Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: SLY (-1.5) vs Skillcamp Esport (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x258a0d1e0bc15814a1fe8ab9f118e17b07268b3cb69c8b52067ba28151c64301
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Skillcamp Esportof Solary, Skillcamp Esport
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,096
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,318
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,096 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2583…3675backed Skillcamp Esport | 40c | 4,213$1,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,546.97 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Solary | 60c | 3,333$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.8 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…869ebacked Solary | 61c | 1,167$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.87 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -38%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee46…faa0backed Skillcamp Esport | 40c | 1,077$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.24 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -5.1wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed Skillcamp Esport | 39c | 505.38$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.31 | 825 | 54.8%452 W · 373 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Solary | 61c | 499.99$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.99 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…2e9abacked Solary | 63c | 305.65$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.56 | 381 | 54.3%207 W · 174 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Solary | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 626 | 49.8%312 W · 314 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d29…65e7backed Solary | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 188 | 31.4%59 W · 129 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Skillcamp Esport | 39c | 187.08$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.04 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Solary | 61c | 169.86$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.99 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Solary | 64c | 99.81$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.44 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Solary | 67c | 67.45$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.88 | 356 | 42.4%151 W · 205 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Skillcamp Esport | 36c | 55.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.72 | 421 | 43.9%185 W · 236 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…e279backed Skillcamp Esport | 38c | 44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Skillcamp Esport | 70c | 43.87$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 222 | 65.3%145 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Skillcamp Esport | 54c | 37.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b6…e0a0backed Solary | 63c | 31.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -11.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Solary | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 139 | 51.8%72 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: SLY (-1.5) vs Skillcamp Esport (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Solary vs Skillcamp Esport (BO3) - LFL PlayoffsSkillcamp Esport won
- LoL: Solary vs Skillcamp Esport - Game 1 WinnerSolary won
- LoL: Solary vs Skillcamp Esport - Game 2 WinnerSkillcamp Esport won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.