CS2 · resolved market
BLAST Open: M80 vs. Natus Vincere
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd41905124da2f8f0824226c41895cdf7cfdce5fc6b0bbd10137fe3079b2d57b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- M80of M80, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,164
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,334
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,164 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6304…e570backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 7,823$5,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,632.63 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked M80 | 28c | 5,152$1,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,709.97 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 5,000$2,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,917.74 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked M80 | 43c | 4,432$1,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,524.48 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked M80 | 28c | 3,396$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,445.25 | 208 | 55.3%115 W · 93 L | +18.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked M80 | 36c | 3,369$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,168.46 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked M80 | 30c | 2,756$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,924.38 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 2,729$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.79 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed M80 | 51c | 2,386$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.11 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…aa69backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 2,094$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.01 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…79f9backed M80 | 29c | 2,022$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,427.6 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -13.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…4d8bbacked Natus Vincere | 72c | 1,389$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.08 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…55c3backed M80 | 45c | 1,258$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.64 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf69…b3ffbacked Natus Vincere | 71c | 1,130$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.4 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -6.2wins | -0.22per pick | 66cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…ffeabacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 1,061$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.13 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed M80 | 27c | 1,019$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.71 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed M80 | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.8 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 999.99$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 218 | 46.8%102 W · 116 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed M80 | 48c | 965.95$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.95 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed M80 | 25c | 935.01$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.1 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 841.47$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.57 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Natus Vincere | 70c | 827.59$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.34 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e77…cb47backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 809.35$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.07 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…c82fbacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 773.85$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.3 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -8.6wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa52c…ef80backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 736.67$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.92 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 698.99$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.36 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f47…120dbacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 642$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed M80 | 36c | 609.42$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.99 | 132 | 23.5%31 W · 101 L | -10.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 600.49$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.29 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…d552backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 549.38$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.24 | 186 | 24.2%45 W · 141 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked M80 | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.32 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed M80 | 26c | 524.59$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.81 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Natus Vincere | 23c | 518.73$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.77 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e86…93c2backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c7…0b56backed M80 | 30c | 450$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e2…253bbacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 444$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked M80 | 46c | 444$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.76 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked M80 | 66c | 437.19$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.78 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39ea…f75bbacked M80 | 50c | 402$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1797…baa7backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 400$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -40%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5284…4e87backed Natus Vincere | 80c | 382.11$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.59 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 76cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8389…db1bbacked M80 | 32c | 374.22$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.47 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked M80 | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Natus Vincere | 42c | 370.03$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.06 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb85d…49eabacked Natus Vincere | 59c | 258.34$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.47 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 227.99$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.84 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 200.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 166 | 49.4%82 W · 84 L | -15.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf671…3dd7backed M80 | 41c | 200.03$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.69 | 233 | 51.5%120 W · 113 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed M80 | 24c | 200$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 121 | 31.4%38 W · 83 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a12…e633backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 192.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 300 | 39.7%119 W · 181 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…eea7backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 190$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed M80 | 52c | 182.3$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa208…efaebacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 172$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 171.05$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.03 | 687 | 53.9%370 W · 317 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Natus Vincere | 76c | 157.89$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked M80 | 24c | 157.89$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked M80 | 27c | 154.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.44 | 307 | 48.9%150 W · 157 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ec83backed M80 | 66c | 140$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2b…adcfbacked Natus Vincere | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 172 | 36.6%63 W · 109 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe259…b890backed M80 | 43c | 134.22$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.71 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 133.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 265 | 63%167 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8761…7936backed M80 | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b0…6960backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 105$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed M80 | 48c | 104.01$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.36 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed M80 | 43c | 102.13$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.06 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7594…1f03backed M80 | 28c | 101.66$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.66 | 116 | 25.9%30 W · 86 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…7932backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 283 | 46.6%132 W · 151 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 97.68$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.29 | 421 | 49.6%209 W · 212 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked M80 | 47c | 96.43$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 317 | 58%184 W · 133 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 90$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 86.85$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.87 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 72.22$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked M80 | 42c | 70.66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.82 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 70$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.75 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d17…b1fdbacked Natus Vincere | 73c | 68.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.01 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e6…67b5backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 61.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38b8…5d35backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 364 | 37.4%136 W · 228 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 821 | 46.3%380 W · 441 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4241…2bfbbacked M80 | 60c | 58.15$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2a…5ccebacked M80 | 39c | 57.61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.88 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -12.2wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1caf…7e6abacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.21per pick | 31cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8257…f579backed M80 | 51c | 47.71$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.39 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6254…d8b7backed M80 | 42c | 43.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.32 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a71…f9c9backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 35.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed M80 | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 420 | 57.1%240 W · 180 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89a8…c206backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2063…1eedbacked Natus Vincere | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f4…43d0backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a6…f55fbacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 26.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c5…0166backed M80 | 44c | 26.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…a530backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 20.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 354 | 54.2%192 W · 162 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec41…1134backed M80 | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6023…a142backed Natus Vincere | 73c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.