TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

US Open, Qualification ATP: Francesco Passaro vs Felix Gill

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Francesco Passaroof Francesco Passaro, Felix Gill
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$67,006
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$66,573

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,006 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb7ab…a2d1backed Francesco Passaro52c9,621$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,620.798356.6%47 W · 36 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+23.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Felix Gill48c7,141$3,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,428.513,54142.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L-44.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae6a…de5ebacked Felix Gill15c5,166$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.323360.1%140 W · 93 L+21.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1680…490dbacked Francesco Passaro55c4,262$2,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,937.922937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-3.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Felix Gill45c2,941$1,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,336.268,72636.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L-187.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Francesco Passaro54c2,805$1,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,290.5336149.6%179 W · 182 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaf3…e802backed Felix Gill1c2,680$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0747328.3%134 W · 339 L+19.2wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Felix Gill8c2,578$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.359528.1%77 W · 875 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d7e…2ef7backed Francesco Passaro56c2,300$1,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0125050%25 W · 25 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-19.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Felix Gill45c2,100$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94366444.6%296 W · 368 L+29.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x60ef…abd6backed Francesco Passaro48c2,083$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.332123.8%5 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick39cpaid-44.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Felix Gill12c1,908$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.654,64749.3%2,291 W · 2,356 L+159.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x022c…5ef0backed Francesco Passaro53c1,887$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.79837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-30.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed Felix Gill13c1,846$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.1134145.2%154 W · 187 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Felix Gill34c1,733$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.888,39642.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L-162.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Felix Gill46c1,500$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6903,18748.4%1,542 W · 1,645 L-46.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Felix Gill16c1,367$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.0947842.5%203 W · 275 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Felix Gill11c1,308$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.831,01336.5%370 W · 643 L-17.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6170…f3fdbacked Francesco Passaro55c1,273$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.7327262.9%171 W · 101 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Felix Gill5c1,203$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.144,87541.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L-77.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67f9…d72ebacked Felix Gill48c1,050$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.116459.4%38 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Felix Gill47c999.55$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.796,41946.4%2,978 W · 3,441 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Felix Gill47c875.12$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.314,88238.8%1,892 W · 2,990 L-17.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d3…8a20backed Francesco Passaro77c676.12$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.519466%62 W · 32 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ea…2f71backed Felix Gill39c671.79$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26243558.9%256 W · 179 L+23.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2e8…c60ebacked Felix Gill39c642.05$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.436260.5%219 W · 143 L+27.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8558…8615backed Felix Gill40c599.65$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.2930563.9%195 W · 110 L+34.0wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+21.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Felix Gill47c504.04$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.979857.6%460 W · 338 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5513…de2abacked Felix Gill14c500$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7073738.8%286 W · 451 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked Francesco Passaro55c450$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.518156.9%103 W · 78 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Felix Gill45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20096541.5%400 W · 565 L+14.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x940c…6f91backed Francesco Passaro57c438.6$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.68758.6%51 W · 36 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+70.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2de6…fb10backed Francesco Passaro55c436.36$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.3644056.1%247 W · 193 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed Francesco Passaro60c432$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.838047.1%179 W · 201 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Felix Gill9c408.5$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7727236%98 W · 174 L-1.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid+8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x734e…edbdbacked Francesco Passaro51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.165932.2%19 W · 40 L-8.1wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-27.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfea6…b795backed Felix Gill28c368.99$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.7250341.9%211 W · 292 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Felix Gill45c343.74$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.262,69647.9%1,292 W · 1,404 L+46.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Felix Gill43c341.68$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.642,99757.3%1,717 W · 1,280 L+170.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8788…d82abacked Francesco Passaro54c305.74$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.642352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x974a…86e5backed Francesco Passaro57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1292100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Felix Gill14c298.18$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.71,25238.8%486 W · 766 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Francesco Passaro53c284.36$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.955846.6%27 W · 31 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Felix Gill46c274.14$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.12,21242.9%948 W · 1,264 L+34.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Felix Gill46c269.77$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.251,62454.4%883 W · 741 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4bb…22a9backed Francesco Passaro56c250$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1105549.1%27 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Felix Gill47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9450147.7%239 W · 262 L-15.