TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,538
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,539

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,538 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6dd9…bfe8backed No63c909.99$573 inWon+$336.565762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked No60c799.99$480 inWon+$3201,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf43…306abacked Yes40c489.71$196 inLost-$195.692962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb996…038cbacked Yes37c413.75$153 inLost-$153.0913148.9%64 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3f6…bab8backed Yes37c292.43$108 inLost-$108.27051.4%36 W · 34 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40a4…c6a9backed Yes40c287.69$115 inLost-$115.410246.1%47 W · 55 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf85…03f9backed Yes39c244.15$96 inLost-$96.373855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Yes37c238.55$88 inLost-$88.2693145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed No63c105$66 inWon+$38.8595260.2%573 W · 379 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed No60c100$60 inWon+$40.556043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf836…f39cbacked No58c87.99$51 inWon+$36.9627059.6%161 W · 109 L+13.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb028…dceabacked Yes37c79.35$30 inLost-$29.581942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-29.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked No61c78.67$48 inWon+$30.6892058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a42…2fc2backed Yes41c70.87$29 inLost-$28.931020%2 W · 8 L-3.3wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-62.4%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Yes41c69.45$29 inLost-$28.6977549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f3…e279backed Yes45c60$27 inLost-$275639.3%22 W · 34 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bf7…6f57backed No61c60$37 inWon+$23.430256.6%171 W · 131 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No47c46.43$22 inWon+$24.8345445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed No66c36.35$24 inWon+$12.3648751.7%252 W · 235 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked No61c30$18 inWon+$11.737753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x73e8…cd6fbacked No60c29.28$18 inWon+$11.7139265.1%255 W · 137 L+31.0wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8cc2…eaefbacked No50c29.1$15 inWon+$14.5511056.4%62 W · 48 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No59c28$17 inWon+$11.483,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3492…983fbacked No76c21.89$17 inWon+$5.1911058.2%64 W · 46 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9422…f273backed No63c20.46$13 inWon+$7.4719555.4%108 W · 87 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed No62c20$12 inWon+$7.696956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.