Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Viktoria Plzeň win on 2025-11-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x735006365eafa4a8902a93a8dae86ee6b61b750ea7a7c737d4053c1e83901a8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,585
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,832
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,585 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 9,612$7,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,608.82 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e11…510bbacked Yes | 28c | 3,600$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed Yes | 34c | 2,948$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.2 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 71c | 2,736$1,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.98 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 28c | 1,745$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.24 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 69c | 1,741$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.83 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed Yes | 33c | 1,522$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed Yes | 29c | 1,517$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 68c | 1,358$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.21 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 29c | 1,250$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.5 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4607…7811backed Yes | 24c | 1,052$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.71 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 34cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5675…f99cbacked Yes | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d1…ad22backed Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 68c | 891.81$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.81 | 200 | 42%84 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddc6…8accbacked Yes | 30c | 874.3$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed No | 71c | 850$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.5 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 70c | 677$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.1 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 27c | 600$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 112 | 26.8%30 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xace2…3d6cbacked Yes | 26c | 600$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…ab4dbacked Yes | 27c | 555.93$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.7 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 75c | 438.85$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.15 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…1feabacked Yes | 33c | 389.68$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.26 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…e89dbacked Yes | 29c | 386.41$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Yes | 29c | 340$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 69c | 323.17$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.39 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes | 27c | 299.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 103 | 32%33 W · 70 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdcc…7c07backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c79…1593backed No | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 39cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73a7…64ccbacked Yes | 28c | 250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 27c | 199.56$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.88 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 73c | 170.73$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.1 | 200 | 50%100 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef6…f9d4backed Yes | 28c | 155.43$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe052…3108backed Yes | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67dd…6fcebacked Yes | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Yes | 30c | 146.67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 68c | 146.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…686cbacked Yes | 28c | 143.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…8359backed Yes | 22c | 136.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f6…b90cbacked Yes | 20c | 110.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd824…8d96backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d94…5d78backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fe…4a24backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…a81ebacked Yes | 31c | 98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e0e…1512backed Yes | 15c | 95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 111 | 30.6%34 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 23c | 90$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -4.9wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 70c | 84$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 246 | 55.7%137 W · 109 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce51…198cbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 72c | 72.96$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…4aeebacked Yes | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5d…e3f4backed Yes | 28c | 56.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb89a…033bbacked Yes | 29c | 52.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd136…9d35backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd31f…094cbacked Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb150…ac78backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d0…482abacked Yes | 28c | 48.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Yes | 29c | 45.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 74c | 43.97$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Yes | 32c | 40.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b68…0060backed Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7d…5b5abacked Yes | 29c | 37.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 28c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 379 | 26.1%99 W · 280 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3513…c19dbacked No | 69c | 29.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 69c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 73c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed No | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Viktoria Plzeň win on 2025-11-06?this page
- Will FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-11-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.