CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd641d7bec152498fc3d0d62843cf7f3e79d522198a0fdc18c5a43c82fa7f8b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-RUSTECof G2 Ares, ex-RUSTEC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,678
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,091
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,678 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd876…4c8bbacked G2 Ares | 1c | 5,584$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked ex-RUSTEC | 47c | 704.21$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.03 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed ex-RUSTEC | 65c | 695.93$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.84 | 402 | 64.7%260 W · 142 L | +49.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked ex-RUSTEC | 55c | 548.64$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.48 | 258 | 46.1%119 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9279…4748backed G2 Ares | 63c | 540.76$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.68 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad1f…7f94backed ex-RUSTEC | 48c | 431.61$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.37 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked G2 Ares | 53c | 420.58$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.44 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed G2 Ares | 32c | 420$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.05 | 364 | 46.7%170 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6abd…94ecbacked ex-RUSTEC | 70c | 326.88$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.66 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked G2 Ares | 49c | 319.99$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.03 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed G2 Ares | 25c | 302.43$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.16 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked G2 Ares | 35c | 286$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked G2 Ares | 38c | 267.9$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.07 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked G2 Ares | 41c | 215$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.35 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed ex-RUSTEC | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 317 | 49.5%157 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50b4…9428backed G2 Ares | 52c | 194.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…a265backed G2 Ares | 54c | 143.27$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.88 | 189 | 43.9%83 W · 106 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bb…bd8ebacked ex-RUSTEC | 61c | 114.73$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.66 | 192 | 36.5%70 W · 122 L | -15.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb87…4611backed ex-RUSTEC | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 121 | 58.7%71 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed G2 Ares | 36c | 107.79$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.86 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed ex-RUSTEC | 49c | 104$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.39 | 457 | 48.1%220 W · 237 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked ex-RUSTEC | 60c | 103.06$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.75 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed ex-RUSTEC | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | -27.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…58aabacked G2 Ares | 54c | 90.62$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.9 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked ex-RUSTEC | 45c | 87.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.44 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6b…acabbacked ex-RUSTEC | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked G2 Ares | 22c | 78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked G2 Ares | 60c | 65.1$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3b…2921backed G2 Ares | 51c | 49.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked ex-RUSTEC | 72c | 41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed G2 Ares | 56c | 40.72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b9…a687backed G2 Ares | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…8238backed ex-RUSTEC | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb283…4501backed G2 Ares | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…3467backed G2 Ares | 48c | 38.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…934fbacked ex-RUSTEC | 52c | 38.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 324 | 63%204 W · 120 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked G2 Ares | 52c | 38.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb7…e9dbbacked ex-RUSTEC | 45c | 35.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked ex-RUSTEC | 66c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 397 | 72.5%288 W · 109 L | +38.5wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked ex-RUSTEC | 50c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked G2 Ares | 35c | 31.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…91b1backed G2 Ares | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 162 | 56.8%92 W · 70 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6280…f8cbbacked G2 Ares | 56c | 19.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stageex-RUSTEC won
- Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 2 Winnerex-RUSTEC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.