Ukraine · resolved market
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xacb222d877953d15539b66743500d421db46c7e3b9bb429007489c25f23f3fad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,180,652
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,156,796
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,180,652 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 208 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 14c | 187,321$26,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,153.91 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e9…32b8backed Yes | 4c | 29,702$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.08 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x06df…4e7abacked Yes | 8c | 25,309$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,001.55 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfad4…a210backed Yes | 4c | 25,187$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.37 | 134 | 29.9%40 W · 94 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x277f…ed32backed Yes | 7c | 22,311$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,454.48 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.24per pick | 42cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…2b6ebacked Yes | 7c | 20,646$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…99bebacked Yes | 7c | 20,645$1,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,483.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0765…cbeabacked Yes | 5c | 20,355$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 26cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 8c | 19,183$1,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,583.67 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b0…de1bbacked Yes | 5c | 14,620$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 8c | 14,411$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.89 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4b…4e43backed Yes | 11c | 12,448$1,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,414.13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb834…9d6bbacked Yes | 6c | 12,379$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a5…5ac2backed Yes | 7c | 11,056$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.07 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…776bbacked Yes | 12c | 11,002$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 4c | 10,422$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.05 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b27…86c3backed Yes | 5c | 10,006$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6b…68f5backed Yes | 8c | 9,060$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.11 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe733…284dbacked Yes | 6c | 8,815$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf18…b78dbacked Yes | 9c | 8,646$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0c…935dbacked Yes | 8c | 8,500$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7487…fc0cbacked Yes | 8c | 8,393$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.14 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed Yes | 3c | 8,357$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.13 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba3b…8d3ebacked Yes | 6c | 8,000$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2013…0091backed Yes | 5c | 6,712$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a2…b8dbbacked Yes | 7c | 6,356$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9273…2755backed No | 78c | 6,305$4,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b74…2891backed Yes | 6c | 5,897$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.87 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1750…dce6backed Yes | 9c | 5,464$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a9f1backed Yes | 6c | 5,396$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.29 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 3c | 4,963$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.56 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53e8…14f0backed Yes | 8c | 4,869$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.53 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4b…19f1backed Yes | 7c | 4,257$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91cb…c0b8backed Yes | 1c | 4,196$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.51 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd0…bc3dbacked Yes | 4c | 4,086$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.44 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…8070backed Yes | 1c | 4,024$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6107…6d97backed Yes | 5c | 4,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96a4…4d01backed Yes | 1c | 4,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9937…258cbacked Yes | 13c | 4,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x778d…86c6backed Yes | 5c | 3,971$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed No | 76c | 3,738$2,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.12 | 36 | 83.3%30 W · 6 L | +7.8wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2a6a…76c6backed Yes | 8c | 3,636$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa64…a43dbacked Yes | 8c | 3,500$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.31 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x035d…5a61backed Yes | 9c | 3,438$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 5c | 3,260$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.21 | 65 | 1.5%1 W · 64 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 5c | 3,199$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.37 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf047…15febacked Yes | 8c | 3,092$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81e1…7265backed Yes | 9c | 3,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…9b59backed Yes | 9c | 3,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…9343backed Yes | 5c | 3,000$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…2392backed Yes | 9c | 3,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x059c…1156backed Yes | 5c | 2,978$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe384…bc6bbacked Yes | 8c | 2,930$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.1 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf555…b2d5backed Yes | 3c | 2,908$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.02 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…8f90backed Yes | 5c | 2,758$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0d…0048backed Yes | 4c | 2,676$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87d0…57c5backed Yes | 8c | 2,638$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.07 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +5.5wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +26%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd32a…fa5cbacked Yes | 23c | 2,559$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.69 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…6578backed Yes | 3c | 2,500$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf214…a9e5backed Yes | 11c | 2,480$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 30cpaid | +108.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2621…af21backed Yes | 6c | 2,384$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a66…9051backed Yes | 24c | 2,212$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb10c…4ea6backed Yes | 24c | 2,102$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x247d…7d27backed Yes | 9c | 2,061$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.75 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0983…7adbbacked Yes | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 7c | 2,000$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.18 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…fcf0backed Yes | 8c | 1,916$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6269…1887backed Yes | 8c | 1,886$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8590…1e13backed Yes | 7c | 1,858$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde3a…c4a3backed Yes | 7c | 1,817$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4639…ab5dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,740$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed Yes | 4c | 1,600$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.25 | 86 | 15.1%13 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…0050backed Yes | 6c | 1,569$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…446dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9017…b529backed Yes | 7c | 1,400$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52e9…67c3backed Yes | 16c | 1,354$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.1 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd75…b537backed Yes | 6c | 1,335$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1091…49c6backed Yes | 7c | 1,329$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf195…a7c1backed Yes | 8c | 1,288$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +46%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…109fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,279$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.09 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cca…1a17backed Yes | 8c | 1,189$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce40…da67backed Yes | 6c | 1,034$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.95 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38c…3ee7backed Yes | 6c | 1,007$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac61…f5f7backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdec…cf08backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a65…d17bbacked Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…8839backed No | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa80b…0b78backed Yes | 2c | 910.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6478…a272backed Yes | 12c | 854.5$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37fc…d74bbacked Yes | 8c | 841.27$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb62…9d01backed Yes | 22c | 807.29$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37ec…eaacbacked Yes | 6c | 800$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f94…27cabacked Yes | 9c | 777.78$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6b…994dbacked Yes | 7c | 749.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.08 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…8722backed Yes | 7c | 700$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…a49cbacked Yes | 8c | 685.71$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2279…8747backed Yes | 7c | 683.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd555…e28abacked Yes | 4c | 670.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…f07cbacked Yes | 22c | 648.82$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.