Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will BSC Young Boys win on 2025-11-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb79649693c3445dc03f1b182688b8efdcdf3fb197028e6025d8e98a00b35499
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,302
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,158
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,302 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 16c | 10,670$1,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,723.39 | 133 | 27.8%37 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 20c | 2,050$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 15c | 2,027$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.74 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.04 | 190 | 27.4%52 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5675…f99cbacked Yes | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…eb16backed Yes | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 14c | 999.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 219 | 25.6%56 W · 163 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e81…b001backed Yes | 16c | 735$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 21c | 622.01$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.59 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 18c | 362.88$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.38 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x212d…7766backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 78c | 330$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.6 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…a883backed Yes | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…8f90backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 23c | 241.87$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.63 | 197 | 36%71 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Yes | 17c | 199.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 20c | 199.51$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.51 | 65 | 13.8%9 W · 56 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1d…0374backed Yes | 16c | 194$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec81…b674backed Yes | 16c | 194$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…50bcbacked Yes | 15c | 186.06$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.91 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes | 19c | 180$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…ba82backed Yes | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.25per pick | 56cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…3e9fbacked Yes | 18c | 177.47$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.17 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes | 10c | 171$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x857b…8eeebacked Yes | 16c | 162.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf713…a97bbacked Yes | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.29per pick | 28cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0e…c60cbacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…5c82backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 21c | 107$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…bdd8backed Yes | 23c | 106.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2979…59e5backed Yes | 20c | 106.15$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…0730backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd611…63fcbacked No | 80c | 90.71$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.14 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 77c | 76$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 246 | 55.7%137 W · 109 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes | 16c | 75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 78c | 67$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d3…432abacked No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 237 | 57%135 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 78c | 15.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.53 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will BSC Young Boys win on 2025-11-06?this page
- Will PAOK vs. BSC Young Boys end in a draw?No won
- Will PAOK win on 2025-11-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.