Tennis · resolved market
US Open, Qualification ATP: Alex Bolt vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96abf51b6d57d5055d66fe25596d9f9dc050d4b861ad47a09761452e5cc6875f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pablo Llamas Ruizof Alex Bolt, Pablo Llamas Ruiz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $341,277
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $349,099
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $341,277 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3970…44cebacked Alex Bolt | 35c | 144,482$50,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,262.31 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 65c | 59,945$38,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,980.75 | 1,217 | 46.3%563 W · 654 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 65c | 52,907$34,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,681.46 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdf…ec9ebacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 71c | 15,905$11,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,604.64 | 183 | 57.9%106 W · 77 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 66c | 13,777$9,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,726.95 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Alex Bolt | 38c | 12,935$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 365 | 44.9%164 W · 201 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45e4…7e20backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 65c | 12,297$7,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,301.05 | 192 | 46.9%90 W · 102 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3170…c6a0backed Alex Bolt | 28c | 11,451$3,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,206.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 71c | 9,821$6,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,829.31 | 4,253 | 45%1,912 W · 2,341 L | +20.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Alex Bolt | 29c | 6,896$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.84 | 1,683 | 50.6%851 W · 832 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Alex Bolt | 27c | 6,402$1,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,738.67 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccc…77abbacked Alex Bolt | 33c | 6,155$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,001 | 265 | 54.7%145 W · 120 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 71c | 6,000$4,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 392 | 49.7%195 W · 197 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ab…ee2bbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 67c | 5,070$3,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,689.88 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc144…c809backed Alex Bolt | 41c | 4,390$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 116 | 30.2%35 W · 81 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Alex Bolt | 35c | 3,610$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.14 | 364 | 34.3%125 W · 239 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9217…ce22backed Alex Bolt | 31c | 3,257$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 64c | 2,500$1,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889 | 417 | 48.2%201 W · 216 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 68c | 2,489$1,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.29 | 3,155 | 57.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L | +176.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc627…47b2backed Alex Bolt | 37c | 2,162$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 392 | 56.6%222 W · 170 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed Alex Bolt | 36c | 2,000$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.21 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…a2d1backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 66c | 1,989$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.14 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Alex Bolt | 30c | 1,982$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.24 | 1,754 | 49.1%862 W · 892 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Alex Bolt | 29c | 1,975$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.75 | 627 | 52%326 W · 301 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 68c | 1,808$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.7 | 436 | 52.1%227 W · 209 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…cb1abacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.9 | 310 | 56.1%174 W · 136 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf0…b554backed Alex Bolt | 34c | 1,600$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 69c | 1,544$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.22 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…6300backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 59c | 1,543$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.85 | 109 | 54.1%59 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd32d…23b4backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 67c | 1,538$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.4 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9c…a518backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 71c | 1,500$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x689f…259cbacked Alex Bolt | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f8…df87backed Alex Bolt | 41c | 1,425$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.35 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 71c | 1,200$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.99 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Alex Bolt | 31c | 1,196$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.84 | 1,702 | 48.3%822 W · 880 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 67c | 1,183$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.77 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e3…aaf2backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 64c | 1,158$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.27 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…e23abacked Alex Bolt | 35c | 1,132$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.2 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3622…3facbacked Alex Bolt | 33c | 1,115$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.67 | 87 | 69%60 W · 27 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Alex Bolt | 34c | 1,079$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.95 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1680…490dbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 67c | 1,012$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.18 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 69c | 1,000$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 910 | 50.2%457 W · 453 L | -20.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bd…6dddbacked Alex Bolt | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Alex Bolt | 29c | 997$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.13 | 199 | 48.7%97 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14a2…704cbacked Alex Bolt | 22c | 909.