Lol · resolved market
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed48b24731faa0d4c0939b62ce9dde89a0dd4d9ec8b8402571463a579a48dc01
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BNK FEARXof T1, BNK FEARX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $703,740
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $814,430
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $703,740 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 310 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5329…1011backed T1 | 0c | 133,080$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…b0c5backed T1 | 70c | 62,222$43,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,719.66 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed BNK FEARX | 29c | 60,167$17,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,454.9 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…0af2backed T1 | 1c | 39,346$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.82 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed T1 | 70c | 16,849$11,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,812.83 | 1,200 | 54.1%649 W · 551 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d36…68fdbacked BNK FEARX | 45c | 16,141$7,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,862.92 | 257 | 51%131 W · 126 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed T1 | 71c | 14,202$10,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,059.04 | 1,156 | 49.1%568 W · 588 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed T1 | 19c | 11,111$2,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,111.08 | 230 | 20%46 W · 184 L | -17.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…8a41backed T1 | 13c | 10,696$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,348.63 | 160 | 40%64 W · 96 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed BNK FEARX | 29c | 10,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,100 | 641 | 55.7%357 W · 284 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed T1 | 71c | 10,000$7,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,100 | 823 | 52.7%434 W · 389 L | +41.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed T1 | 2c | 10,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 204 | 38.2%78 W · 126 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8292…f774backed T1 | 3c | 10,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 162 | 38.9%63 W · 99 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed BNK FEARX | 28c | 8,964$2,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,442.72 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed T1 | 46c | 8,726$4,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,049.39 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed BNK FEARX | 30c | 8,345$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,845.14 | 811 | 43.5%353 W · 458 L | +30.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…eb66backed BNK FEARX | 80c | 7,517$5,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520.44 | 481 | 57.6%277 W · 204 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed T1 | 6c | 7,426$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.2 | 259 | 52.9%137 W · 122 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked BNK FEARX | 34c | 6,549$2,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,322.48 | 1,158 | 42.6%493 W · 665 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked T1 | 47c | 6,332$2,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,968.09 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe308…25cdbacked BNK FEARX | 51c | 5,923$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,923.21 | 664 | 37.2%247 W · 417 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed T1 | 70c | 5,500$3,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,849.81 | 1,067 | 47%502 W · 565 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6842…20d0backed BNK FEARX | 36c | 5,493$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,493.22 | 1,011 | 47.1%476 W · 535 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d75…cf0bbacked T1 | 0c | 5,242$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 176 | 6.3%11 W · 165 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed BNK FEARX | 31c | 5,034$1,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,489.83 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked BNK FEARX | 65c | 4,758$3,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,656.27 | 1,003 | 42.5%426 W · 577 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed BNK FEARX | 66c | 4,564$2,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,572.32 | 854 | 42.7%365 W · 489 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked BNK FEARX | 66c | 4,543$2,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,562.72 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed BNK FEARX | 57c | 4,283$2,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,824.87 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8568…bc38backed T1 | 19c | 4,084$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.47 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6260…fccbbacked T1 | 0c | 4,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 629 | 7%44 W · 585 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked T1 | 37c | 3,991$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.77 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcff4…3609backed BNK FEARX | 57c | 3,721$2,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,591.67 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -48%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked BNK FEARX | 30c | 3,665$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,548.08 | 144 | 29.2%42 W · 102 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed T1 | 49c | 3,500$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.99 | 495 | 49.1%243 W · 252 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc19b…a935backed T1 | 70c | 3,231$2,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,269.45 | 219 | 37.9%83 W · 136 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed T1 | 67c | 3,229$2,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,163.63 | 1,003 | 54%542 W · 461 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked T1 | 69c | 3,083$2,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,136.33 | 1,212 | 54.5%660 W · 552 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed T1 | 30c | 3,000$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.08 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…45eebacked T1 | 71c | 2,829$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 595 | 58.3%347 W · 248 L | -29.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4384…175fbacked T1 | 4c | 2,747$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.98 | 52 | 7.7%4 W · 48 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a35…9015backed BNK FEARX | 74c | 2,692$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.48 | 369 | 43.9%162 W · 207 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked BNK FEARX | 61c | 2,687$1,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.62 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed T1 | 71c | 2,679$1,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.48 | 1,305 | 55.9%729 W · 576 L | +44.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed BNK FEARX | 29c | 2,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,780 | 484 | 40.5%196 W · 288 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…71eebacked BNK FEARX | 29c | 2,500$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,775 | 140 | 41.4%58 W · 82 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed T1 | 71c | 2,440$1,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,732.62 | 1,592 | 53.7%855 W · 737 L | +57.