Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp Blue (+1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80c661734b23ae07062eb6401df33c4d1219aace4a4abd3d908a016620018c94

Rebuilt 23 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Galionsof Galions, Karmine Corp Blue
Resolved: Aug 18, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $29,762
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $35,128

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,762 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xda3a…381fbacked Karmine Corp Blue	50c	6,000$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	1,485	50.1%744 W · 741 L	+67.0wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Galions	50c	4,283$2,137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,145.19	1,259	37.6%473 W · 786 L	+34.1wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2ab…3bb3backed Galions	48c	3,833$1,840 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,993.33	169	46.7%79 W · 90 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Karmine Corp Blue	55c	2,092$1,151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,150.51	592	48.3%286 W · 306 L	+15.7wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…a2cbbacked Galions	50c	2,001$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,001.32	245	54.3%133 W · 112 L	+10.6wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7dd…bcd0backed Galions	49c	1,850$906 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$944.17	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	+1.5wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Galions	48c	1,459$708 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$751.76	2,156	53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L	+57.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f4e…b690backed Karmine Corp Blue	53c	1,423$754 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$754.17	825	54.8%452 W · 373 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Karmine Corp Blue	35c	1,279$443 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$443.26	1,389	37.7%524 W · 865 L	-45.7wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d7e…2ef7backed Galions	65c	1,237$809 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$427.78	391	62.7%245 W · 146 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64c4…1018backed Galions	45c	1,000$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$550	319	53%169 W · 150 L	+10.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8fc…6815backed Karmine Corp Blue	51c	860$439 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$438.6	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-4.7wins	-0.33per pick	48cpaid	-74.2%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Karmine Corp Blue	49c	761.83$374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$374.26	2,508	39.8%999 W · 1,509 L	-76.4wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Karmine Corp Blue	51c	644.7$331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$331.06	294	47.6%140 W · 154 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Galions	45c	597.27$269 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$328.5	639	44.6%285 W · 354 L	-18.1wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51d9…cb1abacked Karmine Corp Blue	53c	570$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302.1	481	43.2%208 W · 273 L	-13.2wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Karmine Corp Blue	53c	556.44$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294.56	1,047	50.3%527 W · 520 L	+37.1wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Karmine Corp Blue	47c	510.74$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.57	2,938	44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L	-92.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Galions	45c	500$227 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$273	890	50.6%450 W · 440 L	+14.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb72c…4f96backed Galions	65c	461.49$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$161.49	105	56.2%59 W · 46 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93f4…ea90backed Karmine Corp Blue	55c	400$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	1,110	49%544 W · 566 L	+42.0wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Karmine Corp Blue	51c	391.21$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.6	421	43.9%185 W · 236 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Karmine Corp Blue	50c	345.03$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.52	1,385	45.1%625 W · 760 L	-12.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf5f…555ebacked Karmine Corp Blue	53c	318.87$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.6wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Karmine Corp Blue	52c	256.25$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.25	624	51.4%321 W · 303 L	-10.4wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Karmine Corp Blue	53c	250$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.5	197	31%61 W · 136 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x50cc…a534backed Galions	50c	240$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+18.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked Karmine Corp Blue	53c	236$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.08	356	42.4%151 W · 205 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x997c…51f3backed Karmine Corp Blue	51c	221.51$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.06	193	42%81 W · 112 L	-14.0wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9deb…536fbacked Karmine Corp Blue	34c	220$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.7	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-3.8wins	-0.29per pick	52cpaid	-57%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4d14…36fdbacked Galions	48c	208.33$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.33	143	46.2%66 W · 77 L	+13.0wins	+0.09per pick	37cpaid	+46.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3d29…65e7backed Galions	46c	200$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108	188	31.4%59 W · 129 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c5c…91fcbacked Karmine Corp Blue	55c	199.99$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	88	53.4%47 W · 41 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+10%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Karmine Corp Blue	54c	179.44$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.9	507	45%228 W · 279 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x47c2…d39ebacked Karmine Corp Blue	54c	178.57$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.43	56	42.9%24 W · 32 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0698…b91dbacked Karmine Corp Blue	53c	170.94$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.6	93	44.1%41 W · 52 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Karmine Corp Blue	52c	156.21$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.23	545	29.7%162 W · 383 L	-34.7wins	-0.06per pick	36cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x54fd…c606backed Galions	48c	145.83$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.83	68	63.2%43 W · 25 L	+13.4wins	+0.20per pick	44cpaid	+43%equal weight	66+0.14 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Galions	79c	119.47$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.38	978	54.4%532 W · 446 L	+48.6wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfdd…e70ebacked Galions	44c	109.28$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.2	132	40.9%54 W · 78 L	-7.9wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d9f…0c25backed Galions	59c	101.81$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.36	283	53%150 W · 133 L	+28.1wins	+0.10per pick	43cpaid	+32.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked Karmine Corp Blue	56c	99.99$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	245	54.7%134 W · 111 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Galions	44c	99.53$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.74	354	43.2%153 W · 201 L	+12.7wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Karmine Corp Blue	53c	98.64$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.28	447	45.2%202 W · 245 L	-14.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Karmine Corp Blue	51c	90$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.2	602	43.4%261 W · 341 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4cd…c041backed Karmine Corp Blue	56c	82.8$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.37	274	61.7%169 W · 105 L	+18.5wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2338…27f6backed Karmine Corp Blue	53c	74.43$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.45	83	54.2%45 W · 38 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe76f…39fcbacked Galions	50c	74$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa73a…27d9backed Karmine Corp Blue	56c	60.64$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.96	396	52%206 W · 190 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x77c1…1527backed Galions	48c	59.98$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.19	93	51.6%48 W · 45 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee71…47c2backed Karmine Corp Blue	34c	59$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.06	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x272d…bc2fbacked Karmine Corp Blue	53c	58.95$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.24	285	53%151 W · 134 L	+8.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Karmine Corp Blue	56c	52.59$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.45	450	44.7%201 W · 249 L	-29.1wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2285…2aeabacked Galions	48c	50.77$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.4	92	41.3%38 W · 54 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b95…b23ebacked Karmine Corp Blue	56c	50$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	1,024	45%461 W · 563 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75eb…bb2cbacked Karmine Corp Blue	51c	43.14$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	24	70.8%17 W · 7 L	+4.1wins	+0.17per pick	54cpaid	+33.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Karmine Corp Blue	51c	42.45$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.65	1,310	49.2%644 W · 666 L	-23.8wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Karmine Corp Blue	53c	40$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.2	584	37.2%217 W · 367 L	-7.9wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c09…5badbacked Galions	50c	39.23$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.71	122	61.5%75 W · 47 L	+6.8wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc6dc…58d5backed Galions	64c	32$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.5	216	52.3%113 W · 103 L	-10.8wins	-0.05per pick	57cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3546…1a58backed Karmine Corp Blue	33c	30.31$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	161	30.4%49 W · 112 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x70a0…2dc3backed Karmine Corp Blue	33c	30.31$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	109	30.3%33 W · 76 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x767e…98cabacked Karmine Corp Blue	53c	26.42$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	36	50%18 W · 18 L	-2.0wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf655…7f1abacked Karmine Corp Blue	52c	24.46$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.72	70	42.9%30 W · 40 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x468b…68a5backed Galions	72c	22$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.16	31	64.5%20 W · 11 L	+3.5wins	+0.11per pick	53cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp Blue (+1.5)this page
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
LoL: Galions vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - LFL PlayoffsGalions won
LoL: Galions vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 WinnerGalions won
LoL: Galions vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 WinnerGalions won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp Blue (+1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event