TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Galions vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Galionsof Galions, Karmine Corp Blue
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$110,934
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$122,845

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,934 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd391…b109backed Galions70c13,144$9,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,894.5614046.4%65 W · 75 L-17.8wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-20.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf23c…9f81backed Galions63c8,919$5,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,265.2215062%93 W · 57 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Galions63c7,900$4,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,933.572,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Karmine Corp Blue24c6,549$1,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,567.841,38937.7%524 W · 865 L-45.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x71d6…7248backed Karmine Corp Blue11c6,106$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.634617.4%8 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick15cpaid-13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Galions64c3,953$2,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,428.3627353.1%145 W · 128 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2eea…1a4cbacked Karmine Corp Blue37c3,700$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,360.225558.2%32 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+20.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Karmine Corp Blue37c3,537$1,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,298.991,11339%434 W · 679 L-44.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6b8…149bbacked Karmine Corp Blue30c3,452$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.939139.6%36 W · 55 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4a7…dc87backed Karmine Corp Blue30c3,182$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953.41225%3 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-44.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked Galions69c3,085$2,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.221,50154.5%818 W · 683 L+34.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cd1…afdbbacked Galions72c2,759$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.77258.3%42 W · 30 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed Karmine Corp Blue28c2,745$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.3847838.7%185 W · 293 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37ca…f644backed Karmine Corp Blue40c2,473$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00024658.5%144 W · 102 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Karmine Corp Blue37c2,273$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.381,54354.8%845 W · 698 L+75.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Karmine Corp Blue35c2,060$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.7554934.8%191 W · 358 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed Karmine Corp Blue33c2,019$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.721,20835.8%432 W · 776 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Karmine Corp Blue30c1,992$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.9990537.5%339 W · 566 L-18.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Karmine Corp Blue27c1,931$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.972,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Karmine Corp Blue18c1,915$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.852,20233.3%733 W · 1,469 L-72.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f3d…2e18backed Karmine Corp Blue30c1,850$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.3450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Karmine Corp Blue29c1,764$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.3269041.3%285 W · 405 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc186…e96ebacked Karmine Corp Blue35c1,714$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60015752.2%82 W · 75 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfad…fa05backed Karmine Corp Blue43c1,626$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001,21858.1%708 W · 510 L+44.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3db3…932fbacked Galions66c1,489$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.18540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-41.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Galions64c1,465$935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.0229447.6%140 W · 154 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fb8…5a88backed Galions65c1,255$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.334255.6%190 W · 152 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Karmine Corp Blue30c1,250$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3751,46828.9%424 W · 1,044 L+23.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ee1…3e22backed Karmine Corp Blue30c1,200$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3605330.2%16 W · 37 L-6.0wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-16.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6f04…1fb0backed Karmine Corp Blue31c1,166$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.293461.8%21 W · 13 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc800…4117backed Karmine Corp Blue15c1,165$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.0814831.1%46 W · 102 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked Galions63c1,143$716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.8498956.8%562 W · 427 L+24.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Karmine Corp Blue16c1,014$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.161,97130.5%601 W · 1,370 L-170.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x825e…2a99backed Galions79c1,013$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.6626349%129 W · 134 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64c4…1018backed Karmine Corp Blue30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30031953%169 W · 150 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e5a…f616backed Galions71c984.36$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.3611464%73 W · 41 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Galions69c969.72$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.612,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5e8…fafcbacked Karmine Corp Blue29c851.17$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.8413534.1%46 W · 89 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Karmine Corp Blue26c814.68$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.791,82639.9%728 W · 1,098 L-61.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b7a…8238backed Karmine Corp Blue29c738.08$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.0414735.4%52 W · 95 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed Karmine Corp Blue29c732.01$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.1117835.4%63 W · 115 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Galions64c728.89$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.541,43557.4%824 W · 611 L+36.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xecab…f7ecbacked Karmine Corp Blue2c651.67$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6217712.4%22 W · 155 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-41%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0587…c40bbacked Karmine Corp Blue33c638.46$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.215446.8%72 W · 82 L+16.1wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+19.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Karmine Corp Blue30c637.38$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.2254529.7%162 W · 383 L-34.7wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3020…df2bbacked Karmine Corp Blue37c614.56$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.074062.5%25 W · 15 L+4.7wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+33.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Galions69c600$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18689050.6%450 W · 440 L+14.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5e7…a100backed Karmine Corp Blue31c592$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.521741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca75…05a6backed Karmine Corp Blue37c568.14$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.2125965.3%169 W · 90 L+23.1wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+16.