Serie A · resolved market
AS Roma vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb94794833a8fb65bab4c09128b251b4eead61e2e1f6364ec7496be3bdb031f4b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $123,268
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $139,794
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,268 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x771c…18f2backed No | 0c | 51,998$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 12,883$6,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,608.27 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0748…a31ebacked No | 48c | 8,774$4,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,246.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 54c | 5,262$2,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,429.14 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 56c | 2,398$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.85 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed Yes | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Yes | 52c | 1,966$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.32 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c7…3fa6backed Yes | 54c | 1,773$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked No | 49c | 1,588$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 42c | 1,132$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.31 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…e832backed Yes | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 45c | 1,110$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.5 | 72 | 20.8%15 W · 57 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed No | 1c | 1,050$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 14cpaid | +275.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Yes | 54c | 1,006$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.22 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 49c | 935.6$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.43 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…c9a1backed Yes | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 50c | 729.9$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.76 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…90d4backed Yes | 47c | 694.61$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.41 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd94…c56cbacked Yes | 52c | 685.3$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.69 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Yes | 53c | 653.4$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.1 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +6.3wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked No | 47c | 639$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.33 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b40…8ab4backed Yes | 50c | 590$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Yes | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Yes | 54c | 511.35$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.22 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed No | 48c | 480$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.4 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +7.9wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked No | 49c | 479.53$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.72 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…218abacked Yes | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbaa…a58abacked Yes | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 46c | 353.41$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.57 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 25c | 338.12$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.59 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 54c | 335$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.9 | 188 | 58.5%110 W · 78 L | +16.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1add…924abacked Yes | 53c | 272.62$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.13 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 54c | 251.94$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.89 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 46c | 229.69$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.66 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…7627backed Yes | 54c | 188.89$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.89 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 40c | 187.47$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.4 | 168 | 38.1%64 W · 104 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa6…4eb6backed Yes | 54c | 185.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.74 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Yes | 54c | 185.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.37 | 133 | 66.2%88 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd25e…f458backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked No | 50c | 180.2$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed No | 49c | 176.95$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.52 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…621fbacked Yes | 45c | 172.53$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.89 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Yes | 53c | 165.7$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.88 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Yes | 35c | 150$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Yes | 52c | 148.08$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.08 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Yes | 54c | 138.89$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.89 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 54c | 137.61$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.86 | 152 | 53.9%82 W · 70 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 46c | 122.98$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.96 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Yes | 52c | 115$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 66c | 113.67$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.72 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 54c | 107.98$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.67 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 47c | 105.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.66 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 51c | 104.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.45 | 116 | 66.4%77 W · 39 L | +14.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…9417backed Yes | 53c | 104$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…0de9backed No | 68c | 100.01$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -6.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -42%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa237…d59abacked Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ab…9dd5backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 21c | 97.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.22 | 319 | 58.3%186 W · 133 L | +26.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe05b…0912backed Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 45c | 85.51$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.03 | 165 | 26.1%43 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 54c | 83.33$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.33 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72a2…e265backed Yes | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 47c | 74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Yes | 52c | 73$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.04 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa77d…8ce8backed Yes | 54c | 72.22$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Yes | 52c | 72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +4.7wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 53c | 71.7$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee2…035dbacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3e…2832backed Yes | 39c | 65.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6366…8ccdbacked Yes | 54c | 64.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.83 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x562c…e035backed Yes | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | 0%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed Yes | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Yes | 53c | 58.51$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9e…10bebacked Yes | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Yes | 25c | 55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x332d…7b0ebacked Yes | 49c | 53.96$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…ec0ebacked Yes | 53c | 53.43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c21…6ce6backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed No | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Yes | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Yes | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf26c…3443backed No | 48c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbee…17c4backed Yes | 26c | 43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +100.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 46c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51d2…1462backed Yes | 48c | 43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa9…7097backed No | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.41per pick | 55cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed No | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b63…7db5backed Yes | 53c | 39.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58e0…ebecbacked Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…00cbbacked Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaeb…bb75backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52a4…7fe3backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Yes | 53c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AS Roma vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- AS Roma vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5Over won
- AS Roma vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5Under won
- AS Roma vs. AC Milan: O/U 3.5Under won
- AS Roma vs. AC Milan: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.