.7%434 W · 389 L+41.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Los Ratones51c2,000$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0101,18044.5%525 W · 655 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce97…6fc0backed Los Ratones46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae2b…9cc3backed Los Ratones50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00019041.6%79 W · 111 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfffd…a1e5backed Los Ratones13c2,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Karmine Corp Blue49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.991747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5c2…5e1abacked Los Ratones16c2,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0d4…0bdcbacked Karmine Corp Blue51c1,800$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8821100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd758…8a85backed Los Ratones49c1,800$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57a7…69a4backed Los Ratones49c1,700$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe75f…9b5cbacked Karmine Corp Blue51c1,700$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$830.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa24…5a9ebacked Los Ratones49c1,700$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea6a…060fbacked Karmine Corp Blue51c1,700$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8331100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8465…6bbdbacked Los Ratones70c1,676$1,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,168.893828.9%11 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid+1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Los Ratones23c1,523$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.7519239.1%75 W · 117 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed Karmine Corp Blue49c1,522$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.8341133.8%139 W · 272 L-28.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdda2…4375backed Karmine Corp Blue50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-50%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf967…8cd4backed Los Ratones32c1,500$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4802850%14 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Los Ratones49c1,500$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f5a…13e5backed Los Ratones49c1,467$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4350…a18abacked Karmine Corp Blue51c1,467$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Los Ratones39c1,420$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5506930.4%21 W · 48 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3859…3070backed Karmine Corp Blue70c1,417$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.16666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd677…7579backed Los Ratones67c1,313$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874.168943.8%39 W · 50 L-7.1wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5060…79c4backed Los Ratones23c1,272$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.693551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Los Ratones34c1,250$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.062,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0c1…8a69backed Los Ratones12c1,250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505322.6%12 W · 41 L-0.1wins0.00per pick23cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d83…15ebbacked Los Ratones13c1,169$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.192152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Los Ratones49c1,153$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.7366947.8%320 W · 349 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c81…e258backed Karmine Corp Blue38c1,118$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.861435.7%5 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c0b…2b8ebacked Los Ratones46c1,111$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.0620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d4d…794cbacked Karmine Corp Blue53c1,111$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.162454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fd1…8257backed Los Ratones65c1,050$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-35.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Los Ratones45c1,041$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.662,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd236…d292backed Los Ratones32c1,003$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3165446.3%25 W · 29 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Los Ratones49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49079653.1%423 W · 373 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a3f…4b40backed Los Ratones50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+20.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed Los Ratones2c999.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2094134.5%325 W · 616 L+33.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked Los Ratones28c998.16$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27511839%46 W · 72 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x676b…90d4backed Karmine Corp Blue52c961.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.54366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3af…749fbacked Los Ratones49c961$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.89333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-55%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed Karmine Corp Blue53c943.36$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.361546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd764…4b34backed Los Ratones49c918.36$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x595e…edb5backed Karmine Corp Blue51c918.36$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4501100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27b1…ed2bbacked Los Ratones19c879.8$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.35850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab33…4aaabacked Los Ratones4c861.19$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.45250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick36cpaid-25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e9a…5b99backed Karmine Corp Blue77c848.34$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.67475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa216…179bbacked Karmine Corp Blue49c840.51$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.661070%7 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50ec…c1f5backed Karmine Corp Blue52c809.62$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.62683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick65cpaid+33.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.