Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38ea2b8634a4366ca4903a4f90f3e641d500d047fd393f3f8a58b9dd5e731a7c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,681
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,508
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,681 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 38c | 2,058$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.06 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed Yes | 44c | 1,515$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.07 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 29c | 1,331$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.86 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 73c | 1,052$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.96 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | 0%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 77c | 1,029$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.21 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 27c | 819.69$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.41 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.29 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xace2…3d6cbacked No | 47c | 430$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 28c | 342.86$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.86 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 73c | 289.11$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.05 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb939…81b8backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Yes | 42c | 150.38$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.22 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…a1eebacked No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.5wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 200 | 56.5%113 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4702…457fbacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 26c | 96.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.14 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…83a0backed No | 54c | 92.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef7…1e3dbacked Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 72c | 82.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.66 | 246 | 55.7%137 W · 109 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 74.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.24 | 118 | 69.5%82 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x695a…d3d6backed Yes | 30c | 67.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.41 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa7…154fbacked Yes | 28c | 60.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 70c | 60.16$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.11 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 26c | 39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 379 | 26.1%99 W · 280 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Yes | 67c | 31.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ac…a995backed Yes | 60c | 26.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 67c | 25.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce51…198cbacked Yes | 58c | 24.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 71c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Viktoria Plzeň win on 2025-11-06?No won
- Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-11-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.