Boxing · resolved market
Will Tyson Fury KO Oleksandr Usyk?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7df63cba6d31e8528504ed9cd85096ee14d5e7fa10c6fb62ed07e2d3ae217dd7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,983
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,285
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,983 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Yes | 18c | 9,806$1,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,765.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 17c | 6,573$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.49 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53d2…0c3fbacked Yes | 15c | 6,136$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Yes | 20c | 5,451$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x242e…ee63backed No | 80c | 5,292$4,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 19c | 4,920$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.85 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Yes | 19c | 3,400$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.05 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 16c | 3,321$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.29 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…9e02backed Yes | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09a0…2531backed Yes | 21c | 1,738$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Yes | 17c | 1,047$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…8be7backed No | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc122…731fbacked Yes | 21c | 969.63$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.09 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 15c | 680.73$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.74 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes | 21c | 635.99$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.56 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2a…97aabacked Yes | 18c | 609.08$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…32d0backed Yes | 18c | 607.85$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcd…2cc6backed Yes | 20c | 538.06$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.61 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…acc0backed Yes | 20c | 493.9$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…8f90backed Yes | 16c | 442.5$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…df44backed Yes | 20c | 409.01$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Yes | 18c | 388.57$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x045e…e60abacked Yes | 18c | 388.16$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Yes | 23c | 373.91$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37cd…5b44backed Yes | 20c | 361.92$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…4817backed Yes | 19c | 357$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.83 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed Yes | 18c | 330$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 78c | 300.41$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.53 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 5c | 250$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e71…3838backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d57…bd62backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c6…7961backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce4e…c56fbacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c33…9ec9backed Yes | 19c | 222.39$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x207a…6fecbacked Yes | 20c | 184.45$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8772…1137backed Yes | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 18c | 168.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.32 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f74…8edbbacked Yes | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344d…ec22backed Yes | 21c | 143$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…aee5backed Yes | 20c | 138$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a31…5dd9backed No | 80c | 125.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1923…3b76backed No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d5…5232backed Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9706…13b9backed Yes | 21c | 116.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab0…4201backed Yes | 20c | 112.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…2d5fbacked Yes | 19c | 111.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 29cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc631…e20abacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de9…dd27backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6002…8caebacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa79c…36c6backed Yes | 21c | 95.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16d6…c556backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 60c | 93.58$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.43 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce40…da67backed Yes | 21c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2948backed Yes | 14c | 76.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed No | 80c | 67.95$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4997…5a9abacked Yes | 19c | 67.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe21b…4f83backed Yes | 20c | 65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8590…1e13backed Yes | 18c | 65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…f8a8backed Yes | 19c | 62.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…f57dbacked No | 71c | 51.72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ef…55d4backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf45f…2634backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08d8…2bbdbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe10e…cfddbacked No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9873…ab25backed Yes | 32c | 43.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa862…46e2backed Yes | 27c | 43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…5063backed No | 77c | 38.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4c…3ac5backed No | 61c | 30.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb54e…8f34backed No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0bf…14cfbacked No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x387f…158abacked No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed No | 65c | 28.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd478…c296backed No | 80c | 14.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4f…88a2backed No | 80c | 13.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…bc23backed No | 78c | 13.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…953dbacked No | 80c | 12.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.