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb35f…cf4cbacked Karmine Corp Blue34c562.3$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.4744846.2%207 W · 241 L+1.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f9b…bc2fbacked Galions71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14552062.3%324 W · 196 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfa8…cae6backed Galions70c497.8$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.882953.4%443 W · 386 L-3.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x811a…9a3cbacked Karmine Corp Blue43c406.98$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17510252%53 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3752…2f08backed Galions69c399.99$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12432045.6%146 W · 174 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3b…aa7dbacked Karmine Corp Blue31c391.11$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.2411750.4%59 W · 58 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked Galions61c361.18$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.8687844.2%388 W · 490 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe663…e9f8backed Karmine Corp Blue33c361.09$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12012552.8%66 W · 59 L+10.1wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+13.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0de8…6cf3backed Karmine Corp Blue29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015334.6%53 W · 100 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeca9…1799backed Karmine Corp Blue29c344.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021844.5%97 W · 121 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c1e…befebacked Karmine Corp Blue31c322.6$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0120552.7%108 W · 97 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18b7…fff9backed Karmine Corp Blue6c300$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1855110.3%57 W · 494 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+55.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf2f…0115backed Galions70c299.99$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9035656.2%200 W · 156 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4cd…c041backed Karmine Corp Blue36c294.32$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.0327461.7%169 W · 105 L+18.5wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Karmine Corp Blue20c285.24$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.561,89937.1%705 W · 1,194 L-113.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-32.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x191f…f09ebacked Karmine Corp Blue37c264.86$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9842540.7%173 W · 252 L-17.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc27f…2a25backed Galions71c250$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.596452.7%508 W · 456 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb039…c6d9backed Galions71c250$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.516451.2%84 W · 80 L-0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb284…b1fbbacked Karmine Corp Blue37c248.48$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.949764.9%63 W · 34 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked Karmine Corp Blue24c246.2$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.0995951.3%492 W · 467 L+42.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9473…cba4backed Karmine Corp Blue34c245.3$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.5353545.2%242 W · 293 L+0.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Galions68c240.44$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.3446058%267 W · 193 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked Karmine Corp Blue32c240$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.2235642.4%151 W · 205 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5703…1048backed Karmine Corp Blue43c227.77$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9722544%99 W · 126 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b5a…1457backed Karmine Corp Blue8c216.91$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3536643.7%160 W · 206 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaffc…1d31backed Galions70c214.29$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.29988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick69cpaid+26.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x14ca…8f43backed Karmine Corp Blue31c204$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.2420644.7%92 W · 114 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22a7…ca43backed Galions72c203.1$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.877843.6%34 W · 44 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9d4…a3d5backed Galions69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6224557.6%141 W · 104 L+11.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e5e…0381backed Galions70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6048951.5%252 W · 237 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7525…fd3cbacked Karmine Corp Blue30c179.01$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.355540%22 W · 33 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Karmine Corp Blue12c155.87$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.151,60617.5%281 W · 1,325 L-245.0wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Karmine Corp Blue31c150$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4745338%172 W · 281 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfad…f39dbacked Karmine Corp Blue31c149.61$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.384052.5%21 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Galions65c147.34$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.591,31847.3%624 W · 694 L-31.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbd2…2b8fbacked Galions60c143.71$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.0542851.2%219 W · 209 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6ce…3f1dbacked Galions71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8518357.4%105 W · 78 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9688…fd45backed Karmine Corp Blue12c130$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.611844.1%52 W · 66 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Karmine Corp Blue17c129.02$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7885742.7%366 W · 491 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb31…792dbacked Karmine Corp Blue13c116.92$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2205%1 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.16per pick21cpaid-68.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x536e…4fd5backed Galions64c116.2$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8336151.8%187 W · 174 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x733c…521bbacked Karmine Corp Blue37c112.22$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5210356.3%58 W · 45 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Karmine Corp Blue19c111.24$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.761,92242.2%811 W · 1,111 L-45.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b0a…5cc0backed Karmine Corp Blue30c109.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332737%10 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbed4…f891backed Karmine Corp Blue27c105.44$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2851247.3%242 W · 270 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba8e…985dbacked Karmine Corp Blue43c104.74$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.048155.6%45 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Karmine Corp Blue30c104.01$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.161,44713.3%192 W · 1,255 L-109.5wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x36de…cf07backed Galions79c101.27$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2715359.5%91 W · 62 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Karmine Corp Blue28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9577741.7%324 W · 453 L-27.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9941…e21ebacked Galions70c92.37$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.711136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x111d…9dffbacked Karmine Corp Blue37c81.62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.81330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.