La Liga · resolved market
Will Espanyol vs. Sevilla end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x391b2fefb0c492dec02192e7723cc7939e756c57a012d7c00ee7a3ef8be42411
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,396
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,769
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,396 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 28c | 6,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 75c | 5,874$4,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475.83 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 26c | 5,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 4,392$3,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.41 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 26c | 4,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 32c | 2,186$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.69 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 24c | 2,084$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.67 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Yes | 38c | 1,644$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.89 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 1,563$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.92 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 71c | 1,279$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.85 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 12c | 1,074$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.53 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…5551backed Yes | 35c | 1,000$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 12c | 919.53$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.89 | 202 | 55%111 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 60c | 527$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.71 | 150 | 36.7%55 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec73…6af3backed Yes | 29c | 517.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 71c | 492$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.68 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…5b8bbacked Yes | 9c | 465.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.73 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 29c | 446$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.34 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 29c | 387$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.23 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…828bbacked Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…04e4backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 18c | 318.39$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.31 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 76c | 287.89$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.78 | 290 | 38.6%112 W · 178 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 4c | 280.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 8c | 257$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9363…3608backed Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed No | 72c | 174.02$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.73 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef7…1e3dbacked Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdb…62e0backed Yes | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…c3b9backed Yes | 26c | 149.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 77c | 143.09$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0585…5fa1backed No | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de2…3adbbacked Yes | 21c | 126.57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed No | 56c | 125.89$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.39 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d04…cfc5backed No | 80c | 121.21$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Yes | 29c | 119.48$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 87 | 32.2%28 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes | 29c | 113.79$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 26c | 111$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x064f…e8e6backed Yes | 27c | 110$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x711d…4e8dbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc02…958abacked Yes | 28c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 29c | 80.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed No | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 27c | 74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 25c | 73.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…a5a8backed Yes | 30c | 67.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 28c | 64.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb063…c9d1backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeecc…6930backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 70c | 45.4$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54a3…102cbacked No | 72c | 44.91$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x695a…d3d6backed Yes | 27c | 44.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ec…4bbcbacked Yes | 29c | 37.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27be…63adbacked Yes | 30c | 33.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…dd6bbacked No | 73c | 14.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Espanyol vs. Sevilla end in a draw?this page
- Will Espanyol win on 2025-11-24?Yes won
- Will Sevilla win on 2025-11-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.