TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Cupid Esports vs Conviction (BO3) - North American Challengers League Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cupid Esportsof Cupid Esports, Conviction
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$46,459
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$47,730

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,459 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xef26…05babacked Conviction36c4,875$1,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,754.861,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Cupid Esports64c4,532$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,631.433250%16 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Conviction36c4,444$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.841,48550.1%744 W · 741 L+67.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Conviction36c2,852$1,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,026.762,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked Conviction35c2,824$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.771,50154.5%818 W · 683 L+34.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Conviction32c2,400$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77645338%172 W · 281 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a03…92d3backed Cupid Esports64c1,658$1,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.856647%31 W · 35 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf431…09d9backed Cupid Esports64c1,562$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+39.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Conviction36c1,500$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54389050.6%450 W · 440 L+14.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Conviction37c1,500$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.993764.9%24 W · 13 L+5.9wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+34.3%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Cupid Esports71c1,304$926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.691,11339%434 W · 679 L-44.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86f4…bd70backed Cupid Esports63c1,126$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.62977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.25per pick53cpaid+48.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed Cupid Esports64c1,120$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.143839.7%174 W · 264 L-24.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x60bd…2469backed Conviction2c1,041$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.98238.7%2 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick4cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Cupid Esports67c1,016$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.031,04750.3%527 W · 520 L+37.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Cupid Esports69c860.2$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.6662451.4%321 W · 303 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Cupid Esports74c832.51$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.462,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Cupid Esports65c819.67$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.0611346.9%53 W · 60 L-0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Conviction9c799.46$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.951,59343.8%697 W · 896 L-74.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f4e…b690backed Cupid Esports64c777.94$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.1982554.8%452 W · 373 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ca0…38babacked Conviction25c768.32$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.51,44343.4%626 W · 817 L+105.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9b96…4389backed Cupid Esports64c750$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27066059.8%395 W · 265 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e03…040fbacked Cupid Esports68c744.29$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.178047.5%38 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Conviction23c734.85$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.651,05823.5%249 W · 809 L-75.8wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-49.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9267…869ebacked Cupid Esports64c720$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.21533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-38%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9227…e497backed Conviction22c629.45$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.0214335%50 W · 93 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Conviction31c573.23$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.3663944.6%285 W · 354 L-18.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadba…a6e2backed Cupid Esports64c546.38$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.71968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+41.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7bbb…4a56backed Conviction38c521.6$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Cupid Esports64c468.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.751,00747.9%482 W · 525 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10ef…7d7bbacked Conviction14c464.2$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.9866559.5%396 W · 269 L+72.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Cupid Esports65c461.53$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.5442143.9%185 W · 236 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Cupid Esports64c430.29$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.935442.1%149 W · 205 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfd8…e787backed Conviction37c415$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.55450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+61%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Conviction35c399.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14019758.9%116 W · 81 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4a6…6c3fbacked Cupid Esports64c391.97$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.111154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+26.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ff…3506backed Conviction26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10033738%128 W · 209 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed Cupid Esports64c373.01$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.2817835.4%63 W · 115 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Conviction22c319.54$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.922,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Conviction29c309.01$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.6139951.1%204 W · 195 L+1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed28…87cebacked Cupid Esports63c306.35$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.353138.7%12 W · 19 L-5.7wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-33.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8cd2…648cbacked Cupid Esports65c300$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10595048.5%461 W · 489 L+26.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f26…0efcbacked Cupid Esports63c296.94$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.87666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Conviction36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021458.9%126 W · 88 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Conviction14c272.24$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.151,92242.2%811 W · 1,111 L-45.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…f7dbbacked Conviction38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035045.1%158 W · 192 L+0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Conviction24c261.41$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.0735435.3%125 W · 229 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee9c…c449backed Conviction31c258.71$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.9352743.5%229 W · 298 L+32.8wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Cupid Esports78c256.22$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.351,94048.1%934 W · 1,006 L+22.