Lol · resolved market
LoL: Cupid Esports vs Conviction - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51df0ae54122dfa5b05a9e56567c955c65d0979f45a652c4168fbffa2dead26d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cupid Esportsof Cupid Esports, Conviction
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,721
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,543
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,721 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Conviction | 39c | 4,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 1,482 | 50%741 W · 741 L | +65.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec8…1d07backed Cupid Esports | 61c | 3,280$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.7 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe410…d4d1backed Cupid Esports | 62c | 1,554$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.86 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21a3…3e5cbacked Conviction | 37c | 1,335$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb35f…cf4cbacked Conviction | 20c | 1,225$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.66 | 433 | 46.7%202 W · 231 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Conviction | 19c | 1,096$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.84 | 1,379 | 37.7%520 W · 859 L | -43.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…89babacked Conviction | 39c | 822.35$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.72 | 174 | 39.1%68 W · 106 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Conviction | 39c | 769.99$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 889 | 50.5%449 W · 440 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59cb…57d1backed Cupid Esports | 64c | 749.54$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.54 | 145 | 55.9%81 W · 64 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73c…bb83backed Cupid Esports | 68c | 746.78$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.49 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff6…1963backed Cupid Esports | 61c | 706$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.14 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef03…4bb8backed Conviction | 15c | 643.27$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.09 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Cupid Esports | 61c | 474.28$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.97 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78e8…3c36backed Conviction | 38c | 431.89$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.72 | 176 | 35.8%63 W · 113 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ef…7d7bbacked Conviction | 18c | 422.25$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.48 | 653 | 59.4%388 W · 265 L | +70.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Cupid Esports | 70c | 342.18$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.18 | 448 | 51.8%232 W · 216 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa56e…1c76backed Cupid Esports | 69c | 335.69$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.69 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Cupid Esports | 59c | 323.9$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.05 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…a2cbbacked Conviction | 16c | 307.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 245 | 54.3%133 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Conviction | 10c | 300.75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.77 | 1,952 | 30.6%597 W · 1,355 L | -166.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Conviction | 29c | 300$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.2 | 192 | 44.3%85 W · 107 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc27f…2a25backed Cupid Esports | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.29 | 964 | 52.7%508 W · 456 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Conviction | 37c | 288.02$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.57 | 2,152 | 53.3%1,147 W · 1,005 L | +58.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cupid Esports | 60c | 257.5$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.61 | 1,818 | 39.9%726 W · 1,092 L | -59.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Conviction | 19c | 250$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.53 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcdb…605abacked Conviction | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0a…5cc0backed Cupid Esports | 61c | 247$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.33 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Conviction | 31c | 241.77$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.95 | 2,187 | 33.3%729 W · 1,458 L | -71.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Cupid Esports | 63c | 240$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 1,381 | 45.1%623 W · 758 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Conviction | 41c | 219.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.84 | 1,441 | 43.4%625 W · 816 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Conviction | 28c | 182.83$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.53 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Conviction | 40c | 171.01$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.89 | 2,497 | 39.9%996 W · 1,501 L | -75.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Conviction | 17c | 162.59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 2,672 | 35.7%954 W · 1,718 L | -153.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9473…cba4backed Conviction | 17c | 160$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 520 | 45%234 W · 286 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Conviction | 24c | 150$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 696 | 44.4%309 W · 387 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91a2…e415backed Cupid Esports | 59c | 146.34$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb8…5a88backed Conviction | 25c | 139.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 338 | 56.2%190 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292d…25b5backed Conviction | 27c | 139.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cupid Esports | 73c | 135.23$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 1,930 | 48.2%930 W · 1,000 L | +24.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Conviction | 23c | 126.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 1,536 | 54.8%842 W · 694 L | +75.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…7017backed Conviction | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked Conviction | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…09dcbacked Conviction | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Conviction | 30c | 120$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,444 | 13.2%191 W · 1,253 L | -110.0wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee9c…c449backed Conviction | 41c | 112.81$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.25 | 527 | 43.5%229 W · 298 L | +32.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Conviction | 29c | 102.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 2,923 | 44.5%1,300 W · 1,623 L | -91.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df3…9ac3backed Conviction | 18c | 90.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 409 | 55.5%227 W · 182 L | +23.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Conviction | 26c | 90$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 1,605 | 17.5%281 W · 1,324 L | -244.2wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Conviction | 21c | 77.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 554 | 28.7%159 W · 395 L | -30.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf006…bf1ebacked Conviction | 40c | 72.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 692 | 47%325 W · 367 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Cupid Esports | 59c | 71.92$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.49 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Conviction | 25c | 62.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 1,917 | 42.3%810 W · 1,107 L | -44.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked Cupid Esports | 76c | 61.29$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 1,536 | 62.6%961 W · 575 L | +157.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bf4cbacked Cupid Esports | 61c | 61$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 104 | 60.6%63 W · 41 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Conviction | 37c | 59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 849 | 49.4%419 W · 430 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Conviction | 36c | 59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 1,049 | 46%483 W · 566 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Conviction | 35c | 58.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 2,336 | 40.4%943 W · 1,393 L | -58.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Conviction | 40c | 55.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 567 | 43.7%248 W · 319 L | -44.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd2…2b8fbacked Conviction | 40c | 54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 424 | 51.2%217 W · 207 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…2e9abacked Cupid Esports | 72c | 49.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +23.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1d…6f23backed Conviction | 39c | 49.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 400 | 48.5%194 W · 206 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Cupid Esports | 79c | 48.76$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 938 | 44.3%416 W · 522 L | -31.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Conviction | 43c | 46.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 923 | 42.7%394 W · 529 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bd…3e0fbacked Conviction | 40c | 44.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Cupid Esports | 78c | 43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 1,054 | 47.2%497 W · 557 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb7…e9dbbacked Conviction | 40c | 37.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Conviction | 40c | 37.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 1,301 | 47.2%614 W · 687 L | -32.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Cupid Esports | 60c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Conviction | 37c | 31.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 445 | 38.2%170 W · 275 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Cupid Esports | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31d1…a9f7backed Cupid Esports | 69c | 30.94$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ef…647cbacked Cupid Esports | 66c | 30.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a75…006ebacked Conviction | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Cupid Esports | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 972 | 54.3%528 W · 444 L | +46.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed Cupid Esports | 68c | 19.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 463 | 62.6%290 W · 173 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Cupid Esports vs Conviction - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: CPD (-1.5) vs Conviction (+1.5)Cupid Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Cupid Esports vs Conviction (BO3) - North American Challengers League PlayoffsCupid Esports won
- LoL: Cupid Esports vs Conviction - Game 2 WinnerCupid Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.