TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-11-06?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$121,697
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$118,609

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,697 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd1ad…6ed7backed No56c73,569$41,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,370.161631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-27.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes42c29,201$12,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,286.323,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes44c16,648$7,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,325.127848.7%38 W · 40 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e11…510bbacked Yes34c10,000$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,400450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-36.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes44c7,500$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3004254.8%23 W · 19 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Yes44c6,234$2,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,742.2915151%77 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No65c3,176$2,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,113.352,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf327…34dbbacked Yes45c2,888$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.81540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes18c2,778$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.0412166.9%81 W · 40 L+17.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+29.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No55c2,770$1,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,246.533745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No70c2,282$1,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.144551.1%23 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b30…30cfbacked Yes47c1,911$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.651020%2 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-67.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No53c1,753$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.0524557.6%141 W · 104 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca15…0d5ebacked Yes32c1,573$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50050%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No62c1,437$894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.0220042%84 W · 116 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4635…9f6fbacked No72c1,381$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.422100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35a6…ab4dbacked Yes26c1,191$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.191346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf24…15ecbacked Yes35c1,095$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.342828.6%8 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd31c…dac9backed Yes40c999.99$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002835.7%10 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…eb16backed No55c931.31$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.091741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23c3…bdf4backed Yes44c930.64$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.482634.6%9 W · 17 L-4.0wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-46.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5e81…b001backed Yes45c887.72$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.3560%0 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4e3a…265ebacked Yes42c761.36$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3201241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick54cpaid+11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No55c676.98$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.646949.3%34 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes34c639.88$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.564337.2%16 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Yes24c633$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.881957.9%11 W · 8 L+4.0wins+0.21per pick37cpaid+45.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No71c524.97$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.310860.2%65 W · 43 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x33c2…9818backed No64c503.41$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.32737%10 W · 17 L-3.9wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-39.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb939…81b8backed Yes45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9786…c5bfbacked Yes45c431.11$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f24…c911backed Yes28c403.57$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1131050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes43c391.57$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.375156.9%29 W · 22 L+7.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+25.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No66c374.95$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.4874155.9%414 W · 327 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No56c322.94$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.049852%51 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb1d…a925backed Yes32c317.62$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.483938.5%15 W · 24 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4b5…49bfbacked Yes20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdcc…7c07backed Yes35c289.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…b1b1backed Yes47c284.64$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.781060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+29.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fdf…0971backed Yes29c259.52$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7620%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed No56c249.98$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.996650%33 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8af…a0a5backed No57c245$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.35850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31d0…482abacked Yes27c238.43$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.0930%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d8e…5df3backed Yes21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x198e…6cd8backed Yes45c230.11$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4028…d998backed Yes44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc89…4ca1backed No57c206.96$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.96862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes9c183.95$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6742844.9%192 W · 236 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes41c169.54$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9910143.6%44 W · 57 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Yes44c159.34$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.118351.8%43 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae55…9385backed Yes27c143.48$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.74742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8821…3914backed Yes43c139.99$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.21010%1 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.30per pick40cpaid-82.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa4cc…a3edbacked No57c135.4$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f43…48d7backed Yes29c135$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe042…5e6bbacked Yes44c126.41$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.62650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa2b…adcfbacked Yes33c123.09$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.62742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Yes29c119.74$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2911644%51 W · 65 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad85…ed5bbacked Yes45c118.09$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.14633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-32.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1002…1ef5backed Yes44c113.54$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.762259.1%13 W · 9 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+36%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502839.3%11 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac25…147abacked Yes45c111$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xde44…cb51backed Yes37c110.31$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.581947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfde8…c52fbacked Yes28c106.94$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301225%3 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-36.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a75…ed14backed Yes45c102.22$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37b9…3390backed Yes23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+46.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1da9…3710backed Yes44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc63b…a81ebacked Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-71.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x24e4…6622backed Yes45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+64.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Yes43c99.98$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.993135.5%11 W · 20 L-4.4wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-28.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa4d4…ef77backed Yes44c90.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cd2…78bbbacked Yes44c90.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e7e…425ebacked Yes44c90.85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404946.9%23 W · 26 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x17d7…b655backed Yes40c80.14$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4de9…4ab1backed Yes43c78$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.54728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-37.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb4b…9f92backed No56c77.54$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.943351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc659…7ac9backed Yes45c75.56$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4ba…10d5backed Yes44c75$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7529…5cd7backed Yes34c74.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2560%0 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x96e4…f323backed Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-64.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17cd…c580backed Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66c6…e75bbacked Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b13…e9f7backed Yes44c70.23$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70b0…b71fbacked No57c70.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.184522.2%10 W · 35 L-7.5wins-0.17per pick39cpaid-49.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5c0e…4838backed Yes44c68.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf20…f904backed Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid+48.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7760…2da5backed Yes44c61.36$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-61.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7eb3…ab21backed Yes35c61.33$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.45683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick59cpaid+33.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb32f…4f6cbacked Yes25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85dc…a6b7backed Yes45c60$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271010%1 W · 9 L-3.3wins-0.33per pick43cpaid-79.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe7fa…44e5backed Yes44c59.09$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261540%6 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-29.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6cc…18cebacked Yes45c57.78$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7795…1db8backed Yes44c56.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xced3…ce6bbacked Yes44c56.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251020%2 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-55.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a59…ba82backed Yes45c55.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251631.3%5 W · 11 L-4.0wins-0.25per pick56cpaid-56.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xad2b…f444backed Yes36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No55c52.91$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8124655.7%137 W · 109 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked Yes44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227850%39 W · 39 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x65d3…d153backed No56c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.59446.8%44 W · 50 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Yes45c48.98$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0410941.3%45 W · 64 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.