Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6455d12f8907177090b8410771173c31e928cbf99742726db8a5d27ecea229e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,413
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,444
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,413 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 70c | 2,420$1,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.52 | 1,535 | 54.9%843 W · 692 L | +40.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 32c | 750$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.5 | 488 | 36.5%178 W · 310 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 29c | 744.46$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.11 | 2,058 | 30.6%629 W · 1,429 L | -175.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Over | 28c | 714.28$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 441 | 42.9%189 W · 252 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 71c | 606.56$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.63 | 2,191 | 53.5%1,173 W · 1,018 L | +63.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Over | 31c | 451.73$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.98 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 31c | 359.87$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.32 | 3,032 | 44.4%1,347 W · 1,685 L | -100.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Under | 68c | 196.84$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.79 | 911 | 51%465 W · 446 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…7dc9backed Over | 28c | 152.76$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.77 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Under | 72c | 138.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 234 | 49.6%116 W · 118 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Over | 28c | 114$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Under | 70c | 99.26$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.91 | 466 | 48.7%227 W · 239 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed Over | 30c | 99.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 31c | 89.35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 609 | 43.2%263 W · 346 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 32c | 89.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 2,574 | 39.7%1,021 W · 1,553 L | -81.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Over | 29c | 82.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 631 | 49.9%315 W · 316 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Under | 64c | 82.01$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.62 | 217 | 36.9%80 W · 137 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 31c | 69.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 175 | 40.6%71 W · 104 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e8…65dbbacked Under | 69c | 65.22$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 111 | 62.2%69 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 29c | 64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 363 | 44.9%163 W · 200 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 69c | 60.48$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 1,368 | 48.8%667 W · 701 L | -29.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Over | 31c | 60.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5926…e20abacked Under | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 69c | 49.7$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 663 | 44.2%293 W · 370 L | -21.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Under | 69c | 39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca6…9da8backed Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a75…006ebacked Under | 69c | 24.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 69c | 22.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 1,175 | 39.1%460 W · 715 L | -44.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…5badbacked Under | 71c | 17.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 148 | 64.2%95 W · 53 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Under | 69c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 383 | 58%222 W · 161 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bf4cbacked Under | 70c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 4.5this page
- Game Handicap: FOX.Y (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (+1.5)BNK FearX Youth won
- Game Handicap: FOX.Y (-2.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (+2.5)BNK FearX Youth won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Play-InBNK FearX Youth won
- LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 1 WinnerBNK FearX Youth won
- LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 2 WinnerBNK FearX Youth won
- LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 3 WinnerBNK FearX Youth won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.