TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
ex-RUSTECof G2 Ares, ex-RUSTEC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$81,426
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$85,827

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,426 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 200 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7e5e…7315backed G2 Ares46c32,662$15,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,005.6622943.7%100 W · 129 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked ex-RUSTEC55c13,447$7,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,064.795,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed ex-RUSTEC53c8,002$4,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,760.8984958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked ex-RUSTEC53c4,500$2,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,11518550.8%94 W · 91 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa91a…ddacbacked ex-RUSTEC58c3,234$1,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,358.191861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf84d…8830backed ex-RUSTEC54c2,250$1,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.996663.6%42 W · 24 L+7.8wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+22.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked G2 Ares24c2,172$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.1117448.3%84 W · 90 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd385…34fbbacked G2 Ares42c1,746$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.3513852.9%73 W · 65 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed G2 Ares43c1,321$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.151,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed G2 Ares46c1,280$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.822142.5%94 W · 127 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked ex-RUSTEC57c1,217$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.3175652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed G2 Ares28c1,138$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.165,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed ex-RUSTEC55c1,081$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.4846555.1%256 W · 209 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x051c…ca3fbacked G2 Ares41c975.61$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40035847.5%170 W · 188 L-13.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xddbc…5dcebacked G2 Ares40c791.23$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.491346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed ex-RUSTEC56c778.35$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.4759755.4%331 W · 266 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed ex-RUSTEC54c777.77$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.7864854.3%352 W · 296 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed G2 Ares19c750.06$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.521,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ad1…b4c5backed ex-RUSTEC54c740.74$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.747352.1%38 W · 35 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed ex-RUSTEC57c700$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30355941%229 W · 330 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7786…c005backed G2 Ares42c680$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.622342.2%94 W · 129 L-13.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0e4…dd38backed ex-RUSTEC73c675.12$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.2337057%211 W · 159 L+16.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed ex-RUSTEC58c640.22$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.8961154.7%334 W · 277 L+11.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed ex-RUSTEC55c632.42$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.152,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked G2 Ares49c624.96$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.071,35252%703 W · 649 L+29.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5779…0fddbacked G2 Ares2c623.81$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed G2 Ares42c549.76$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.946243.3%200 W · 262 L+1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e18…872ebacked ex-RUSTEC55c545.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.455172.5%37 W · 14 L+7.6wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+23.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe36c…a856backed G2 Ares20c542.98$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.238637.2%32 W · 54 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88f2…a6c1backed ex-RUSTEC55c539.16$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.6413352.6%70 W · 63 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc386…386fbacked ex-RUSTEC48c530.19$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.2525944.8%116 W · 143 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+30%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed ex-RUSTEC55c521.1$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.14271.4%30 W · 12 L+6.8wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+22.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed G2 Ares42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21097040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d85…2fc6backed ex-RUSTEC57c489.12$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.29540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed G2 Ares28c422.71$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.4469445%312 W · 382 L-24.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4ae…8eadbacked G2 Ares41c407.66$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.14812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick36cpaid-66.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed G2 Ares19c407$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.8957322.3%128 W · 445 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c2a…a4bbbacked G2 Ares22c405$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.17234.7%25 W · 47 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-21.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed G2 Ares48c404.25$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19625440.6%103 W · 151 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked G2 Ares49c402.3$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.413,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xef20…8f64backed G2 Ares44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17612334.1%42 W · 81 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d39…5408backed ex-RUSTEC58c400$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1681353.8%7 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed G2 Ares45c379.05$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.462,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked G2 Ares43c368.99$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.6716550.3%83 W · 82 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd4f…a4d3backed ex-RUSTEC74c361.5$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.554353.5%23 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccf6…b29fbacked ex-RUSTEC61c359.43$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.188855.7%49 W · 39 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f8e…0c69backed G2 Ares45c349.16$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.2127438.3%105 W · 169 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc754…4b1dbacked G2 Ares42c342.94$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.0334140.8%139 W · 202 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcef5…e9acbacked G2 Ares44c321.01$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.246437.5%24 W · 40 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbadb…31a7backed ex-RUSTEC60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12012344.7%55 W · 68 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked ex-RUSTEC58c299.99$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12610454.8%57 W · 47 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed ex-RUSTEC59c299.25$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2999148.3%479 W · 512 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed G2 Ares42c298.22$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.8910946.8%51 W · 58 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3311…1063backed G2 Ares44c295.45$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+30.