Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: Cloud9 vs. 100 Thieves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33742c5a4905bd64d498a08a0603e5a6306b3ac90fbe6030e76c803bb76403da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 100 Thievesof Cloud9, 100 Thieves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $160,621
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $177,169
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,621 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Cloud9 | 66c | 41,938$27,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,609.92 | 364 | 33.8%123 W · 241 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed 100 Thieves | 56c | 32,875$18,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,380.38 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked 100 Thieves | 58c | 16,820$9,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,075.05 | 261 | 64.4%168 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed 100 Thieves | 46c | 10,619$4,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,710.42 | 484 | 48.6%235 W · 249 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed 100 Thieves | 44c | 10,397$4,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,845.56 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80c5…65d1backed Cloud9 | 74c | 10,000$7,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,400 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6a…1a00backed Cloud9 | 62c | 8,300$5,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,118.6 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed 100 Thieves | 48c | 7,943$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,142.17 | 635 | 46.6%296 W · 339 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed 100 Thieves | 55c | 7,661$4,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,482.93 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed 100 Thieves | 50c | 6,186$3,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,112.1 | 273 | 46.9%128 W · 145 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked 100 Thieves | 33c | 5,645$1,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,799.02 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked 100 Thieves | 35c | 2,700$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,755 | 123 | 60.2%74 W · 49 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed 100 Thieves | 57c | 2,282$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.24 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed 100 Thieves | 55c | 2,200$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4a…048ebacked 100 Thieves | 27c | 2,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed 100 Thieves | 31c | 1,885$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.99 | 354 | 31.1%110 W · 244 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed 100 Thieves | 33c | 1,833$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.33 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed 100 Thieves | 45c | 1,788$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.8 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Cloud9 | 71c | 1,500$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.6 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b9…0fc9backed Cloud9 | 71c | 1,350$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.2 | 348 | 37.4%130 W · 218 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked 100 Thieves | 50c | 1,221$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.9 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed 100 Thieves | 43c | 1,146$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.16 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed 100 Thieves | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked 100 Thieves | 42c | 951.13$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.38 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed Cloud9 | 65c | 830$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.9 | 505 | 69.9%353 W · 152 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed 100 Thieves | 28c | 666.66$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked 100 Thieves | 50c | 618.25$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.2 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked 100 Thieves | 28c | 600$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 109 | 34.9%38 W · 71 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3545…741dbacked 100 Thieves | 35c | 595$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d2…4f20backed Cloud9 | 58c | 500$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x829f…3486backed 100 Thieves | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed 100 Thieves | 26c | 400$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | -24.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked 100 Thieves | 45c | 238$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.5 | 1,155 | 68.1%786 W · 369 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…60e7backed 100 Thieves | 27c | 220$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.6 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Cloud9 | 72c | 200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed 100 Thieves | 28c | 200$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 417 | 43.9%183 W · 234 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d12…bdf6backed 100 Thieves | 32c | 190$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.9 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4b…75b3backed 100 Thieves | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb85d…49eabacked 100 Thieves | 33c | 171.52$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.92 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed 100 Thieves | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf158…cc32backed 100 Thieves | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7732…fa11backed 100 Thieves | 44c | 141.55$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.01 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Cloud9 | 74c | 137.57$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.8 | 228 | 58.3%133 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x211a…487cbacked 100 Thieves | 45c | 135$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.54 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d4…3f96backed 100 Thieves | 51c | 108.86$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.34 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2729…e171backed 100 Thieves | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…cbcdbacked 100 Thieves | 60c | 91$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Cloud9 | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 153 | 70.6%108 W · 45 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…31d3backed 100 Thieves | 54c | 75.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.63 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…564cbacked 100 Thieves | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed Cloud9 | 74c | 70$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 364 | 65.1%237 W · 127 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Cloud9 | 71c | 70$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 420 | 55.2%232 W · 188 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc5…53c3backed Cloud9 | 71c | 70$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked 100 Thieves | 28c | 60$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Cloud9 | 72c | 55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80f9…3ab9backed 100 Thieves | 28c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 211 | 46%97 W · 114 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed 100 Thieves | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…7932backed Cloud9 | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 611 | 50.6%309 W · 302 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.