Lol · resolved market
LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbdba6966d9f310e9f6e9cf20f18a9740c7e8c51e95bb6fae64bbff2a7a9af283
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Invictus Gamingof T1, Invictus Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $393,718
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $464,199
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $393,718 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 308 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac4e…0876backed T1 | 0c | 68,900$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ee…1391backed Invictus Gaming | 72c | 30,638$21,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,703.73 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1569…4e0cbacked Invictus Gaming | 77c | 27,441$21,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,183.48 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Invictus Gaming | 77c | 22,299$17,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,073.82 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed T1 | 64c | 20,800$13,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,295.95 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf20…fff1backed T1 | 3c | 19,854$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Invictus Gaming | 75c | 15,683$11,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,923.29 | 364 | 33.8%123 W · 241 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9886…6856backed T1 | 32c | 14,984$4,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,813.28 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…6130backed Invictus Gaming | 79c | 13,697$10,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,877.76 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3dd…a7e0backed Invictus Gaming | 36c | 13,612$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,711.73 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…6658backed T1 | 24c | 12,517$2,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,972.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed T1 | 42c | 11,887$4,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,955.92 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfd…8c00backed T1 | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb9…ce7ebacked T1 | 75c | 7,686$5,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,766.07 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 67cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Invictus Gaming | 42c | 6,973$2,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,009.81 | 183 | 40.4%74 W · 109 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked T1 | 64c | 6,237$3,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,966.74 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4006…9f86backed T1 | 65c | 5,551$3,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,608.37 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Invictus Gaming | 47c | 4,684$2,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,482.93 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900a…416abacked T1 | 19c | 4,387$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Invictus Gaming | 34c | 3,514$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,327.33 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed Invictus Gaming | 40c | 3,320$1,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,995.6 | 354 | 31.1%110 W · 244 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed T1 | 52c | 3,019$1,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.83 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked T1 | 66c | 2,495$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.96 | 518 | 52.7%273 W · 245 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbcf…6fe7backed T1 | 13c | 2,492$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Invictus Gaming | 34c | 2,476$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,634.13 | 203 | 48.8%99 W · 104 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c8…5c16backed T1 | 23c | 2,416$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.73 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.29per pick | 36cpaid | -91%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e2…9b0cbacked Invictus Gaming | 69c | 2,304$1,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.17 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7778…8506backed T1 | 48c | 2,294$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed T1 | 46c | 2,263$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.98 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Invictus Gaming | 54c | 2,263$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.97 | 310 | 36.1%112 W · 198 L | -18.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd18d…fc51backed T1 | 45c | 2,216$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.12 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x832b…3ae1backed T1 | 47c | 2,214$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.44 | 297 | 58.2%173 W · 124 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee4…3485backed T1 | 66c | 2,062$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.54 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Invictus Gaming | 33c | 2,001$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.98 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf0…153ebacked Invictus Gaming | 61c | 1,918$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.54 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d68…09e4backed T1 | 52c | 1,911$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0841…9c8dbacked T1 | 33c | 1,733$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed T1 | 67c | 1,719$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.74 | 175 | 61.1%107 W · 68 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6d…e803backed Invictus Gaming | 34c | 1,620$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.19 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed T1 | 19c | 1,552$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.83 | 287 | 46%132 W · 155 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcda…bb51backed T1 | 42c | 1,510$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +164.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Invictus Gaming | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b20…2039backed Invictus Gaming | 43c | 1,382$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Invictus Gaming | 31c | 1,360$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.05 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Invictus Gaming | 48c | 1,310$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.74 | 190 | 41.1%78 W · 112 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f45…12f0backed T1 | 62c | 1,268$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked Invictus Gaming | 64c | 1,188$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.09 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac2…67a2backed T1 | 67c | 1,107$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Invictus Gaming | 46c | 1,091$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.3 | 1,185 | 48.1%570 W · 615 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked T1 | 46c | 1,077$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.78 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d58…4819backed Invictus Gaming | 42c | 1,056$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.67 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0a…a008backed Invictus Gaming | 39c | 1,023$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 30cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a9…2c34backed T1 | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.66 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x406c…bdc6backed T1 | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe529…e7b1backed T1 | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 87 | 69%60 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e19…8f80backed T1 | 66c | 897.74$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…4892backed Invictus Gaming | 36c | 833.33$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.33 | 100 | 28%28 W · 72 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95da…ceb3backed T1 | 13c | 825.65$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 32cpaid | +203.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…d9babacked Invictus Gaming | 53c | 808.32$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.33 | 131 | 50.4%66 W · 65 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36e7…0b6bbacked T1 | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked T1 | 61c | 756.13$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.76 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3911…30f3backed Invictus Gaming | 69c | 725.75$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.75 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…dc98backed T1 | 35c | 711.19$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5593…6eb9backed Invictus Gaming | 42c | 710.4$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.4 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c2…f840backed T1 | 9c | 700$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb468…a91fbacked Invictus Gaming | 43c | 699.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.56 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…3506backed Invictus Gaming | 43c | 670.07$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.58 | 337 | 38%128 W · 209 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06ca…1d4bbacked Invictus Gaming | 36c | 615.31$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.8 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…1ee8backed Invictus Gaming | 36c | 600$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 121 | 33.1%40 W · 81 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae87…e848backed T1 | 66c | 598.86$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed T1 | 42c | 586.57$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…6ce2backed T1 | 11c | 580$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec3…9766backed T1 | 62c | 577.84$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.53 | 123 | 64.2%79 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41c…43c0backed T1 | 47c | 554.78$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.75 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…42e8backed Invictus Gaming | 34c | 551.51$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3df5…b34abacked T1 | 66c | 516.67$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2a…267ebacked T1 | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…28f8backed Invictus Gaming | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e46…16a5backed Invictus Gaming | 33c | 499.99$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.99 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc46a…5e39backed T1 | 9c | 485$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 5cpaid | +128.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…602cbacked T1 | 68c | 483.18$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.56 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -6.0wins | -0.18per pick | 59cpaid | -30%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xde4e…54c6backed Invictus Gaming | 42c | 475.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.01 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +5.0wins | +0.33per pick | 27cpaid | +201.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8192…a65abacked Invictus Gaming | 35c | 438.24$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.51 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x151f…807dbacked Invictus Gaming | 70c | 429.2$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.75 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf596…7745backed T1 | 60c | 413.92$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.35 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…0a62backed T1 | 29c | 410.5$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.04 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13f…3de9backed T1 | 65c | 405.65$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed T1 | 66c | 400.02$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.16 | 1,592 | 53.7%855 W · 737 L | +57.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…ddacbacked T1 | 40c | 399.99$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…5d71backed T1 | 53c | 399.99$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.99 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75aa…9f2abacked T1 | 49c | 399.99$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.99 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Invictus Gaming | 67c | 373.97$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.41 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4427…9016backed T1 | 23c | 363.19$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.57 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94b7…768cbacked T1 | 48c | 351.52$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 223 | 55.6%124 W · 99 L | -12.3wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4de…ba61backed T1 | 26c | 346$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2441…6d21backed T1 | 62c | 340$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Invictus Gaming | 36c | 328.95$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.95 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Invictus Gaming | 57c | 320.7$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 1,241 | 52.7%654 W · 587 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b00…20e1backed T1 | 65c | 300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…f43cbacked Invictus Gaming | 31c | 300$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming (BO5)T1 won
- LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 WinnerT1 won
- LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming - Game 3 WinnerT1 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.