Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump say "Thank you" 8+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0021f7f8faf26d0630eb29c96f140eaf8b1a00b6a8224a1e666a3d4abdd0e422
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,638
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,851
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,638 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 41c | 2,234$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.12 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf6…cf40backed Yes | 74c | 1,431$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.6 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 22c | 1,348$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.81 | 210 | 22.4%47 W · 163 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac45…20c5backed No | 48c | 1,158$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.26 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…5a19backed No | 3c | 1,055$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.58 | 62 | 6.5%4 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9437…4692backed Yes | 59c | 857.81$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.27 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8341…de89backed Yes | 52c | 825.46$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.88 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x689a…6984backed No | 2c | 802.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4347…62bcbacked No | 6c | 798.45$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +67%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa638…1d87backed No | 40c | 747$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.8 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 56c | 556.07$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.56 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9195…72a4backed Yes | 50c | 497.67$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.67 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…81e6backed No | 49c | 393.44$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.79 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89bf…8349backed No | 42c | 375.5$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d11…a3b8backed Yes | 54c | 282.68$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.28 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9e…8978backed No | 45c | 244.44$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 50cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0238…722bbacked Yes | 60c | 240$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed3…07c9backed No | 44c | 225.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeac5…2003backed Yes | 58c | 208.35$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb721…3214backed Yes | 53c | 206.94$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed No | 48c | 200.35$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.72 | 126 | 19.8%25 W · 101 L | -8.9wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 35c | 200$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 326 | 26.4%86 W · 240 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3314…c66bbacked No | 8c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2853…3482backed Yes | 70c | 193.33$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.79 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +7.0wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b6…9b6abacked Yes | 51c | 183.65$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.81 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +6.7wins | +0.16per pick | 28cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked Yes | 77c | 166.67$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…76f4backed Yes | 52c | 163.83$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.26 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5238…a3c3backed Yes | 56c | 160$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc406…07d9backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed No | 50c | 146.74$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.88 | 320 | 29.1%93 W · 227 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe931…138bbacked Yes | 57c | 131.77$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.77 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…009dbacked No | 29c | 110$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97ef…5289backed Yes | 62c | 102.36$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.53 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +6.6wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 133 | 41.4%55 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4969…6d77backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed No | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…8529backed Yes | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 41c | 99.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 21c | 99.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 141 | 25.5%36 W · 105 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0107…6a95backed No | 25c | 88.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 43c | 85.26$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…5209backed No | 44c | 84.1$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…658ebacked No | 40c | 82.46$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.65 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e88…bd30backed Yes | 54c | 80$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +6.7wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +39%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0ded…9025backed No | 41c | 80$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +141.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb94f…3e73backed No | 51c | 78.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3291…2ff8backed No | 45c | 77.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b3…1426backed No | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8f…1ee8backed Yes | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…89c2backed Yes | 58c | 52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.96 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa131…70b2backed Yes | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab58…b07dbacked Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf656…942bbacked Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadcb…4b08backed No | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 59c | 49$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 136 | 73.5%100 W · 36 L | +28.4wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xb35a…272dbacked Yes | 54c | 45.92$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5107…4106backed No | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb754…7463backed No | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x756d…75e6backed Yes | 67c | 44.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62f7…129abacked No | 46c | 43.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9119…d179backed Yes | 68c | 43.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7a…8304backed Yes | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked No | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1adb…5e2dbacked Yes | 50c | 38.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.16 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91f8…5f22backed Yes | 52c | 38.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb4a…3ec6backed Yes | 53c | 37.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.41 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb195…6f85backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3576…96eabacked Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x736c…2b16backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…0a22backed No | 51c | 34.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…6381backed Yes | 54c | 33.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb22f…c36abacked No | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd773…bc20backed Yes | 64c | 31.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89bc…dddcbacked No | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3688…a354backed No | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d4…c8f5backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a7…6dd3backed Yes | 68c | 29.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…76f2backed Yes | 63c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f3…12a9backed No | 50c | 27.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 44cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -83.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9139…05a1backed Yes | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -59%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c08…eba9backed Yes | 67c | 23.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5d…63efbacked Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4143…d67dbacked Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 32cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c69…66afbacked Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Yes | 72c | 19.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc99d…5d6bbacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump say "Thank you" 8+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?this page
- Will Trump say "8 Wars" during Australia PM events on October 20?Yes won
- Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Australia PM events on October 20?Yes won
- Will Trump say "AUKUS" during Australia PM events on October 20?No won
- Will Trump say "Aluminum" during Australia PM events on October 20?No won
- Will Trump say "Aussie" during Australia PM events on October 20?No won
- Will Trump say "Australia" 8+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?Yes won
- Will Trump say "China" 3+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Australia PM events on October 20?No won
- Will Trump say "Gaza" or "Israel" during Australia PM events on October 20?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 4+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Mineral" or "Earth" 2+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Pacific" during Australia PM events on October 20?No won
- Will Trump say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" during Australia PM events on October 20?No won
- Will Trump say "Taiwan" during Australia PM events on October 20?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Tariff" 7+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Trillion" or "Million" or "Billion" 10+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Where are you from" during Australia PM events on October 20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.