NBA · resolved market
Will Wemby Cry During the 2026 NBA Finals?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaaeebaf66c48c96d209651bb4115007d50792f739861c21b224034434d9fdbe0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,872
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,871
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,872 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3344…cabcbacked Yes | 19c | 3,150$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…2c2dbacked No | 47c | 1,730$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +114.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 14c | 600$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe393…f016backed Yes | 54c | 550$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 140 | 59.3%83 W · 57 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…b1aabacked No | 78c | 522.6$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.3 | 295 | 47.5%140 W · 155 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d5…9e7cbacked No | 44c | 509.09$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.09 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x940e…732ebacked Yes | 55c | 445.97$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.69 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Yes | 46c | 443.53$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.18 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 73c | 399.97$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.99 | 152 | 19.1%29 W · 123 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked No | 52c | 387.09$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.88 | 314 | 53.5%168 W · 146 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a7…0af9backed No | 75c | 300$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 56c | 235.46$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.86 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…e279backed No | 76c | 233.21$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.3 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…a8f5backed Yes | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 64c | 194.64$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.4 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcad6…f580backed Yes | 27c | 182.52$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9253…0baebacked Yes | 55c | 182.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 11c | 181.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xed24…3b45backed Yes | 54c | 181$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x726c…6bfdbacked No | 62c | 176.67$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 20c | 174.78$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +24.4wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5161…3c38backed Yes | 42c | 166.32$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 42c | 152.33$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.35 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d91…f592backed Yes | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c90…5bacbacked Yes | 21c | 140$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafa6…a78bbacked No | 53c | 139.93$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8e…8db8backed Yes | 31c | 129.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.53 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 54c | 120$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed Yes | 54c | 120$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e09…da86backed No | 43c | 115.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +63%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x582f…9cd5backed No | 78c | 109.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 39c | 101.8$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 55c | 94.44$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 633 | 53.1%336 W · 297 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad8…43e2backed No | 55c | 86.52$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.8 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x385e…3896backed No | 65c | 84.22$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb0…9778backed Yes | 43c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x748e…f4f2backed Yes | 44c | 75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf74c…4b75backed No | 57c | 75$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…88fdbacked Yes | 44c | 75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c30…df21backed No | 57c | 75$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d0…bc0abacked Yes | 43c | 75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c5…91d7backed No | 57c | 75$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed No | 60c | 74.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f2…1652backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51a2…051bbacked Yes | 43c | 69.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 47c | 64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d1…82b1backed Yes | 55c | 62.31$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…735bbacked No | 56c | 61.07$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5896…447cbacked No | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked Yes | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 102 | 26.5%27 W · 75 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7510…6cb0backed Yes | 52c | 55.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a30…9726backed No | 56c | 55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61a9…173bbacked Yes | 27c | 54.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x926f…f72ebacked Yes | 35c | 54.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28ef…f77fbacked No | 42c | 52.06$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26cb…9fe7backed Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -5.0wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9da7…8bb1backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 58cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa74…78b9backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e44…ddd3backed Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…1e3bbacked No | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…1edabacked Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x571e…67b2backed No | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88d5…4979backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f2…d1f0backed No | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9032…a2b8backed Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb80b…b047backed No | 77c | 48.2$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +208.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb779…ab22backed No | 44c | 45.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…ef67backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 42c | 41.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4e…b38cbacked No | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 74cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c5…4739backed No | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d69…ab3abacked Yes | 65c | 37.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -6.0wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb959…859cbacked No | 57c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8612…a89abacked No | 56c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x935c…19e7backed No | 57c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 57c | 31.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f3…7531backed No | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5527…5d03backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4df…d3dabacked Yes | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0569…d8cfbacked Yes | 45c | 29.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked No | 52c | 27.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c1…57d1backed Yes | 58c | 26.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…e9febacked Yes | 43c | 25.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d75…a06dbacked Yes | 40c | 25.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6197…9977backed No | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x628a…6895backed No | 59c | 24.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 52c | 22.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb79…8e65backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb7…71d5backed Yes | 56c | 19.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 74c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.