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed BNK FEARX | 29c | 2,352$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,675.92 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked T1 | 24c | 2,207$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.42 | 536 | 40.3%216 W · 320 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…85f1backed T1 | 58c | 2,000$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.45 | 130 | 56.9%74 W · 56 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked BNK FEARX | 29c | 2,000$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…4a1bbacked T1 | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed T1 | 3c | 1,973$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.19 | 786 | 9.8%77 W · 709 L | +22.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5419…fcb2backed T1 | 40c | 1,786$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.64 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ce…e206backed T1 | 22c | 1,777$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.95 | 224 | 52.2%117 W · 107 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked BNK FEARX | 29c | 1,707$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,211.97 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xede1…7dd1backed T1 | 10c | 1,700$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 429 | 24.2%104 W · 325 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4136…b656backed T1 | 4c | 1,660$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa50b…74b2backed T1 | 55c | 1,638$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x741e…9014backed T1 | 7c | 1,600$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.45 | 81 | 21%17 W · 64 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde0c…a715backed BNK FEARX | 29c | 1,500$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065 | 252 | 69.8%176 W · 76 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc5…1135backed T1 | 4c | 1,500$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 440 | 42%185 W · 255 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd501…b86ebacked T1 | 62c | 1,483$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.24 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed T1 | 35c | 1,458$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.17 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked BNK FEARX | 28c | 1,400$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008 | 1,019 | 55.8%569 W · 450 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…2a26backed T1 | 72c | 1,400$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004 | 645 | 53.3%344 W · 301 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2f…552cbacked BNK FEARX | 75c | 1,400$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.13 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b8…b4d8backed T1 | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 431 | 51.3%221 W · 210 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked T1 | 11c | 1,300$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 1,447 | 13.3%192 W · 1,255 L | -109.5wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked T1 | 50c | 1,215$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.35 | 185 | 20.5%38 W · 147 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac1…513abacked T1 | 25c | 1,203$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.52 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e6…9d29backed T1 | 38c | 1,164$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.72 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4989…8ff0backed T1 | 72c | 1,123$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.71 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe70d…dd35backed BNK FEARX | 62c | 1,038$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.3 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5f…8a9bbacked T1 | 39c | 1,025$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e20…ac93backed T1 | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x697f…8705backed BNK FEARX | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked BNK FEARX | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1b…efb5backed BNK FEARX | 28c | 1,000$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc903…b175backed BNK FEARX | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710 | 177 | 44.6%79 W · 98 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed T1 | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 1,180 | 44.5%525 W · 655 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed T1 | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf344…13ffbacked T1 | 42c | 988.57$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 281 | 66.5%187 W · 94 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20a2…dc15backed T1 | 70c | 979.31$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.68 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e23…761dbacked T1 | 35c | 900$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 205 | 37.6%77 W · 128 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab3d…9776backed T1 | 44c | 899.99$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397 | 141 | 16.3%23 W · 118 L | -25.4wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed BNK FEARX | 55c | 839.15$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.97 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…d7a5backed T1 | 35c | 838.93$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.38 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed T1 | 72c | 823.53$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.64 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ad…4c93backed BNK FEARX | 75c | 820.33$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.21 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed T1 | 15c | 813.33$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2984…0fc6backed BNK FEARX | 31c | 806.45$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.45 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba0c…f837backed T1 | 47c | 801.03$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.96 | 218 | 57.8%126 W · 92 L | +18.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…c852backed T1 | 72c | 800$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd690…93a6backed T1 | 52c | 800$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…6de5backed T1 | 41c | 800$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.56 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5559…2bd2backed T1 | 20c | 776.88$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 211 | 41.2%87 W · 124 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7c…cbaabacked BNK FEARX | 32c | 775.94$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.94 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7c…5a30backed T1 | 21c | 769$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.87 | 289 | 42.6%123 W · 166 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe634…82d6backed T1 | 4c | 761.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 Winnerthis page
- First Blood in Game 1?T1 won
- First Blood in Game 2?BNK FEARX won
- First Blood in Game 3?BNK FEARX won
- First Blood in Game 4?BNK FEARX won
- Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)BNK FEARX won
- Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)BNK FEARX won
- Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs BNK FEARX (+2.5)BNK FEARX won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup PlayoffsBNK FEARX won
- LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 WinnerBNK FEARX won
- LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 WinnerT1 won
- LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 4 WinnerBNK FEARX won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.