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Felix Gill44c199.2$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.651,63848.2%789 W · 849 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5056…fbb3backed Felix Gill44c195.39$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.976838.2%26 W · 42 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe809…039bbacked Felix Gill49c193$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.85728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7f…d002backed Francesco Passaro53c188.75$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.712147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Francesco Passaro75c188.4$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.4711,32543.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L+18.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Francesco Passaro55c178$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.111548.7%56 W · 59 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0868…efe8backed Felix Gill24c127.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.876540%26 W · 39 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Felix Gill46c127$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.8830335.3%107 W · 196 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90bf…99ebbacked Felix Gill46c120.15$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.772454.2%13 W · 11 L+4.0wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+80.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfb8e…3dc3backed Felix Gill26c115.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3017936.9%66 W · 113 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+23.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed Francesco Passaro61c111.27$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.881,00154.9%550 W · 451 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Felix Gill45c103$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.492,39438.4%920 W · 1,474 L+87.7wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbadb…31a7backed Felix Gill46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Felix Gill47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471,89548.1%911 W · 984 L+15.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x715d…a4babacked Francesco Passaro50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5034047.6%162 W · 178 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Felix Gill45c99.98$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.995848.3%28 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8bd…918bbacked Francesco Passaro55c96.8$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddfc…cd9ebacked Francesco Passaro53c96.79$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.495957.6%34 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf19…8869backed Felix Gill49c90.23$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3610532.4%34 W · 71 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaf3b…9035backed Francesco Passaro57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7230355.8%169 W · 134 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e69…553abacked Francesco Passaro57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7291255.9%510 W · 402 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe24e…eecebacked Francesco Passaro57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7287054.6%475 W · 395 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66ac…5e75backed Francesco Passaro57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7293055.9%520 W · 410 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd16f…9713backed Felix Gill24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208759.8%52 W · 35 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+26.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Felix Gill47c81.89$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.493,80945.4%1,730 W · 2,079 L-35.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14a9…0f04backed Francesco Passaro53c81.13$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.131838.9%7 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.17per pick56cpaid-34.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Francesco Passaro56c80$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.28439.3%33 W · 51 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa58b…dd02backed Felix Gill26c78.73$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.474731.9%15 W · 32 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Felix Gill46c78.42$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.077,10049.7%3,530 W · 3,570 L+107.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d6c…61dbbacked Felix Gill47c76.09$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Felix Gill46c69.95$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.162,00453.2%1,067 W · 937 L+52.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc243…5e94backed Felix Gill45c67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1514637.7%55 W · 91 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Felix Gill46c66.41$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5542353%224 W · 199 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xed91…3ae5backed Francesco Passaro53c64.32$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.231050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Felix Gill20c62.91$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8818939.2%74 W · 115 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x029b…2542backed Felix Gill24c59$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.161216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-44.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88a9…e618backed Francesco Passaro57c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6391354.9%501 W · 412 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Francesco Passaro57c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6347956.8%272 W · 207 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0fd…3798backed Felix Gill46c52.37$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.099421.3%20 W · 74 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd13e…ed01backed Felix Gill48c51.52$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4832754.4%178 W · 149 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked Felix Gill35c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.57549.3%37 W · 38 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Felix Gill46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236,68536.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L-96.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Felix Gill43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.525042.4%106 W · 144 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Felix Gill45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6750948.1%245 W · 264 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf98d…384ebacked Francesco Passaro57c49.06$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.134057.5%23 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed Francesco Passaro55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4512248.4%59 W · 63 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Felix Gill44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205,19928.8%1,496 W · 3,703 L-18.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Felix Gill45c43.34$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.54,15952.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L+66.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Francesco Passaro55c43$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3580856.9%460 W · 348 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a7b…f972backed Felix Gill47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011640.5%47 W · 69 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18d8…da3bbacked Francesco Passaro62c40.55$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5625048.4%121 W · 129 L+22.9wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x481d…9098backed Francesco Passaro52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.24757.4%27 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x90f3…ac83backed Felix Gill52c38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.765541.8%23 W · 32 L-6.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-26.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.