Lol · resolved market
LoL: Solary vs Skillcamp Esport - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1cce2c18c2a371e26904b7402ca2078a66542b5fabcb242fe5edd80a2906f38d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Solaryof Solary, Skillcamp Esport
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,376
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,358
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,376 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Skillcamp Esport | 14c | 9,883$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,423.13 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Solary | 78c | 1,937$1,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.11 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Solary | 79c | 1,900$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Skillcamp Esport | 17c | 1,544$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.48 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Skillcamp Esport | 17c | 1,396$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.74 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Skillcamp Esport | 17c | 1,293$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.81 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb35f…cf4cbacked Skillcamp Esport | 16c | 1,279$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.11 | 448 | 46.2%207 W · 241 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked Skillcamp Esport | 9c | 1,235$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.04 | 1,536 | 62.6%961 W · 575 L | +157.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Solary | 76c | 1,201$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.57 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe453…256ebacked Skillcamp Esport | 21c | 1,170$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f8…7fa1backed Skillcamp Esport | 22c | 1,068$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.19 | 777 | 46.2%359 W · 418 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Skillcamp Esport | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2583…3675backed Skillcamp Esport | 20c | 1,000$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.2 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Skillcamp Esport | 22c | 694.41$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.27 | 453 | 38%172 W · 281 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2f…0115backed Solary | 80c | 600$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.43 | 356 | 56.2%200 W · 156 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b8…149bbacked Skillcamp Esport | 20c | 555.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.2 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…aa7dbacked Skillcamp Esport | 22c | 555.54$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.22 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x257c…a408backed Skillcamp Esport | 18c | 550.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 364 | 52.7%192 W · 172 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Skillcamp Esport | 18c | 499.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.68 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18b7…fff9backed Skillcamp Esport | 5c | 499.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 551 | 10.3%57 W · 494 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…bc5ebacked Solary | 79c | 468.21$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.32 | 350 | 58.6%205 W · 145 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Skillcamp Esport | 16c | 453.08$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.21 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Skillcamp Esport | 23c | 414.75$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.23 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Skillcamp Esport | 21c | 380.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.01 | 411 | 33.8%139 W · 272 L | -28.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Skillcamp Esport | 22c | 373.46$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.16 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Skillcamp Esport | 26c | 364.69$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.82 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked Skillcamp Esport | 19c | 357.48$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.67 | 58 | 22.4%13 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Skillcamp Esport | 22c | 284.73$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.64 | 545 | 29.7%162 W · 383 L | -34.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked Skillcamp Esport | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 132 | 40.9%54 W · 78 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Skillcamp Esport | 17c | 245$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.65 | 1,318 | 47.3%624 W · 694 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Skillcamp Esport | 15c | 239.49$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.92 | 878 | 44.2%388 W · 490 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Skillcamp Esport | 22c | 194.77$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 282 | 35.1%99 W · 183 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5008…9466backed Skillcamp Esport | 17c | 192.53$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.73 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed Skillcamp Esport | 22c | 178$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.11 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Skillcamp Esport | 21c | 159.55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 356 | 42.4%151 W · 205 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Skillcamp Esport | 17c | 151.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Skillcamp Esport | 17c | 123.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 690 | 41.3%285 W · 405 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9473…cba4backed Skillcamp Esport | 16c | 122.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 535 | 45.2%242 W · 293 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Solary | 79c | 118$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Skillcamp Esport | 12c | 107.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Skillcamp Esport | 14c | 104.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 556 | 28.6%159 W · 397 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b47…1540backed Skillcamp Esport | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 210 | 60%126 W · 84 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed Solary | 80c | 93.5$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…f18ebacked Skillcamp Esport | 24c | 83.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Skillcamp Esport | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 144 | 29.2%42 W · 102 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Skillcamp Esport | 22c | 74.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 417 | 49.2%205 W · 212 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Solary | 79c | 73$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 497 | 56.3%280 W · 217 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Skillcamp Esport | 19c | 72.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 187 | 38.5%72 W · 115 L | -13.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe839…0a9dbacked Solary | 79c | 68$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe717…0710backed Solary | 79c | 64.24$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 286 | 57%163 W · 123 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Skillcamp Esport | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Solary | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 156 | 60.9%95 W · 61 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Skillcamp Esport | 27c | 48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 580 | 43.3%251 W · 329 L | -47.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x96b7…a214backed Solary | 78c | 38.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 42 | 76.2%32 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…fa05backed Solary | 78c | 38.68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 1,218 | 58.1%708 W · 510 L | +44.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…5badbacked Solary | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 122 | 61.5%75 W · 47 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d89…2b45backed Solary | 78c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2d…b69dbacked Solary | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e24…2f64backed Solary | 80c | 18.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x395a…eb72backed Solary | 79c | 17.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.67 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…4737backed Solary | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 84 | 75%63 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Solary vs Skillcamp Esport - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: SLY (-1.5) vs Skillcamp Esport (+1.5)Skillcamp Esport won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Solary vs Skillcamp Esport (BO3) - LFL PlayoffsSkillcamp Esport won
- LoL: Solary vs Skillcamp Esport - Game 2 WinnerSkillcamp Esport won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.