TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Sevilla win on 2025-11-24?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$49,951
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,812

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,951 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No77c13,477$10,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,101.234,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed Yes23c5,000$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.913930.8%12 W · 27 L-4.7wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-48%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes23c4,791$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.5730634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No75c4,430$3,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,106.671,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes25c4,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010250%51 W · 51 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes22c3,666$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803.828521.2%18 W · 67 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes23c3,000$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.9213845.7%63 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x27b2…865ebacked Yes25c2,746$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.651233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-39.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes22c1,500$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33038729.5%114 W · 273 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed No79c1,266$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.826672.7%48 W · 18 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Yes21c974.66$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.685040%20 W · 30 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+59.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No75c889.79$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.0890843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4021…956abacked Yes25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003732.4%12 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14fa…73f0backed Yes28c748.93$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.72360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+27.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfbe2…b34bbacked Yes25c698.68$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.177844.9%35 W · 43 L-6.1wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-9.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No75c612$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15327854.7%152 W · 126 L+20.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Yes14c591.41$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8126242.7%112 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes24c547$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.7840033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x711d…4e8dbacked Yes16c510.98$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+29.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes28c500$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14020255%111 W · 91 L-0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf438…de5dbacked Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002321.7%5 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed Yes13c483.27$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.9121842.7%93 W · 125 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No74c460.21$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.6569142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2da0…2f48backed Yes22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003964.1%25 W · 14 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xda70…828bbacked Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004126.8%11 W · 30 L-4.9wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-40.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcf83…915dbacked Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006035%21 W · 39 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes25c357$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.2550243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes17c351.78$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.869637.5%36 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2885…486cbacked No76c299.91$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.981764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f9a…a517backed Yes22c285.27$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.7620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No79c223$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5329946.5%139 W · 160 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507632.9%25 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No75c212.05$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2517252.3%90 W · 82 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No75c207.02$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.7774457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010437.5%39 W · 65 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87d5…9790backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504454.5%24 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee44…0082backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-49%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde17…68d2backed No79c183.33$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.53964.1%25 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes22c181.82$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4028342.8%121 W · 162 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No76c180.11$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.9853246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes20c165$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2526241.2%108 W · 154 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4059…23dabacked Yes7c164.18$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.71425%1 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick4cpaid+525%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed Yes27c148.15$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404235.7%15 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9de2…3adbbacked Yes25c135.2$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.82123.8%5 W · 16 L-4.1wins-0.19per pick43cpaid-56.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb964…a6edbacked No76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.58580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+19.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8a0…f967backed Yes24c129.98$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.23246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40a7…5244backed Yes25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes24c119.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.842458%246 W · 178 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1488…409dbacked Yes24c112.79$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.072951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Yes25c112$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2811427.2%31 W · 83 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes25c108.2$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.057553.3%40 W · 35 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259338.7%36 W · 57 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cee…5829backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.537039.2%145 W · 225 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd743…59bdbacked Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251250%6 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes23c97.68$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3753242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x320a…4453backed Yes22c93.86$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8147…ab6cbacked Yes22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+120.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cb6…ac6abacked Yes24c87.5$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214850%24 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes23c87$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0148934.4%168 W · 321 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x32ae…7ecebacked Yes26c84.86$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.062352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x388e…ada0backed Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0739…8f90backed Yes24c80.08$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2250%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5e1…9897backed Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfc9…843fbacked Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6587…0b3fbacked Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No75c80$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2022552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf8b…fd55backed Yes25c72.92$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes21c71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9615036.7%55 W · 95 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-43.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98d0…01a4backed Yes22c68.18$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes24c62.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0619345.1%87 W · 106 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7256…30c9backed Yes25c62.74$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.693636.1%13 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec7a…6fabbacked Yes24c62.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb37d…36cdbacked Yes24c61.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.85825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-42.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb55…ef5cbacked Yes25c60.2$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7afb…ff15backed Yes25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick38cpaid-76.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No75c59.22$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9335054%189 W · 161 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x532a…adf8backed Yes25c57.88$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes24c54.95$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.192365.2%15 W · 8 L+5.1wins+0.22per pick43cpaid+53.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x46a0…f721backed Yes23c54.35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+36.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No75c53$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2515250%76 W · 76 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9fa…6745backed No75c52.09$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.023100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+112.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4eab…cbd7backed Yes23c50.98$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6920%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe72e…b33dbacked Yes26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.151450%7 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2011…f296backed No76c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12875%6 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick68cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54a3…102cbacked No77c45.47$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.625100%5 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+79.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd136…9d35backed Yes25c44.64$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec17…a270backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c7e…d934backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34b7…36e8backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101612.5%2 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1e5…231dbacked Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a54…f7f9backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3183…a303backed No76c39.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.471275%9 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No76c38.52$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2464046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No74c31$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.0721849.1%107 W · 111 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b9d…269dbacked No74c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.81723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-30.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked No75c29.66$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4513052.3%68 W · 62 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1608…c484backed No76c26.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…2802backed No76c26.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.