Serie A · resolved market
AS Roma vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5b46a56b2d904eb9f8fd0898d11cbe1e446c9e2f6a6a6625d14d2f5d11076b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $118,773
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $121,818
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,773 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x771c…18f2backed Over | 0c | 28,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 72c | 19,529$14,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,445.37 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed07…886abacked Under | 56c | 15,000$8,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,599.95 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 8c | 9,710$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.78 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 43c | 6,976$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.65 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 56c | 6,062$3,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,667.36 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 57c | 5,928$3,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,549.15 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a43…565fbacked Over | 44c | 5,909$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Under | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.99 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 56c | 2,256$1,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.65 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed Over | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 36c | 1,467$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.97 | 72 | 20.8%15 W · 57 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c7…3fa6backed Over | 44c | 1,364$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf62a…aecfbacked Over | 38c | 1,230$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.19 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…c9a1backed Over | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 43c | 1,055$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.65 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc651…98efbacked Over | 44c | 1,050$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 45c | 888.89$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 43c | 854.84$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.48 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Under | 57c | 788$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.84 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 57c | 750$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.5 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 76c | 742.35$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.89 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Over | 37c | 740$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.36 | 188 | 58.5%110 W · 78 L | +16.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Over | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 57c | 663.89$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.75 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 56c | 525.37$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.16 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 46c | 499.99$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 30c | 416.67$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed Over | 37c | 405$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.85 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Over | 45c | 377.78$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Under | 60c | 360$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.8 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x266d…083fbacked Under | 57c | 333.33$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.33 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Over | 43c | 328.73$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b40…8ab4backed Over | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 16c | 300$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 44c | 278.93$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.73 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…621fbacked Over | 44c | 272.84$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Over | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 55c | 260.43$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.19 | 184 | 59.2%109 W · 75 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 28c | 250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Over | 41c | 244.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +6.3wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Over | 43c | 240.1$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.44 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85a1…a640backed Under | 58c | 240$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c0…c158backed Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 18c | 215.74$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.29 | 168 | 38.1%64 W · 104 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Over | 44c | 213.32$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.86 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6d…b3febacked Over | 24c | 212$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 7c | 208.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -6.0wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Over | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 147 | 48.3%71 W · 76 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9b…ca57backed Under | 66c | 195.67$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 43c | 186.05$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 65c | 177.38$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 66c | 168.42$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.49 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 57c | 139.92$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.17 | 164 | 48.8%80 W · 84 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd6…686fbacked Over | 38c | 139.05$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.59 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ab…9dd5backed Over | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Over | 44c | 135.61$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.67 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a3…790fbacked Over | 44c | 128.12$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.37 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 42c | 124.08$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.79 | 99 | 37.4%37 W · 62 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 44c | 124$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.52 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Under | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…5b8bbacked Under | 59c | 117.84$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.84 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…ec0ebacked Over | 40c | 114.15$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…d31abacked Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f03…766dbacked Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 44c | 108.49$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.74 | 195 | 42.6%83 W · 112 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…5ba4backed Over | 13c | 107.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16c…9d62backed Under | 59c | 106.78$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.78 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +6.2wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 57c | 104.33$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.86 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 19c | 104.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 319 | 58.3%186 W · 133 L | +26.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 24c | 103.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Over | 34c | 100.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.34 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9372…3b1abacked Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -71%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c1…d7e7backed Over | 33c | 98.2$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…7627backed Over | 32c | 93.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8724…b082backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1926…b195backed Over | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…95a6backed Over | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Under | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc8…6875backed Under | 59c | 85.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 35c | 84.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.34 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…c55fbacked Over | 43c | 83.72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Under | 57c | 73.33$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.53 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e3…05e1backed Over | 44c | 70.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 34c | 70$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Under | 55c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Under | 57c | 66.67$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…cfbebacked Under | 57c | 66.05$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 21c | 65.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…db4abacked Under | 56c | 64$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.48 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…e894backed Under | 56c | 64$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.48 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Under | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…5cddbacked Under | 57c | 56.91$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AS Roma vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5this page
- AS Roma vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AS Roma vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5Over won
- AS Roma vs. AC Milan: O/U 3.5Under won
- AS Roma vs. AC Milan: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.