Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: LOUD vs. RED Canids
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c5f224cfebb0c8a4b0325168f406833131df9ffbf1f1b9f31a824cf0f6e5028
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RED Canidsof LOUD, RED Canids
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,732
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,494
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,732 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed RED Canids | 43c | 10,376$4,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,907.38 | 364 | 33.8%123 W · 241 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80c5…65d1backed LOUD | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,700 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked LOUD | 19c | 995.01$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.29 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked LOUD | 54c | 900$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b9…0fc9backed RED Canids | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 348 | 37.4%130 W · 218 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d8…8d55backed RED Canids | 61c | 180$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 98 | 70.4%69 W · 29 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed RED Canids | 46c | 145$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.45 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb48…19b3backed RED Canids | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked LOUD | 34c | 137$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.21 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked RED Canids | 54c | 92$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.53 | 1,155 | 68.1%786 W · 369 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…564cbacked RED Canids | 30c | 67.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.42 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked LOUD | 57c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.