Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd149139476c35a0c463fd1e6e5a9e5ae0667a034e3d444cb8d18ac60a2656722
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,619
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,535
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,619 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c42…b792backed Over | 69c | 1,176$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.07 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 35c | 1,043$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.65 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 34c | 943.62$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.09 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…d69bbacked Over | 69c | 855.07$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -5.0wins | -0.41per pick | 58cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Under | 31c | 840$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.8 | 890 | 50.6%450 W · 440 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a0…6d52backed Over | 71c | 818.81$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.28 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb78f…3a77backed Over | 64c | 800$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e7…a100backed Over | 65c | 480$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Over | 66c | 457.18$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.55 | 905 | 37.5%339 W · 566 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 65c | 449.75$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.52 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 67c | 371.49$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.31 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 39c | 362.02$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.02 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 30c | 358.75$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.13 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 34c | 336.41$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.58 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Under | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 31c | 304$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.76 | 549 | 34.8%191 W · 358 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Over | 69c | 288.4$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 31c | 246.09$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.8 | 453 | 38%172 W · 281 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 29c | 202.79$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.13 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23b5…97e1backed Over | 72c | 173.51$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.46 | 257 | 40.1%103 W · 154 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Over | 65c | 170.26$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.67 | 626 | 49.8%312 W · 314 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Under | 32c | 169.64$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.63 | 281 | 49.8%140 W · 141 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Under | 74c | 157.34$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.38 | 222 | 65.3%145 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc95e…102abacked Over | 65c | 146.22$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.04 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Under | 50c | 115.04$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.03 | 637 | 42.7%272 W · 365 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a14…be99backed Over | 70c | 109.36$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.45 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed Under | 63c | 106.72$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.15 | 211 | 55%116 W · 95 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 37c | 96.37$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.31 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 50c | 84.54$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.54 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 66c | 84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 602 | 43.4%261 W · 341 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 67c | 83.84$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.09 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e6…59dbbacked Over | 70c | 74.46$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.12 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc124…bd0fbacked Under | 70c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed Over | 65c | 60.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.71 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7049…85a5backed Over | 73c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Over | 67c | 48.73$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 47c | 44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.12 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 30c | 44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.62 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc2…698abacked Over | 69c | 36.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -13.5wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Over | 30c | 36.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa718…baf1backed Over | 65c | 36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 85 | 42.4%36 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Under | 46c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 212 | 31.1%66 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4346…f897backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 63%51 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea9…9248backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 33c | 33.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 1,357 | 31.2%423 W · 934 L | -129.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Under | 33c | 30.31$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 257 | 37%95 W · 162 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 66c | 24.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- Game Handicap: FOX.Y (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (+1.5)BNK FearX Youth won
- Game Handicap: FOX.Y (-2.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (+2.5)BNK FearX Youth won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Play-InBNK FearX Youth won
- LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 1 WinnerBNK FearX Youth won
- LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 2 WinnerBNK FearX Youth won
- LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 3 WinnerBNK FearX Youth won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.