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6691…5a83backed G2 Ares44c290.91$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1284841.7%20 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae8d…6db9backed G2 Ares46c286.96$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c6d…ab76backed ex-RUSTEC54c279$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.3433849.7%168 W · 170 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6421…045dbacked G2 Ares20c273.54$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.6616248.1%78 W · 84 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed G2 Ares42c265.63$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.5655039.6%218 W · 332 L-20.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x97f2…d56fbacked ex-RUSTEC57c259.71$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.963666.7%24 W · 12 L+4.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+29.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1058…01c1backed ex-RUSTEC60c259$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.691392.3%12 W · 1 L+4.0wins+0.31per pick61cpaid+55.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd30b…2acdbacked ex-RUSTEC60c248$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.24961.2%30 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed G2 Ares46c239.13$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11012545.6%57 W · 68 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked ex-RUSTEC60c237.85$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.562,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked ex-RUSTEC70c229.92$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.152,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5217…c89abacked ex-RUSTEC55c229.03$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.062369.6%16 W · 7 L+4.4wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+42.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x072e…df3abacked G2 Ares44c213.75$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.053043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked G2 Ares42c213$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.3549536.4%180 W · 315 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x732f…f245backed G2 Ares41c212.6$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.172240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-28.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x903c…02febacked ex-RUSTEC52c210$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.82450%12 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa1bf…f357backed ex-RUSTEC58c209.99$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.27546.7%35 W · 40 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed ex-RUSTEC72c207.77$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.342,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x50b4…9428backed G2 Ares49c204$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002050%10 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed G2 Ares48c203.78$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.997963.3%50 W · 29 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9311…e731backed G2 Ares53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1066759.7%40 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c3…0566backed ex-RUSTEC60c195.91$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.369662.5%60 W · 36 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed ex-RUSTEC54c188$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.4850056.6%283 W · 217 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd22…bb29backed ex-RUSTEC56c187.78$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.62450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked G2 Ares45c184$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.231,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x83c4…3212backed ex-RUSTEC55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8231761.2%194 W · 123 L+22.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb9cd…f418backed ex-RUSTEC54c180$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.8771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+38.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3e7…6036backed ex-RUSTEC58c168.86$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.921758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b6b…acabbacked ex-RUSTEC60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.672962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x094a…e4a9backed G2 Ares42c159.27$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.93842.1%16 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90e0…6307backed ex-RUSTEC55c158.24$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.212470.8%17 W · 7 L+4.6wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+44.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd2bb…bd8ebacked G2 Ares29c158.15$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5419236.5%70 W · 122 L-15.5wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-37.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3911…30f3backed G2 Ares47c157.81$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7426251.1%134 W · 128 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x787f…d40cbacked G2 Ares42c156.45$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.5127940.5%113 W · 166 L-16.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f93…a687backed ex-RUSTEC62c156.15$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.36354%34 W · 29 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb697…5d0cbacked G2 Ares43c155.81$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674845.8%22 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad89…e006backed G2 Ares16c151.29$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1939440.4%159 W · 235 L+30.0wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+20.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1bac…d241backed G2 Ares46c146.69$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.4840639.4%160 W · 246 L-1.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad22…014abacked ex-RUSTEC52c145$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.665548.9%320 W · 335 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed G2 Ares42c145$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.91323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick30cpaid+23.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d40…dd57backed G2 Ares43c139.98$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.1912340.7%50 W · 73 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x850a…b55fbacked G2 Ares27c139.8$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.412425%6 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b0c…d43abacked G2 Ares43c139$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.7746447.6%221 W · 243 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x536e…4fd5backed ex-RUSTEC54c138.72$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.816465.6%42 W · 22 L+8.0wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+21.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa62b…58aabacked ex-RUSTEC55c138.55$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.039748.5%47 W · 50 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed G2 Ares18c137.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.336,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.