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54b0…df70backed Cupid Esports64c246.15$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.614746.8%22 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked Cupid Esports64c240$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.435642.4%151 W · 205 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c42…b792backed Cupid Esports63c229.5$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.918239%32 W · 50 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Cupid Esports66c229.09$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.891,38545.1%625 W · 760 L-12.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Conviction22c207.96$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.692,31139.4%910 W · 1,401 L-83.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5a3…9e12backed Conviction36c204.18$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.212065%13 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+41.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x16f1…e1d1backed Cupid Esports64c199.98$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.9939251.3%201 W · 191 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10cf…60cfbacked Conviction30c188.67$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.68943.8%39 W · 50 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf5f…555ebacked Cupid Esports64c170.31$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.311533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-35.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc57…2a65backed Conviction19c159.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3050%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7a…aaaebacked Cupid Esports64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2526151.7%135 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+28.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c1e…befebacked Cupid Esports65c154.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.8520552.7%108 W · 97 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa56e…1c76backed Cupid Esports67c150.36$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.367566.7%50 W · 25 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x811a…9a3cbacked Cupid Esports65c150$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.510252%53 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3b…aa7dbacked Cupid Esports62c148.37$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3811750.4%59 W · 58 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x271a…dce7backed Cupid Esports64c147$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.922100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b01…c511backed Cupid Esports63c143.61$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.61250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf15…a1febacked Conviction35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508549.4%42 W · 43 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b94…09dcbacked Conviction35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506048.3%29 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bb8…7017backed Conviction35c142.84$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507546.7%35 W · 40 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Cupid Esports64c139$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.0420146.8%94 W · 107 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed Cupid Esports63c137.19$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.7646248.9%226 W · 236 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86f8…2ed6backed Cupid Esports77c130.32$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.321258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c5c…91fcbacked Conviction35c128.57$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458853.4%47 W · 41 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78fb…56bcbacked Cupid Esports64c125$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454047.5%19 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x267c…5bfdbacked Cupid Esports66c124.79$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.4327348%131 W · 142 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe803…b60ebacked Cupid Esports65c124.49$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.5727356.8%155 W · 118 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Conviction29c118.18$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.518639.2%73 W · 113 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cf8…1dcebacked Conviction36c108.33$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3912832.8%42 W · 86 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Cupid Esports64c103.12$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.128657%49 W · 37 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf247…d8cabacked Cupid Esports64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3611858.5%69 W · 49 L+12.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+20.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2888…f1a4backed Conviction35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3553932.5%175 W · 364 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Conviction36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3615660.9%95 W · 61 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked Conviction20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.655628.6%159 W · 397 L-31.8wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Conviction37c99.57$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.888342.2%35 W · 48 L-7.5wins-0.09per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Conviction37c97.24$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4539555.2%218 W · 177 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed Conviction34c95.8$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.864042.5%17 W · 23 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Conviction16c93.17$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.531,97130.5%601 W · 1,370 L-170.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Conviction22c91.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.991,60617.5%281 W · 1,325 L-245.0wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Conviction37c88.24$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6518051.1%92 W · 88 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Conviction37c80$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.610933%36 W · 73 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Cupid Esports63c78.32$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9820036.5%73 W · 127 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf532…6ab4backed Cupid Esports64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.131844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+81.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfdd…e70ebacked Cupid Esports64c78$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.0813240.9%54 W · 78 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b95…b23ebacked Conviction36c77.78$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281,02445%461 W · 563 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcb1…7992backed Cupid Esports65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.922254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb35f…cf4cbacked Cupid Esports77c75.4$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2944846.2%207 W · 241 L+1.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55d0…8c73backed Conviction25c71.39$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x692a…45ebbacked Conviction37c70$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x69d2…a218backed Conviction37c67.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa39f…1ac4backed Cupid Esports62c66$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.08425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-59.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.