Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: Team Orange Gaming vs. ROSSMANN Centaurs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b8bee44c997e23f0c94244ab3f58d6d1e0c3b9f1793b6310d738527102bfed0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Orangeof Team Orange, ROSSMANN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,237
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,623
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,237 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed ROSSMANN | 0c | 13,332$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed ROSSMANN | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 364 | 33.8%123 W · 241 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80c5…65d1backed Team Orange | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd773…549ebacked Team Orange | 79c | 503.51$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.51 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Team Orange | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked ROSSMANN | 38c | 400$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 109 | 34.9%38 W · 71 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed ROSSMANN | 22c | 350$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed ROSSMANN | 24c | 250$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 538 | 29.4%158 W · 380 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…eea7backed ROSSMANN | 22c | 240$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.7 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…35c7backed ROSSMANN | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 65.1%41 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Team Orange | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.03 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6254…d8b7backed Team Orange | 77c | 195$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.05 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Team Orange | 64c | 157.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.03 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…a26ebacked ROSSMANN | 26c | 153$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed ROSSMANN | 37c | 150$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 1,136 | 63.1%717 W · 419 L | +51.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Team Orange | 75c | 139.65$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.03 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed ROSSMANN | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Team Orange | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Team Orange | 58c | 96.69$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 126 | 44.4%56 W · 70 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3f…676cbacked ROSSMANN | 39c | 70.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed ROSSMANN | 23c | 56.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61be…a916backed Team Orange | 79c | 50.35$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf66a…9157backed ROSSMANN | 45c | 42.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Team Orange | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa1…c02dbacked Team Orange | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.