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 145 | 18.6%27 W · 118 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…f5eebacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 66c | 900$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…00f6backed Alex Bolt | 34c | 800$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 159 | 45.3%72 W · 87 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2b…9b9ebacked Alex Bolt | 17c | 758.6$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.86 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Alex Bolt | 29c | 670$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.3 | 234 | 29.9%70 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Alex Bolt | 31c | 664.59$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.92 | 2,521 | 38.4%969 W · 1,552 L | +93.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Alex Bolt | 22c | 636.66$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.02 | 1,745 | 48.1%840 W · 905 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 66c | 614.62$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.1 | 1,008 | 57.7%582 W · 426 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Alex Bolt | 35c | 600$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 692 | 44.4%307 W · 385 L | +29.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Alex Bolt | 34c | 600$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 2,275 | 42.7%972 W · 1,303 L | +33.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Alex Bolt | 29c | 600$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Alex Bolt | 35c | 576.52$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.88 | 591 | 57.7%341 W · 250 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Alex Bolt | 13c | 514.69$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.91 | 3,798 | 54.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L | +111.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alex Bolt | 26c | 512.66$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.39 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Alex Bolt | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 332 | 34%113 W · 219 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Alex Bolt | 38c | 484.04$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.21 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 1,853 | 48.4%897 W · 956 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Alex Bolt | 38c | 428.95$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 1,053 | 40.9%431 W · 622 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Alex Bolt | 36c | 416$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.76 | 447 | 42.3%189 W · 258 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 68c | 411.63$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.6 | 2,444 | 51.3%1,254 W · 1,190 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 65c | 410.77$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.77 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d39…5408backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 65c | 399.99$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 70c | 394.29$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.83 | 1,476 | 43.8%647 W · 829 L | -26.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Alex Bolt | 41c | 362$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.22 | 1,404 | 42.8%601 W · 803 L | -31.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Alex Bolt | 29c | 358.28$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.9 | 3,319 | 48.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L | -52.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Alex Bolt | 32c | 339.12$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.71 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 62c | 330$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.4 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 77c | 326.42$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.02 | 1,314 | 39%512 W · 802 L | -23.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Alex Bolt | 32c | 318.41$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.26 | 744 | 38.7%288 W · 456 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Alex Bolt | 21c | 312.84$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.79 | 1,824 | 46.5%849 W · 975 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6155…bb9ebacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…31a7backed Alex Bolt | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 71c | 280.28$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.28 | 258 | 55%142 W · 116 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8f…14d1backed Alex Bolt | 17c | 276$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.92 | 254 | 37%94 W · 160 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x953a…624cbacked Alex Bolt | 4c | 261.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | -8.5wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 64c | 251.85$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.41 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Alex Bolt | 34c | 249.8$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.17 | 1,766 | 45.9%810 W · 956 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Alex Bolt | 32c | 240$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 1,580 | 42.3%668 W · 912 L | +18.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1903…f674backed Alex Bolt | 18c | 239.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 68c | 232.72$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.47 | 3,711 | 45.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Alex Bolt | 23c | 220.93$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.68 | 2,839 | 47.2%1,340 W · 1,499 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb720…da75backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 68c | 213.18$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.18 | 416 | 64.4%268 W · 148 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 79c | 201.98$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.42 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed Alex Bolt | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Alex Bolt | 36c | 200$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Alex Bolt | 30c | 199$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.7 | 1,047 | 50%524 W · 523 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Alex Bolt | 29c | 196.55$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 652 | 50.3%328 W · 324 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Alex Bolt | 33c | 181.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.6 | 1,878 | 53.2%1,000 W · 878 L | +30.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed Alex Bolt | 35c | 169.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.01 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Alex Bolt | 29c | 167.47$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa132…6655backed Alex Bolt | 39c | 164.56$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.41 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Alex Bolt | 37c | 160$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Alex Bolt | 20c | 155$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 792 | 38.3%303 W · 489 L | -15.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf4…7e67backed Alex Bolt | 17c | 152.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed Alex Bolt | 29c | 150$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 954 | 45.5%434 W · 520 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 71c | 145$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.05 | 976 | 44.6%435 W · 541 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Open, Qualification ATP: Alex Bolt vs Pablo Llamas Ruizthis page
- Game Spread: Ruiz (-1.5) vs Bolt (+1.5)Ruiz won
- Set 1 Winner: Bolt vs RuizRuiz won
- Set Handicap: Ruiz (-1.5) vs Bolt (+1.5)Ruiz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.