CS2 · resolved market
LoL: FNC vs GX
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1109035ce721bbefec03152a654b140767f6a57457d6720b51af2ca414d3a545
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FNCof FNC, GX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,163
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,154
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,163 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked FNC | 64c | 13,498$8,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,886.9 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a05…5c62backed GX | 36c | 13,333$4,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,747.69 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked FNC | 71c | 8,091$5,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,340.54 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe529…e7b1backed FNC | 63c | 7,716$4,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,876.22 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked GX | 34c | 7,000$2,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,380 | 214 | 24.8%53 W · 161 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed GX | 22c | 4,545$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked GX | 37c | 4,500$1,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,664.99 | 208 | 55.3%115 W · 93 L | +18.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed GX | 31c | 4,346$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.65 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ee…1391backed GX | 40c | 3,938$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575.22 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed GX | 35c | 3,880$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358.06 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…2501backed FNC | 64c | 3,125$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.83 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed FNC | 65c | 3,077$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.92 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked GX | 42c | 2,830$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.81 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3911…30f3backed GX | 40c | 2,508$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.48 | 262 | 51.1%134 W · 128 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked FNC | 65c | 2,209$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.33 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed GX | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbc…a89cbacked GX | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked FNC | 60c | 1,510$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.71 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed GX | 37c | 1,345$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.58 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed FNC | 62c | 1,317$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.48 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked FNC | 63c | 1,281$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.48 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…1218backed GX | 29c | 1,267$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.33 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8229…dfbfbacked GX | 38c | 1,200$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b9…0fc9backed GX | 12c | 1,015$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e46…16a5backed GX | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc5…53c3backed FNC | 66c | 980$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.2 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked GX | 40c | 799.99$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4de7…2d9abacked FNC | 65c | 767.2$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.52 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked FNC | 68c | 730$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.6 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…3050backed FNC | 63c | 664.58$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.4 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked FNC | 79c | 629.8$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.8 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked GX | 40c | 600.14$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.39 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed GX | 8c | 599.22$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.21 | 324 | 25.3%82 W · 242 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a0…dab5backed GX | 20c | 573.8$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.76 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…ca3ebacked FNC | 63c | 502.01$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.85 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed GX | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 283 | 51.9%147 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed GX | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.8 | 241 | 39%94 W · 147 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x027a…ea13backed GX | 3c | 499.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed GX | 36c | 492.27$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.22 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed GX | 33c | 450.18$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.04 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…28f8backed GX | 40c | 424.43$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.77 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed FNC | 66c | 377.19$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.19 | 265 | 63%167 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed FNC | 66c | 369.56$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.1 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -11.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed GX | 33c | 325.24$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.61 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…9377backed FNC | 64c | 314.02$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcae1…7dddbacked FNC | 79c | 313.75$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.04 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…1dbdbacked GX | 31c | 300$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3f…4b40backed FNC | 67c | 284.16$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.77 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked GX | 40c | 259.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 220 | 56.4%124 W · 96 L | +19.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12f0…6a90backed GX | 13c | 253.34$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.86 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed GX | 6c | 227.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed FNC | 61c | 205.46$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba0…3d98backed FNC | 63c | 189.25$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.25 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 69cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…564cbacked GX | 5c | 187.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed FNC | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 112 | 69.6%78 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked FNC | 63c | 159.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.39 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6466…4633backed FNC | 64c | 143.5$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.66 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed FNC | 64c | 132.19$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.59 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed GX | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a6…f55fbacked FNC | 66c | 115.08$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.13 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed FNC | 61c | 110$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 420 | 57.1%240 W · 180 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44f…4d77backed FNC | 63c | 95.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a12…e633backed FNC | 61c | 82.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 300 | 39.7%119 W · 181 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed FNC | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 207 | 44.4%92 W · 115 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd612…0bc1backed FNC | 60c | 77.78$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 115 | 65.2%75 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2a…5ccebacked FNC | 63c | 75.59$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.87 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…4bcabacked GX | 41c | 74.47$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77b7…52bebacked GX | 41c | 70$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…8dfebacked FNC | 69c | 42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed GX | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e1…1135backed FNC | 64c | 34.26$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0490…35e4backed FNC | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5819…3a93backed FNC | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6d…7dd1backed FNC | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…2a85backed FNC | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 225 | 56.9%128 W · 97 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed FNC | 64c | 18.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 687 | 53.9%370 W · 317 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13b5…501abacked FNC | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.